Pittsburgh at Penn State - 2019 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, September 14th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -17 (53.5)
Penn State 17 - Pittsburgh: 10

 
Panthers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 23 (18 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ PSU -20)
Projected Score: PITT: 14 - PSU: 31 (45)
PSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
PITT Travel: 116 miles
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (38 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Pittsburgh vs Virginia+2.546.5L 14 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 Pittsburgh vs Ohio-4.054.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Pittsburgh at Penn State+17.053.5L 10 - 17UY
Sat 9/21 Pittsburgh vs UCF+9.060.5W 35 - 34OY
Sat 9/28 Pittsburgh vs Delaware-28.550.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/5 Pittsburgh at Duke+3.548.5W 33 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-3.552.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/26 Pittsburgh vs Miami-4.543.0L 12 - 16UN
Sat 11/2 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-9.544.0W 20 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-4.049.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech+3.544.0L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-9.052.0L 19 - 26UN
Thu 12/26 Pittsburgh vs Eastern Michigan-12.551.0W 34 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Penn State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State vs Idaho-43.0
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Buffalo-31.557.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 9/14 Penn State vs Pittsburgh-17.053.5W 17 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27 Penn State at Maryland-6.562.0W 59 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs Purdue-28.555.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 10/12 Penn State at Iowa-3.543.5W 17 - 12UY
Sat 10/19 Penn State vs Michigan-7.547.0W 28 - 21ON
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Michigan State-5.541.0W 28 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Penn State at Minnesota-7.049.0L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/16 Penn State vs Indiana-15.055.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Ohio State+20.059.0L 17 - 28UY
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Rutgers-38.550.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 12/28 Penn State vs Memphis-7.059.5W 53 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.0941%21.241%2.811938%2622.62.0437%22.539%32%3.4668.31.71.3
PSU.2344%35.844%2.9819142%2214.32.0938%1635%38%2.6945.31.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1321.21840.9%2.621.7213801192623.543%55%41%38%20%.09
PSU Defense13161337.8%2.692.1 - - - - - 46%52%35%38%22%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1322.52136.5%3.461.3 - - - - - 46%52%39%32%28%.04
PSU Offense1335.837.944.1%4.321.1214121912214.854%44%44%42%20%.23

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1330:4020.640%47%7.868.31.71.39.54.6227.6
Penn State1327:5321.242%61%4.445.31.12.19.24.8232.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1343%41%33.9118.83.511-.022.875%11%0.69
PSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.012.4270%15%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1346%39% - - - - .012.6976%15%0.84
PSU Offense1354%44%39.7190.74.834.192.9883%14%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1355%38%24.339.5261.76.610.81710.181.535%31%.2310%1.6
PSU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.191.736%32%.327%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1352%32% - - - - - - 9.071.738%28%.1913%1.8
PSU Offense1344%42%16.728.4221.37.813.3259.271.731%30%.216%2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2019 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #48
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0  #11

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Penn State: 14.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 4.1   Penn State: 24.3




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 14.65 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #6
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 21.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Pittsburgh's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 31
Pittsburgh 14

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 34
Pittsburgh 11

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 29
Pittsburgh 17

Total Points: 46
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Penn State's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/14Penn State17Pittsburgh10Penn State -17Pittsburgh53.5Under
201809/08Pittsburgh6Penn State51Penn State -7.5Penn State51.0Over
201709/09Penn State33Pittsburgh14Penn State -20Pittsburgh63.5Under
201609/10Pittsburgh42Penn State39Pittsburgh -4.5Penn State44.0Over
200009/15Pittsburgh12Penn State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State322 Overs
Pittsburgh222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 10 - 40 - 30 - 1
Road Teams1 - 44 - 01 - 03 - 0

(#) PITT at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #6
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #41 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.004
Rematch from Week 3
Penn State -17.0 (53.5)
Penn State won vs Pittsburgh this year (17-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PITT's OC ()
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PITT's DC ()
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PSU's OC ()
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PSU's DC ()
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