Penn State at Minnesota - 2019 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, November 9th 2019 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -7.0 (49.0)
Minnesota 31 - Penn State: 26  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (29 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU coming off BYE
MINN coming off BYE
Our Line: -0  (SP+ PSU -5)
Projected Score: PSU: 22 - MINN: 26 (48)
PSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 828 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State vs Idaho-43.0
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Buffalo-31.557.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 9/14 Penn State vs Pittsburgh-17.053.5W 17 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27 Penn State at Maryland-6.562.0W 59 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs Purdue-28.555.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 10/12 Penn State at Iowa-3.543.5W 17 - 12UY
Sat 10/19 Penn State vs Michigan-7.547.0W 28 - 21ON
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Michigan State-5.541.0W 28 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Penn State at Minnesota-7.049.0L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/16 Penn State vs Indiana-15.055.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Ohio State+20.059.0L 17 - 28UY
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Rutgers-38.550.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 12/28 Penn State vs Memphis-7.059.5W 53 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Minnesota's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs South Dakota State-14.556.0W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 Minnesota at Fresno State-3.046.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Georgia Southern-17.045.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Purdue+2.057.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs Illinois-14.058.0W 40 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.047.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Minnesota at Rutgers-28.546.0W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-14.059.0W 52 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Minnesota vs Penn State+7.049.0W 31 - 26OY
Sat 11/16 Minnesota at Iowa+3.044.5L 19 - 23UN
Sat 11/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-15.541.0W 38 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+3.045.0L 17 - 38ON
Wed 1/1 Minnesota vs Auburn+7.054.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.2344%35.844%2.9819142%2214.32.0938%1635%38%2.6945.31.12.1
MINN.2848%34.145%317951%2534.2.0841%22.537%42%3.2638.61.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1335.829.444.1%4.321.1214121912214.854%44%44%42%20%.23
MINN Defense1322.521.640.5%3.261.7 - - - - - 51%47%37%42%22%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense131615.637.8%2.692.1 - - - - - 46%52%35%38%22%.09
MINN Offense1334.133.948.1%4.21.2234321792534.259%39%45%51%19%.28

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1327:5321.242%61%4.445.31.12.19.24.8232.1
Minnesota1334:0722.748%65%4.238.61.21.75.52.9329.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1354%44%39.7190.74.834.192.9883%14%1.05
MINN Defense1351%37% - - - - .062.8781%11%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.012.4270%15%0.92
MINN Offense1359%45%43.1178.74.225.11371%12%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1344%42%16.728.4221.37.813.3259.271.731%30%.216%2
MINN Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 14.121.532%28%.1310%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.191.736%32%.327%1.9
MINN Offense1339%51%16.324.8253.310.215.5318.591.831%41%.547%2

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #6
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Minnesota: 12.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 24.3   Minnesota: 19.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 12.2 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2019 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4  #13
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #7
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Penn State's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 26
Penn State 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Minnesota 26
Penn State 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 27
Minnesota 25

Total Points: 52
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Minnesota's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Minnesota25Penn State26Penn State -11Minnesota45.0Over
202210/22Penn State45Minnesota17Penn State -5.5Penn State43.0Over
201911/09Minnesota31Penn State26Penn State -7.0Minnesota49.0Over
201610/01Penn State29Minnesota26Penn State -4Minnesota54.5Over
201311/09Minnesota24Penn State10Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Under
201010/23Minnesota21Penn State33
200910/17Penn State20Minnesota0
200610/07Minnesota27Penn State28
200510/01Penn State44Minnesota14
200410/02Minnesota16Penn State7
200309/27Penn State14Minnesota20
200010/06Minnesota25Penn State16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota544 Overs
Penn State711 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams4 - 81 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#) PSU at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #13
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #11 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 40°
Rematch from Week 11
Penn State 7.0 (49.0)
Minnesota won vs Penn State this year (31-26)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Minnesota last year (26-25)
Penn State beat Minnesota in 2022 (45-17)

  
PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD