App State at Arkansas State - 2018 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Tuesday, October 9th 2018 (8:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -10.5 (59.5)
App State 35 - Arkansas State: 9 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP coming off BYE
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -3 (SP+ APP -10.5)
Projected Score: APP: 25 - ARST: 31 (56)
APP Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
APP Travel: 502 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	App State at Penn State	+24.0	54.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/8	App State at Charlotte	-14.5	48.5	W 45 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-45.0	56.0	W 72 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/29	App State vs South Alabama	-25.0	55.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	App State at Arkansas State	-10.5	59.5	W 35 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/20	App State vs Louisiana	-25.0	65.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/25	App State at Georgia Southern	-11.0	47.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/3	App State at Coastal Carolina	-13.5	52.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/10	App State at Texas State	-18.5	47.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/17	App State vs Georgia State	-27.5	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/24	App State vs Troy	-12.0	45.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/1	App State vs Louisiana	-17.5	54.0	W 30 - 19	U	N
Sat 12/15	App State vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	48.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-32.5	56.0	W 48 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas State at Alabama	+36.5	63.0	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas State at Tulsa	+2.0	71.0	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Arkansas State vs UNLV	-8.0	66.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas State at Georgia Southern	-3.0	53.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	Arkansas State vs App State	+10.5	59.5	L 9 - 35	U	N
Thu 10/18	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-13.5	55.5	W 51 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-3.0	69.0	L 43 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/3	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-14.0	61.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-6.5	61.5	W 44 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-7.5	68.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Arkansas State at Texas State	-13.0	48.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/29	Arkansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	43%	24.2	42%	2.98	223	42%	216	3.72	.11	40%	29.8	38%	39%	3.12	63.9	1.1	2
ARST	.17	46%	25.2	42%	2.69	153	48%	342	3.22	.08	38%	27.4	39%	36%	2.94	69	2.1	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	13	24.2	21.6	43.1%	3.72	1.1	21	440	223	216	5.5	56%	42%	42%	42%	15%	.25
ARST Defense	12	27.4	27.2	37.8%	2.94	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	39%	36%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	13	29.8	37.4	39.9%	3.12	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	48%	38%	39%	20%	.11
ARST Offense	12	25.2	29	46.2%	3.22	2.1	27	495	153	342	4	42%	56%	42%	48%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	13	31:15	20.9	40%	54%	7	63.9	1.1	2	6.8	3	0	35.8
Arkansas State	12	28:51	26.7	44%	33%	7.8	69	2.1	2.2	8.2	2.9	2	36.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	13	56%	42%	40.7	223.4	5.5	27	.18	2.98	68%	10%	1.25
ARST Defense	12	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.39	71%	14%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.79	74%	13%	0.98
ARST Offense	12	42%	42%	38.6	152.6	4	17	.05	2.69	69%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	13	42%	42%	16.5	27.4	216.2	7.9	13.1	28	6	.35	1.7	31%	38%	.42	5%	1.8
ARST Defense	12	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.8	35%	29%	.22	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.16	1.5	35%	33%	.23	8%	1.5
ARST Offense	12	56%	48%	26.4	42.7	342.2	8	13	38	17	.28	1.5	30%	36%	.28	7%	1.8

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2018 Expected Record: -
App State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #56
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: Arkansas State: 3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 11.9 Arkansas State: 1.2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 3.1 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #72
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 31
App State 25

Projected Total Points: 56

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	App State	29	Arkansas State	30	App State -1.0	Arkansas State	54.5	Over
2021	11/06	Arkansas State	14	App State	48	Appalachian State -21.5	App State	67.5	Under
2020	10/22	App State	45	Arkansas State	17	Appalachian State -14	App State	69.5	Under
2018	10/09	Arkansas State	9	App State	35	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	59.5	Under
2015	11/05	App State	27	Arkansas State	40	Appalachian State -12.5	Arkansas State	56.0	Over
2014	11/15	Arkansas State	32	App State	37	Arkansas State -15	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	2	2	2 Overs
App State	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 5	1 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 1	5 - 1	2 - 0	3 - 1

(#) APP at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#72
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#111	#86
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
App State 10.5 (59.5)
App State won at Arkansas State this year (35-9)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat App State last year (30-29)

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD