Penn State at Maryland - 2019 Matchup Preview

(#3)Penn State Nittany Lions at Maryland Terrapins

Friday, September 27th 2019 (8:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -6.5 (62.0)
Penn State 59 - Maryland: 0 (Big Ten)

Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (29 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PSU coming off BYE
MD coming off BYE
Our Line: -13 (SP+ PSU -30.5)
Projected Score: PSU: 26 - MD: 27 (53)
PSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
PSU Travel: 135 miles

Terrapins (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 35 (31 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PSU Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Penn State vs Idaho	-43.0
Sat 9/7	Penn State vs Buffalo	-31.5	57.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Penn State vs Pittsburgh	-17.0	53.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27	Penn State at Maryland	-6.5	62.0	W 59 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Penn State vs Purdue	-28.5	55.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/12	Penn State at Iowa	-3.5	43.5	W 17 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Penn State vs Michigan	-7.5	47.0	W 28 - 21	O	N
Sat 10/26	Penn State at Michigan State	-5.5	41.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Penn State at Minnesota	-7.0	49.0	L 26 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/16	Penn State vs Indiana	-15.0	55.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/23	Penn State at Ohio State	+20.0	59.0	L 17 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Penn State vs Rutgers	-38.5	50.5	W 27 - 6	U	N
Sat 12/28	Penn State vs Memphis	-7.0	59.5	W 53 - 39	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Maryland's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Maryland vs Howard	-29.0	65.5	W 79 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Maryland vs Syracuse	-1.0	59.0	W 63 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Maryland at Temple	-5.0	66.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27	Maryland vs Penn State	+6.5	62.0	L 0 - 59	U	N
Sat 10/5	Maryland at Rutgers	-14.0	55.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Maryland at Purdue	-4.0	52.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/19	Maryland vs Indiana	+6.5	59.5	L 28 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Maryland at Minnesota	+14.0	59.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/2	Maryland vs Michigan	+21.5	57.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/9	Maryland at Ohio State	+42.5	66.0	L 14 - 73	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Maryland vs Nebraska	+7.0	63.0	L 7 - 54	U	N
Sat 11/30	Maryland at Michigan State	+21.5	47.5	L 16 - 19	U	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	.23	44%	35.8	44%	2.98	191	42%	221	4.32	.09	38%	16	35%	38%	2.69	45.3	1.1	2.1
MD	.04	37%	25.3	42%	2.95	170	32%	174	3.55	.24	47%	34.7	45%	47%	4.07	48.8	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	13	35.8	29.4	44.1%	4.32	1.1	21	412	191	221	4.8	54%	44%	44%	42%	20%	.23
MD Defense	12	34.7	34.2	46.7%	4.07	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	45%	47%	19%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	13	16	15.6	37.8%	2.69	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	35%	38%	22%	.09
MD Offense	12	25.3	30.7	37.1%	3.55	1.8	17	344	170	174	4.8	48%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.04

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	13	27:53	21.2	42%	61%	4.4	45.3	1.1	2.1	9.2	4.8	2	32.1
Maryland	12	25:45	16.8	32%	31%	5.8	48.8	1.8	1.6	9	2.8	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	13	54%	44%	39.7	190.7	4.8	34	.19	2.98	83%	14%	1.05
MD Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.91	74%	13%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.42	70%	15%	0.92
MD Offense	12	48%	42%	35.4	169.5	4.8	23	.17	2.95	64%	15%	1.16

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	13	44%	42%	16.7	28.4	221.3	7.8	13.3	25	9	.27	1.7	31%	30%	.21	6%	2
MD Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.36	1.5	30%	36%	.48	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	13	52%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.19	1.7	36%	32%	.32	7%	1.9
MD Offense	12	51%	32%	14.3	28.5	174	6.1	12.1	16	12	-.08	1.6	33%	24%	-.04	8%	1.6

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #13
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Maryland: -0.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 24.3 Maryland: -6.3

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -0.65 NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Maryland's 2019 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.3 #94
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #76
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #79

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Penn State's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 27
Penn State 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Maryland 32
Penn State 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 33
Maryland 22

Total Points: 55

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.2

Maryland's 2019 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Penn State	44	Maryland	7	Penn State -26.5	Penn State	50.5	Over
2023	11/04	Maryland	15	Penn State	51	Penn State -8.5	Penn State	50.5	Over
2022	11/12	Penn State	30	Maryland	0	Penn State -10.5	Penn State	56.5	Under
2021	11/06	Maryland	14	Penn State	31	Penn State -10	Penn State	56.5	Under
2020	11/07	Penn State	19	Maryland	35	Penn State -27	Maryland	62.5	Under
2019	09/27	Maryland	0	Penn State	59	Penn State -6.5	Penn State	62.0	Under
2018	11/24	Penn State	38	Maryland	3	Penn State -12	Penn State	51.5	Under
2017	11/25	Maryland	3	Penn State	66	Penn State -23.5	Penn State	57.5	Over
2016	10/08	Penn State	38	Maryland	14	Penn State -3	Penn State	56.0	Under
2015	10/24	Maryland	30	Penn State	31	Penn State -7.5	Maryland	46.5	Over
2014	11/01	Penn State	19	Maryland	20	Penn State -2.5	Maryland	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	2	3	4 Overs
Penn State	9	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 7	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 4	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PSU	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#94
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#11	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Penn State Injury Report

Maryland Injury Report

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	PSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Penn State 6.5 (62.0)
Penn State won at Maryland this year (59-0)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Maryland last year (44-7)
Penn State beat Maryland in 2023 (51-15)
Penn State beat Maryland in 2022 (30-0)

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MD's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD