Arkansas State at Alabama - 2018 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, September 8th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -36.5 (63.0)
Alabama 57 - Arkansas State: 7

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ALA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -20 (SP+ ALA -35)
Projected Score: ARST: 19 - ALA: 30 (49)
ALA Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
ARST Travel: 254 miles

Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-32.5	56.0	W 48 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas State at Alabama	+36.5	63.0	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas State at Tulsa	+2.0	71.0	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Arkansas State vs UNLV	-8.0	66.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas State at Georgia Southern	-3.0	53.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	Arkansas State vs App State	+10.5	59.5	L 9 - 35	U	N
Thu 10/18	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-13.5	55.5	W 51 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-3.0	69.0	L 43 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/3	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-14.0	61.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-6.5	61.5	W 44 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-7.5	68.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Arkansas State at Texas State	-13.0	48.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/29	Arkansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Alabama's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Alabama vs Louisville	-23.5	60.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Alabama vs Arkansas State	-36.5	63.0	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Alabama at Ole Miss	-22.5	71.5	W 62 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Alabama vs Texas A&M	-24.0	58.5	W 45 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/29	Alabama vs Louisiana	-49.0	70.0	W 56 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/6	Alabama at Arkansas	-35.0	58.5	W 65 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/13	Alabama vs Missouri	-28.0	72.5	W 39 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Alabama at Tennessee	-29.5	57.5	W 58 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Alabama at LSU	-14.0	51.5	W 29 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Alabama vs Mississippi State	-21.5	50.0	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Alabama vs The Citadel	-54.5	62.5	W 50 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/24	Alabama vs Auburn	-26.0	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/1	Alabama vs Georgia	-11.0	62.0	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/29	Alabama vs Oklahoma	-14.5	81.5	W 45 - 34	U	N
Mon 1/7	Alabama vs Clemson	-5.5	56.5	L 16 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.17	46%	25.2	42%	2.69	153	48%	342	3.22	.08	38%	27.4	39%	36%	2.94	69	2.1	2.2
ALA	.24	47%	29.5	49%	3.61	251	42%	193	4.13	-.02	35%	19.2	34%	34%	2.11	40.6	0.7	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	12	25.2	21	46.2%	3.22	2.1	27	495	153	342	4	42%	56%	42%	48%	16%	.17
ALA Defense	14	19.2	11.4	34.8%	2.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	34%	34%	21%	-.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	12	27.4	21.8	37.8%	2.94	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	39%	36%	21%	.08
ALA Offense	14	29.5	39.3	47.4%	4.13	0.7	22	444	251	193	5.7	58%	40%	49%	42%	11%	.24

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	12	28:51	26.7	44%	33%	7.8	69	2.1	2.2	8.2	2.9	2	36.6
Alabama	14	29:45	22.2	41%	83%	5	40.6	0.7	1.6	7.1	2.9	2	34.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	12	42%	42%	38.6	152.6	4	17	.05	2.69	69%	9%	0.93
ALA Defense	14	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.05	2.6	73%	12%	0.79

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	12	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.39	71%	14%	0.98
ALA Offense	14	58%	49%	43.7	250.6	5.7	36	.29	3.61	80%	8%	1

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	12	56%	48%	26.4	42.7	342.2	8	13	38	17	.28	1.5	30%	36%	.28	7%	1.8
ALA Defense	14	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	-	1.5	36%	27%	.13	9%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	12	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.8	35%	29%	.22	7%	2.1
ALA Offense	14	40%	42%	14.6	23.7	193.4	8.2	13.3	28	3	.19	1.6	26%	35%	.2	4%	1.6

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #72
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Alabama: 20.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: 1.2 Alabama: 36.3

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 20.65 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2018 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 36.3 #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 50.9 #2
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 30
Arkansas State 19

Projected Total Points: 49

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2018 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/08	Alabama	57	Arkansas State	7	Alabama -36.5	Alabama	63.0	Over
2008	11/01	Alabama	35	Arkansas State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	2	1	1 Overs
Arkansas State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#1
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#2
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -36.5 (63.0)
Alabama won vs Arkansas State this year (57-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD