App State at Texas State - 2018 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Texas State Bobcats

Saturday, November 10th 2018 (4:00 PM EST)
Appalachian State -18.5 (47.0)
App State 38 - Texas State: 7 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 16 (32 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP 3rd straight Road Game
TXST is playing their 6th straight game
APP is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ APP -28.5)
Projected Score: APP: 27 - TXST: 19 (46)
APP Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
APP Travel: 1035 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bobcats (3 - 9) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 28 (20 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
TXST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	App State at Penn State	+24.0	54.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/8	App State at Charlotte	-14.5	48.5	W 45 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-45.0	56.0	W 72 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/29	App State vs South Alabama	-25.0	55.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	App State at Arkansas State	-10.5	59.5	W 35 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/20	App State vs Louisiana	-25.0	65.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/25	App State at Georgia Southern	-11.0	47.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/3	App State at Coastal Carolina	-13.5	52.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/10	App State at Texas State	-18.5	47.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/17	App State vs Georgia State	-27.5	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/24	App State vs Troy	-12.0	45.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/1	App State vs Louisiana	-17.5	54.0	W 30 - 19	U	N
Sat 12/15	App State vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	48.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Texas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Texas State at Rutgers	+16.5	48.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/8	Texas State vs Texas Southern	-34.0	52.5	W 36 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/15	Texas State at South Alabama	+10.0	49.0	L 31 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Texas State at UTSA	+7.0	49.0	L 21 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Texas State vs Louisiana	+3.0	57.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Thu 10/11	Texas State vs Georgia Southern	+17.0	52.0	L 13 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Texas State at UL Monroe	+10.5	60.0	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Texas State vs New Mexico State	-1.0	56.0	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Texas State at Georgia State	+7.0	53.0	W 40 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Texas State vs App State	+18.5	47.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/17	Texas State at Troy	+23.0	47.5	L 7 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Texas State vs Arkansas State	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 33	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	43%	37.3	40%	2.92	240	46%	191	4.13		37%	15.5	36%	34%	2.55	57.5	1.3	1.8
TXST	.07	39%	19.8	40%	2.42	147	37%	182	2.62	.09	37%	27.6	36%	34%	3.3	49.2	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
TXST	#25 (.25)	48% (17)		49% (14)	3.41 (11)	194	48% (10)	245	3.89 (72)	#50 (.14)	39% (31)		38% (21)	39% (54)	3.47 (33)	56.5	1.6	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	13	37.3	32.2	43.5%	4.13	1.3	20	430	240	191	5.8	59%	40%	40%	46%	14%	.25
TXST Defense	12	27.6	28	36.9%	3.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	36%	34%	15%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	13	15.5	18.5	36.9%	2.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	36%	34%	18%
TXST Offense	12	19.8	19.5	39.3%	2.62	1.9	17	330	147	182	4	54%	45%	40%	37%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	13	30:35	20.3	42%	59%	6.2	57.5	1.3	1.8	6.5	2.2	5	31.1
Texas State	12	27:46	17.3	32%	50%	6	49.2	1.9	1.3	4.8	1.3	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	13	59%	40%	41.5	239.8	5.8	31	.2	2.92	75%	8%	1.25
TXST Defense	12	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.99	58%	9%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.8	56%	11%	0.97
TXST Offense	12	54%	40%	37.3	147.2	4	15	-.01	2.42	57%	12%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	13	40%	46%	15.1	24.5	190.6	7.8	12.6	27	12	.35	1.7	32%	34%	.48	6%	2.2
TXST Defense	12	45%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.15	1.7	36%	31%	.24	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.03	1.4	35%	32%	.17	7%	1.6
TXST Offense	12	45%	37%	16.1	27.5	182.3	6.6	11.3	15	12	.2	1.7	34%	28%	.24	7%	1.9

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2018 Expected Record: -
App State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #56
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: Texas State: -5.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 11.9 Texas State: -16.4

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -5.7 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #114
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #126
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #73

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

App State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.5

App State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
App State 27
Texas State 19

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 22
Texas State 19

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
App State 32
Texas State 19

Total Points: 51

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Texas State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/08	Texas State	36	App State	24	Appalachian State -19.5	Texas State	54.5	Over
2020	11/07	Texas State	17	App State	38	Appalachian State -21.5	Texas State	58.0	Under
2019	11/23	App State	35	Texas State	13	Appalachian State -28	Texas State	51.0	Under
2018	11/10	Texas State	7	App State	38	Appalachian State -18.5	App State	47.0	Under
2017	09/16	Texas State	13	App State	20	Appalachian State -21.5	Texas State	48.5	Under
2016	11/05	App State	35	Texas State	10	Appalachian State -30	Texas State	53.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas State	1	5	1 Overs
App State	5	1	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	0 - 2	3 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	1 - 3	2 - 0

(#) APP at (#) TXST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	TXST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#114
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#111	#125
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

Texas State Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	TXST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 11
App State 18.5 (47.0)
App State won at Texas State this year (38-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat App State in 2022 (36-24)

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD