Arkansas State at Georgia Southern - 2018 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, September 29th 2018 (6:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -3 (53.5)
Georgia Southern 28 - Arkansas State: 21 (Sun Belt)

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO coming off BYE
ARST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ ARST -3.5)
Projected Score: ARST: 28 - GASO: 29 (57)
ARST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ARST Travel: 561 miles, 1 hrs behind

Eagles (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (36 - 33 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-32.5	56.0	W 48 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas State at Alabama	+36.5	63.0	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas State at Tulsa	+2.0	71.0	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Arkansas State vs UNLV	-8.0	66.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas State at Georgia Southern	-3.0	53.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	Arkansas State vs App State	+10.5	59.5	L 9 - 35	U	N
Thu 10/18	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-13.5	55.5	W 51 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-3.0	69.0	L 43 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/3	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-14.0	61.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-6.5	61.5	W 44 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-7.5	68.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Arkansas State at Texas State	-13.0	48.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/29	Arkansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State	-28.0	46.5	W 37 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Georgia Southern vs Massachusetts	-1.5	61.0	W 34 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Georgia Southern at Clemson	+31.5	50.0	L 7 - 38	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State	+3.0	53.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Georgia Southern vs South Alabama	-13.0	56.0	W 48 - 13	O	Y
Thu 10/11	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-17.0	52.0	W 15 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/20	Georgia Southern at New Mexico State	-9.5	52.5	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Thu 10/25	Georgia Southern vs App State	+11.0	47.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Georgia Southern at UL Monroe	-7.0	60.5	L 25 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/10	Georgia Southern vs Troy	+2.0	44.5	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/17	Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina	-7.5	52.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	-10.0	60.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/15	Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	45.5	W 23 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.17	46%	25.2	42%	2.69	153	48%	342	3.22	.08	38%	27.4	39%	36%	2.94	69	2.1	2.2
GASO	.09	40%	27.9	41%	2.84	222	32%	110	2.97	.22	41%	32.3	42%	39%	3.36	54	1.7	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	12	25.2	21	46.2%	3.22	2.1	27	495	153	342	4	42%	56%	42%	48%	16%	.17
GASO Defense	12	32.3	33	41%	3.36	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	42%	39%	19%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	12	27.4	21.8	37.8%	2.94	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	39%	36%	21%	.08
GASO Offense	12	27.9	36.2	39.8%	2.97	1.7	18	332	222	110	4.1	73%	25%	41%	32%	18%	.09

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	12	28:51	26.7	44%	33%	7.8	69	2.1	2.2	8.2	2.9	2	36.6
Georgia Southern	12	33:59	17.5	35%	61%	6.4	54	1.7	1.7	5.6	1.8	1	31.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	12	42%	42%	38.6	152.6	4	17	.05	2.69	69%	9%	0.93
GASO Defense	12	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.78	62%	11%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	12	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.39	71%	14%	0.98
GASO Offense	12	73%	41%	53.7	222.3	4.1	19	.09	2.84	77%	15%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	12	56%	48%	26.4	42.7	342.2	8	13	38	17	.28	1.5	30%	36%	.28	7%	1.8
GASO Defense	12	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.36	2	34%	34%	.35	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	12	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.8	35%	29%	.22	7%	2.1
GASO Offense	12	25%	32%	8.8	16.3	110	6.8	12.6	8	7	.05	1.6	33%	26%	.17	3%	1.8

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #72
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Georgia Southern: 1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: 1.2 Georgia Southern: -2.4

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: 1.3 NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Southern's 2018 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #87
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 29
Arkansas State 28

Projected Total Points: 57

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Georgia Southern's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Arkansas State	34	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia Southern -1.5	Arkansas State	59.5	Under
2021	10/02	Georgia Southern	59	Arkansas State	33	Georgia Southern -1.5	Georgia Southern	66.5	Over
2019	11/23	Arkansas State	38	Georgia Southern	33	Arkansas State -1	Arkansas State	52.5	Over
2018	09/29	Georgia Southern	28	Arkansas State	21	Arkansas State -3	Georgia Southern	53.5	Under
2017	10/04	Georgia Southern	25	Arkansas State	43	Arkansas State -9	Arkansas State	54.5	Over
2016	10/05	Arkansas State	27	Georgia Southern	26	Georgia Southern -5.5	Arkansas State	53.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	2	2	3 Overs
Arkansas State	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	5 - 1	2 - 0	3 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 5	1 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2

(#) ARST at (#) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#87
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#124
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Arkansas State 3.0 (53.5)
Georgia Southern won vs Arkansas State this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Georgia Southern last year (34-24)

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD