Indiana at Michigan State - 2019 Matchup Preview

(#11)Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 28th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan State -14 (43.5)
Michigan State 40 - Indiana: 31 (Big Ten)

Hoosiers (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (35 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU is playing their 5th straight game
IND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ IND -5.5)
Projected Score: IND: 21 - MSU: 23 (44)
MSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
IND Travel: 267 miles

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 23 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IND Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Indiana's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Indiana vs Ball State	-18.0	61.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/7	Indiana vs Eastern Illinois	-35.5	61.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Indiana vs Ohio State	+17.0	60.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/21	Indiana vs UConn	-27.5	57.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Indiana at Michigan State	+14.0	43.5	L 31 - 40	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Indiana vs Rutgers	-27.5	50.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Indiana at Maryland	-6.5	59.5	W 34 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/26	Indiana at Nebraska	+2.5	55.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Indiana vs Northwestern	-8.5	44.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Indiana at Penn State	+15.0	55.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Indiana vs Michigan	+10.0	52.5	L 14 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/30	Indiana at Purdue	-7.0	56.5	W 44 - 41	O	N
Thu 1/2	Indiana vs Tennessee	+4.0	56.0	L 22 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Michigan State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Michigan State vs Tulsa	-22.0	47.5	W 28 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-14.5	46.5	W 51 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Michigan State vs Arizona State	-15.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/21	Michigan State at Northwestern	-7.5	35.0	W 31 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Michigan State vs Indiana	-14.0	43.5	W 40 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/5	Michigan State at Ohio State	+19.0	51.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/12	Michigan State at Wisconsin	+8.0	39.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Michigan State vs Penn State	+5.5	41.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Michigan State vs Illinois	-15.5	48.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Michigan State at Michigan	+13.5	43.5	L 10 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/23	Michigan State at Rutgers	-22.5	43.5	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Michigan State vs Maryland	-21.5	47.5	W 19 - 16	U	N
Fri 12/27	Michigan State vs Wake Forest	-3.5	50.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	.23	47%	31.8	46%	2.77	130	46%	302	3.67	.15	42%	24.4	43%	39%	3.55	63.8	1.2	1.5
MSU	.09	41%	22.4	38%	2.48	127	42%	245	2.91	.07	38%	22.5	35%	38%	3.36	53.8	1.8	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)		50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)		35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Offense	13	31.8	34.8	46.9%	3.67	1.2	23	433	130	302	3.6	43%	55%	46%	46%	16%	.23
MSU Defense	13	22.5	20.9	37.5%	3.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	35%	38%	25%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Defense	13	24.4	34.8	41.9%	3.55	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	43%	39%	19%	.15
MSU Offense	13	22.4	26.6	41.3%	2.91	1.8	21	372	127	245	3.5	48%	50%	38%	42%	18%	.09

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Indiana	13	33:43	23.4	47%	44%	6.8	63.8	1.2	1.5	7.2	2.9	2	29.1
Michigan State	13	31:23	21.1	36%	62%	5.8	53.8	1.8	2	9.8	3.8	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Offense	13	43%	46%	35.9	130.4	3.6	24	.14	2.77	75%	10%	0.9
MSU Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.44	64%	18%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.97	67%	13%	0.99
MSU Offense	13	48%	38%	36	127.2	3.5	12	-.05	2.48	65%	10%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Offense	13	55%	46%	24.7	36.4	302.4	8.3	12.3	24	9	.32	1.5	31%	39%	.44	6%	1.8
MSU Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.5	37%	29%	.19	8%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Defense	13	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.2	1.7	31%	32%	.25	6%	2
MSU Offense	13	50%	42%	20.8	35.7	244.8	6.9	11.8	17	15	.24	1.5	35%	35%	.25	8%	1.5

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: NR
Indiana's Offense Rating: NR
Indiana's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Indiana's 2019 Expected Record: -
Indiana's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.8 #23
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #22
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: Michigan State: 6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: 12.8 Michigan State: 7.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 6.1 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #41
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #91
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #13

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.8

Indiana's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 23
Indiana 21

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 19
Indiana 15

Total Points: 34

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 27
Michigan State 27

Total Points: 54

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Michigan State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Indiana	38	Michigan State	13	Indiana -26.5	Michigan State	49.5	Over
2024	11/02	Michigan State	10	Indiana	47	Indiana -7.5	Indiana	53.5	Over
2023	11/18	Indiana	21	Michigan State	24	Indiana -3.5	Michigan State	47.5	Under
2022	11/19	Michigan State	31	Indiana	39	Michigan State -12	Indiana	47.0	Over
2021	10/16	Indiana	15	Michigan State	20	Michigan State -3.5	Michigan State	48.5	Under
2020	11/14	Michigan State	0	Indiana	24	Indiana -7.5	Indiana	53.0	Under
2019	09/28	Michigan State	40	Indiana	31	Michigan State -14	Indiana	43.5	Over
2018	09/22	Indiana	21	Michigan State	35	Michigan State -5.5	Michigan State	51.0	Over
2017	10/21	Michigan State	17	Indiana	9	Michigan State -6.5	Michigan State	47.5	Under
2016	10/01	Indiana	24	Michigan State	21	Michigan State -8	Indiana	52.5	Under
2015	10/24	Michigan State	52	Indiana	26	Michigan State -17	Michigan State	59.0	Over
2014	10/18	Indiana	17	Michigan State	56	Michigan State -14	Michigan State	0
2013	10/12	Michigan State	42	Indiana	28	Michigan State -7.5	Michigan State	0
2012	10/06	Indiana	27	Michigan State	31
2011	11/19	Michigan State	55	Indiana	3
2008	09/27	Indiana	29	Michigan State	42
2007	10/13	Michigan State	52	Indiana	27
2006	10/28	Indiana	46	Michigan State	21
2005	10/29	Michigan State	46	Indiana	15
2004	09/25	Indiana	20	Michigan State	30
2003	10/04	Michigan State	31	Indiana	3
2002	11/09	Indiana	21	Michigan State	56
2001	11/10	Michigan State	28	Indiana	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	16	8	6 Overs
Indiana	7	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	4 - 9	3 - 4	1 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 11	9 - 4	5 - 1	4 - 3

(#) IND at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IND	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#52	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Indiana Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Indiana on Offense


CategoryCat	IND Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Indiana Run Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Indiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	IND Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Michigan State -14.0 (43.5)
Michigan State won vs Indiana this year (40-31)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Michigan State last year (47-10)
Michigan State beat Indiana in 2023 (24-21)
Indiana beat Michigan State in 2022 (39-31)

IND's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD