Georgia State at Arkansas State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Thursday, October 18th 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -13.5 (55.5)
Arkansas State 51 - Georgia State: 35 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (2 - 10) (1 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 2nd straight Home Game
GAST coming off BYE
Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ ARST -22)
Projected Score: GAST: 23 - ARST: 35 (58)
ARST Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
GAST Travel: 385 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Georgia State vs Kennesaw State	-13.5
Sat 9/8	Georgia State at NC State	+25.0	56.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
Fri 9/14	Georgia State at Memphis	+28.5	63.0	L 22 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/22	Georgia State vs Western Michigan	+8.5	61.0	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/29	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	+6.0	65.0	W 46 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/4	Georgia State at Troy	+17.0	55.5	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18	Georgia State at Arkansas State	+13.5	55.5	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/27	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+2.5	61.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/3	Georgia State vs Texas State	-7.0	53.0	L 30 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/10	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	70.0	L 22 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/17	Georgia State at App State	+27.5	54.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/24	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	60.0	L 14 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-32.5	56.0	W 48 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas State at Alabama	+36.5	63.0	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas State at Tulsa	+2.0	71.0	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Arkansas State vs UNLV	-8.0	66.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas State at Georgia Southern	-3.0	53.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	Arkansas State vs App State	+10.5	59.5	L 9 - 35	U	N
Thu 10/18	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-13.5	55.5	W 51 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-3.0	69.0	L 43 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/3	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-14.0	61.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-6.5	61.5	W 44 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-7.5	68.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Arkansas State at Texas State	-13.0	48.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/29	Arkansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.12	41%	19.8	35%	2.55	117	46%	271	2.15	.16	40%	37.8	36%	43%	2.71	47.4	1.8	1.4
ARST	.17	46%	25.2	42%	2.69	153	48%	342	3.22	.08	38%	27.4	39%	36%	2.94	69	2.1	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	19.8	18	41.4%	2.15	1.8	20	388	117	271	3.2	48%	51%	35%	46%	16%	.12
ARST Defense	12	27.4	27.2	37.8%	2.94	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	39%	36%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	37.8	45.3	40.3%	2.71	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	36%	43%	15%	.16
ARST Offense	12	25.2	29	46.2%	3.22	2.1	27	495	153	342	4	42%	56%	42%	48%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	31:40	19.9	42%	50%	5.2	47.4	1.8	1.4	4.5	2	1	30.6
Arkansas State	12	28:51	26.7	44%	33%	7.8	69	2.1	2.2	8.2	2.9	2	36.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	48%	35%	36.6	116.9	3.2	12	-.09	2.55	69%	11%	0.87
ARST Defense	12	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.39	71%	14%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.68	66%	9%	0.95
ARST Offense	12	42%	42%	38.6	152.6	4	17	.05	2.69	69%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	51%	46%	22.1	34.4	270.7	7.9	12.3	15	9	.32	1.5	32%	32%	.29	5%	1.9
ARST Defense	12	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.8	35%	29%	.22	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.31	1.5	33%	33%	.33	6%	1.8
ARST Offense	12	56%	48%	26.4	42.7	342.2	8	13	38	17	.28	1.5	30%	36%	.28	7%	1.8

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #124
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #108
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: Arkansas State: 3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -20.4 Arkansas State: 1.2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 3.1 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #72
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 1 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 35
Georgia State 23

Projected Total Points: 58

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Georgia State	20	Arkansas State	27	Georgia State -2.5	Arkansas State	60.0	Under
2021	11/20	Georgia State	28	Arkansas State	20	Georgia State -15.5	Arkansas State	66.0	Under
2020	10/15	Arkansas State	59	Georgia State	52	Arkansas State -3.5	Arkansas State	72.5	Over
2019	10/05	Georgia State	52	Arkansas State	38	Arkansas State -6.5	Georgia State	69.0	Over
2018	10/18	Arkansas State	51	Georgia State	35	Arkansas State -13.5	Arkansas State	55.5	Over
2016	11/03	Georgia State	16	Arkansas State	31	Arkansas State -2	Arkansas State	48.0	Under
2015	10/31	Arkansas State	48	Georgia State	34	Arkansas State -18.5	Georgia State	57.5	Over
2014	10/11	Georgia State	10	Arkansas State	52	Arkansas State -13.5	Arkansas State	0
2013	11/23	Arkansas State	35	Georgia State	33	Arkansas State -23	Georgia State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	7	6	4 Overs
Georgia State	2	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	3 - 6	2 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	6 - 3	2 - 1	4 - 2

(#) GAST at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#72
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#95	#86
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Arkansas State -13.5 (55.5)
Arkansas State won vs Georgia State this year (51-35)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Georgia State in 2024 (27-20)

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD