UL Monroe at Arkansas State - 2018 Matchup Preview
UL Monroe logo   UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves  Arkansas State logo
Saturday, November 17th 2018 (3:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -7.5 (68.0)
Arkansas State 31 - UL Monroe: 17  (Sun Belt)

 
Warhawks (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULM 2nd straight Road Game
ARST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ ARST -12)
Projected Score: ULM: 22 - ARST: 32 (54)
ARST Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ULM Travel: 243 miles
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UL Monroe's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 UL Monroe vs SE Louisiana-21.074.0W 34 - 31UN
Sat 9/8 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+5.067.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 9/15 UL Monroe at Texas A&M+28.066.0L 10 - 48UN
Sat 9/22 UL Monroe vs Troy+4.559.0L 27 - 35ON
Sat 9/29 UL Monroe at Georgia State-6.065.0L 14 - 46UN
Sat 10/6 UL Monroe at Ole Miss+23.576.0L 21 - 70ON
Sat 10/13 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+6.567.0W 45 - 20UY
Sat 10/20 UL Monroe vs Texas State-10.560.0W 20 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 UL Monroe vs Georgia Southern+7.060.5W 44 - 25OY
Sat 11/10 UL Monroe at South Alabama-7.563.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/17 UL Monroe at Arkansas State+7.568.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/24 UL Monroe vs Louisiana-1.571.0L 28 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-32.556.0W 48 - 21ON
Sat 9/8 Arkansas State at Alabama+36.563.0L 7 - 57ON
Sat 9/15 Arkansas State at Tulsa+2.071.0W 29 - 20UY
Sat 9/22 Arkansas State vs UNLV-8.066.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 9/29 Arkansas State at Georgia Southern-3.053.5L 21 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9 Arkansas State vs App State+10.559.5L 9 - 35UN
Thu 10/18 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-13.555.5W 51 - 35OY
Sat 10/27 Arkansas State at Louisiana-3.069.0L 43 - 47ON
Sat 11/3 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-14.061.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/10 Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina-6.561.5W 44 - 16UY
Sat 11/17 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-7.568.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/24 Arkansas State at Texas State-13.048.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/29 Arkansas State vs Nevada+1.556.5L 13 - 16UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM.2145%16.643%2.9617047%2883.7.3548%31.949%47%4.5744.31.51.2
ARST.1746%25.242%2.6915348%3423.22.0838%27.439%36%2.94692.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense1216.615.445.4%3.71.5224581702884.453%46%43%47%15%.21
ARST Defense1227.427.237.8%2.942.2 - - - - - 49%50%39%36%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1231.93948.5%4.571.2 - - - - - 53%46%49%47%14%.35
ARST Offense1225.22946.2%3.222.127495153342442%56%42%48%16%.17

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1229:4321.643%57%5.344.31.51.25.21.8433.5
Arkansas State1228:5126.744%33%7.8692.12.28.22.9236.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1253%43%38.3169.84.427.092.9677%9%0.94
ARST Defense1249%39% - - - - .022.3971%14%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1253%49% - - - - .263.2875%8%1.09
ARST Offense1242%42%38.6152.6417.052.6969%9%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1246%47%20.533.7287.78.514229.371.730%35%.386%2.1
ARST Defense1250%36% - - - - - - 14.171.835%29%.227%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1246%47% - - - - - - 9.471.829%38%.546%2.1
ARST Offense1256%48%26.442.7342.28133817.281.530%36%.287%1.8

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2018 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9  #105
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #87
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe:    Arkansas State: 3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -10.9   Arkansas State: 1.2




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 3.1 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #72
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #57
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 32
UL Monroe 22

Projected Total Points: 54
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27UL Monroe28Arkansas State16UL Monroe -1.5UL Monroe55.5Under
202411/23Arkansas State28UL Monroe21Arkansas State -3Arkansas State51.5Under
202310/28UL Monroe24Arkansas State34Louisiana Monroe -1.0Arkansas State55.5Over
202210/01Arkansas State45UL Monroe28Arkansas State -7.5Arkansas State58.5Over
202111/13UL Monroe24Arkansas State27Louisiana Monroe -3Arkansas State66.5Under
202012/05Arkansas State48UL Monroe15Arkansas State -20.5Arkansas State71.5Under
201911/02UL Monroe41Arkansas State48Arkansas State -1Arkansas State69.0Over
201811/17Arkansas State31UL Monroe17Arkansas State -7.5Arkansas State68.0Under
201711/25UL Monroe50Arkansas State67Arkansas State -8.5Arkansas State69.0Over
201610/29Arkansas State51UL Monroe10Arkansas State -17Arkansas State55.0Over
201511/14UL Monroe21Arkansas State59Arkansas State -12.5Arkansas State55.5Over
201410/04Arkansas State28UL Monroe14Arkansas State -10Arkansas State0
201311/09UL Monroe14Arkansas State42Louisiana Monroe -3.5Arkansas State0
201211/08Arkansas State45UL Monroe23
201110/08UL Monroe19Arkansas State24
201009/18Arkansas State34UL Monroe20
200910/13UL Monroe16Arkansas State10
200810/11Arkansas State37UL Monroe29
200710/06UL Monroe30Arkansas State13
200610/07Arkansas State10UL Monroe6
200510/01UL Monroe31Arkansas State27
200409/25UL Monroe21Arkansas State28
200310/04Arkansas State44UL Monroe41
200209/21UL Monroe21Arkansas State33
200111/17Arkansas State7UL Monroe16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State20126 Overs
UL Monroe515 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 107 - 67 - 30 - 3
Road Teams10 - 156 - 73 - 03 - 7

(#) ULM at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULMARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #72
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #122 #86
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UL Monroe on Offense
CategoryCat
ULM OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UL Monroe Run Game
CategoryCat
ULM OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UL Monroe Pass Game
CategoryCat
ULM OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffULM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #57 #108
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffULM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffULM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Arkansas State -7.5 (68.0)
Arkansas State won vs UL Monroe this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Arkansas State last year (28-16)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2024 (28-21)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (34-24)

  
ULM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ULM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD