Arkansas State at Tulsa - 2018 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Saturday, September 15th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -2 (71.0)
Arkansas State 29 - Tulsa: 20

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ ARST -12.5)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - TLSA: 25 (51)
TLSA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ARST Travel: 296 miles

Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-32.5	56.0	W 48 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas State at Alabama	+36.5	63.0	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas State at Tulsa	+2.0	71.0	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Arkansas State vs UNLV	-8.0	66.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas State at Georgia Southern	-3.0	53.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	Arkansas State vs App State	+10.5	59.5	L 9 - 35	U	N
Thu 10/18	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-13.5	55.5	W 51 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-3.0	69.0	L 43 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/3	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-14.0	61.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-6.5	61.5	W 44 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-7.5	68.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Arkansas State at Texas State	-13.0	48.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/29	Arkansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Tulsa's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Tulsa vs Central Arkansas	-11.5	62.0	W 38 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/8	Tulsa at Texas	+22.5	60.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Tulsa vs Arkansas State	-2.0	71.0	L 20 - 29	U	N
Thu 9/20	Tulsa at Temple	+6.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/4	Tulsa at Houston	+17.5	71.5	L 26 - 41	U	Y
Fri 10/12	Tulsa vs South Florida	+10.0	60.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Tulsa at Arkansas	+7.5	52.0	L 0 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/27	Tulsa vs Tulane	+1.0	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/3	Tulsa vs UConn	-18.5	60.0	W 49 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Tulsa at Memphis	+16.5	66.0	L 21 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/17	Tulsa at Navy	+5.0	50.5	L 29 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/24	Tulsa vs SMU	+2.5	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.17	46%	25.2	42%	2.69	153	48%	342	3.22	.08	38%	27.4	39%	36%	2.94	69	2.1	2.2
TLSA	.18	42%	23.2	46%	2.92	247	33%	173	3.52	.31	47%	28.9	45%	47%	3.6	60	1.1	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	12	25.2	21	46.2%	3.22	2.1	27	495	153	342	4	42%	56%	42%	48%	16%	.17
TLSA Defense	12	28.9	27.2	47%	3.6	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	45%	47%	13%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	12	27.4	21.8	37.8%	2.94	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	39%	36%	21%	.08
TLSA Offense	12	23.2	27.3	42.4%	3.52	1.1	22	420	247	173	5	64%	35%	46%	33%	15%	.18

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	12	28:51	26.7	44%	33%	7.8	69	2.1	2.2	8.2	2.9	2	36.6
Tulsa	12	28:01	21.8	44%	61%	7	60	1.1	1.1	4.9	1	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	12	42%	42%	38.6	152.6	4	17	.05	2.69	69%	9%	0.93
TLSA Defense	12	59%	45%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.33	66%	8%	1.13

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	12	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.39	71%	14%	0.98
TLSA Offense	12	64%	46%	49.3	247.3	5	36	.25	2.92	73%	9%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	12	56%	48%	26.4	42.7	342.2	8	13	38	17	.28	1.5	30%	36%	.28	7%	1.8
TLSA Defense	12	40%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.47	1.9	29%	41%	.46	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	12	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.8	35%	29%	.22	7%	2.1
TLSA Offense	12	35%	33%	13	24.3	173.1	7.1	13.3	6	8	.06	1.7	32%	33%	.25	6%	1.8

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #72
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Tulsa: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: 1.2 Tulsa: -11.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2018 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #107
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #109
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 26
Tulsa 25

Projected Total Points: 51

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Arkansas State	28	Tulsa	24	Arkansas State -9.5	Tulsa	65.5	Under
2021	09/25	Tulsa	41	Arkansas State	34	Tulsa -14.5	Arkansas State	65.0	Over
2018	09/15	Tulsa	20	Arkansas State	29	Tulsa -2	Arkansas State	71.0	Under
2003	09/20	Tulsa	54	Arkansas State	7
2002	09/07	Arkansas State	21	Tulsa	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	2	1	1 Overs
Arkansas State	3	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 1	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 4	3 - 0	0 - 0	3 - 0

(#) ARST at (#) TLSA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	TLSA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#107
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Tulsa Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	TLSA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Tulsa -2.0 (71.0)
Arkansas State won at Tulsa this year (29-20)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Tulsa in 2024 (28-24)

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TLSA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD