South Alabama at App State - 2018 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, September 29th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -25 (55.5)
App State 52 - South Alabama: 7 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 39 (20 - 49 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USA 2nd straight Road Game
APP 2nd straight Home Game
USA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -17.5 (SP+ APP -30)
Projected Score: USA: 19 - APP: 48 (67)
APP Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 529 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 16 (41 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	South Alabama vs Louisiana Tech	+10.5	53.0	L 26 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/8	South Alabama at Oklahoma State	+30.5	64.0	L 13 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/15	South Alabama vs Texas State	-10.0	49.0	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/22	South Alabama at Memphis	+31.5	66.0	L 35 - 52	O	Y
Sat 9/29	South Alabama at App State	+25.0	55.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/6	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	+13.0	56.0	L 13 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/13	South Alabama vs Alabama State	-27.5	55.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23	South Alabama vs Troy	+11.0	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/3	South Alabama at Arkansas State	+14.0	61.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/10	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	+7.5	63.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/17	South Alabama at Louisiana	+19.0	66.0	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Fri 11/23	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	+1.0	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

App State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	App State at Penn State	+24.0	54.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/8	App State at Charlotte	-14.5	48.5	W 45 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-45.0	56.0	W 72 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/29	App State vs South Alabama	-25.0	55.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	App State at Arkansas State	-10.5	59.5	W 35 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/20	App State vs Louisiana	-25.0	65.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/25	App State at Georgia Southern	-11.0	47.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/3	App State at Coastal Carolina	-13.5	52.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/10	App State at Texas State	-18.5	47.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/17	App State vs Georgia State	-27.5	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/24	App State vs Troy	-12.0	45.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/1	App State vs Louisiana	-17.5	54.0	W 30 - 19	U	N
Sat 12/15	App State vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	48.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.11	38%	24.2	37%	2.55	153	37%	203	3.28	.29	48%	38.8	45%	49%	4.66	84.4	1.8	1.5
APP	.25	43%	37.3	40%	2.92	240	46%	191	4.13		37%	15.5	36%	34%	2.55	57.5	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	12	24.2	20	37.8%	3.28	1.8	18	356	153	203	3.7	57%	42%	37%	37%	17%	.11
APP Defense	13	15.5	12.8	36.9%	2.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	36%	34%	18%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	12	38.8	48.8	47.8%	4.66	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	45%	49%	15%	.29
APP Offense	13	37.3	41.2	43.5%	4.13	1.3	20	430	240	191	5.8	59%	40%	40%	46%	14%	.25

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	12	29:47	17.8	35%	62%	9	84.4	1.8	1.5	4.6	1.5	2	29.3
App State	13	30:35	20.3	42%	59%	6.2	57.5	1.3	1.8	6.5	2.2	5	31.1

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	12	57%	37%	40.8	152.9	3.7	17	-.03	2.55	69%	11%	0.84
APP Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.8	56%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.2	2.68	62%	9%	1.21
APP Offense	13	59%	40%	41.5	239.8	5.8	31	.2	2.92	75%	8%	1.25

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	12	42%	37%	16.7	26.7	203.3	7.6	12.2	19	10	.3	1.9	35%	29%	.26	6%	1.7
APP Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.03	1.4	35%	32%	.17	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	12	43%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.42	1.7	28%	35%	.4	6%	2.1
APP Offense	13	40%	46%	15.1	24.5	190.6	7.8	12.6	27	12	.35	1.7	32%	34%	.48	6%	2.2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2018 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #117
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #101
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.0 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: App State: 8.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -17.7 App State: 11.9

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 8.45 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2018 Expected Record: -
App State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #56
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 38.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.8

South Alabama's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
App State 48
South Alabama 19

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 54
South Alabama 20

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
App State 42
South Alabama 18

Total Points: 60

App State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.2
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

App State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/19	App State	14	South Alabama	48	App State -8	South Alabama	62.5	Under
2021	11/13	App State	31	South Alabama	7	Appalachian State -21.5	App State	51.5	Under
2019	10/26	South Alabama	3	App State	30	Appalachian State -27.5	South Alabama	51.0	Under
2018	09/29	App State	52	South Alabama	7	Appalachian State -25	App State	55.5	Over
2015	12/05	South Alabama	27	App State	34	Appalachian State -16.5	South Alabama	59.0	Over
2014	10/04	App State	21	South Alabama	47	South Alabama -5.5	South Alabama	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	4	2	2 Overs
South Alabama	2	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 4	4 - 2	2 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 2	2 - 4	1 - 2	1 - 2

(#) USA at (#) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#29
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#97	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

App State Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72°

Rematch from Week 5
App State -25.0 (55.5)
App State won vs South Alabama this year (52-7)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat App State last year (48-14)

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD