UNLV at Arkansas State - 2018 Matchup Preview

UNLV Rebels at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -8 (66.5)
Arkansas State 27 - UNLV: 20

Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST is playing their 4th straight game
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ ARST -12)
Projected Score: UNLV: 31 - ARST: 28 (59)
ARST Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
UNLV Travel: 1365 miles, 2 hrs behind

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	UNLV at USC	+24.0	58.5	L 21 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/8	UNLV vs UTEP	-22.5	53.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/15	UNLV vs Prairie View A&M	-32.0	67.0	W 46 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/22	UNLV at Arkansas State	+8.0	66.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	UNLV vs New Mexico	-8.0	62.5	L 14 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/13	UNLV at Utah State	+27.0	65.0	L 28 - 59	O	N
Fri 10/19	UNLV vs Air Force	+9.5	55.5	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/27	UNLV at San José State	+2.5	57.5	L 37 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/3	UNLV vs Fresno State	+27.0	58.5	L 3 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/10	UNLV at San Diego State	+24.0	51.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	UNLV at Hawai'i	+6.0	71.0	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/24	UNLV vs Nevada	+14.0	60.5	W 34 - 29	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-32.5	56.0	W 48 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas State at Alabama	+36.5	63.0	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas State at Tulsa	+2.0	71.0	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Arkansas State vs UNLV	-8.0	66.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas State at Georgia Southern	-3.0	53.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	Arkansas State vs App State	+10.5	59.5	L 9 - 35	U	N
Thu 10/18	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-13.5	55.5	W 51 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-3.0	69.0	L 43 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/3	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-14.0	61.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-6.5	61.5	W 44 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-7.5	68.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Arkansas State at Texas State	-13.0	48.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/29	Arkansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.2	46%	34.1	47%	3.21	240	41%	187	3.11	.24	50%	28	53%	43%	4.05	39.9	1.3	1.2
ARST	.17	46%	25.2	42%	2.69	153	48%	342	3.22	.08	38%	27.4	39%	36%	2.94	69	2.1	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	34.1	34.7	46%	3.11	1.3	21	427	240	187	5.5	59%	38%	47%	41%	14%	.2
ARST Defense	12	27.4	27.2	37.8%	2.94	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	39%	36%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	28	29.3	49.8%	4.05	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	53%	43%	12%	.24
ARST Offense	12	25.2	29	46.2%	3.22	2.1	27	495	153	342	4	42%	56%	42%	48%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	31:08	21.2	41%	60%	4.7	39.9	1.3	1.2	4.4	1.4	1	30.3
Arkansas State	12	28:51	26.7	44%	33%	7.8	69	2.1	2.2	8.2	2.9	2	36.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	59%	47%	44	240.2	5.5	29	.23	3.21	73%	9%	1.06
ARST Defense	12	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.39	71%	14%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	60%	53%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.21	71%	8%	0.91
ARST Offense	12	42%	42%	38.6	152.6	4	17	.05	2.69	69%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	38%	41%	13.5	24.9	186.9	7.5	13.9	10	9	.2	1.5	31%	32%	.11	5%	1.5
ARST Defense	12	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.8	35%	29%	.22	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	39%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.31	1.6	28%	34%	.26	4%	1.6
ARST Offense	12	56%	48%	26.4	42.7	342.2	8	13	38	17	.28	1.5	30%	36%	.28	7%	1.8

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2018 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #106
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #50
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: Arkansas State: 3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -11.1 Arkansas State: 1.2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 3.1 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #72
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 31
Arkansas State 28

Projected Total Points: 59

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/07	UNLV	17	Arkansas State	43	Arkansas State -1	Arkansas State	63.5	Under
2018	09/22	Arkansas State	27	UNLV	20	Arkansas State -8	UNLV	66.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	2	1	0 Overs
UNLV	0	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) UNLV at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#72
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#96	#86
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UNLV Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	UNLV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Arkansas State -8.0 (66.5)
Arkansas State won vs UNLV this year (27-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNLV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD