Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina - 2018 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Saturday, November 10th 2018 (5:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -6.5 (61.5)
Arkansas State 44 - Coastal Carolina: 16 (Sun Belt)

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CCU 2nd straight Home Game
CCU is playing their 5th straight game
ARST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ ARST -18.5)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - CCU: 23 (49)
ARST Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ARST Travel: 676 miles, 1 hrs behind

Chanticleers (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (22 - 27 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
CCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-32.5	56.0	W 48 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas State at Alabama	+36.5	63.0	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas State at Tulsa	+2.0	71.0	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Arkansas State vs UNLV	-8.0	66.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas State at Georgia Southern	-3.0	53.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	Arkansas State vs App State	+10.5	59.5	L 9 - 35	U	N
Thu 10/18	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-13.5	55.5	W 51 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-3.0	69.0	L 43 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/3	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-14.0	61.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-6.5	61.5	W 44 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-7.5	68.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Arkansas State at Texas State	-13.0	48.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/29	Arkansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Coastal Carolina's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Coastal Carolina at South Carolina	+31.0	55.5	L 15 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/8	Coastal Carolina vs UAB	+8.5	54.5	W 47 - 24	O	Y
Wed 9/12	Coastal Carolina at Campbell	+11
Sat 9/22	Coastal Carolina at Louisiana	+3.0	61.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Coastal Carolina at Troy	+13.5	57.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe	-6.5	67.0	L 20 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/20	Coastal Carolina at Massachusetts	+2.5	74.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Coastal Carolina at Georgia State	-2.5	61.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Coastal Carolina vs App State	+13.5	52.0	L 7 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/10	Coastal Carolina vs Arkansas State	+6.5	61.5	L 16 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/17	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern	+7.5	52.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Fri 11/23	Coastal Carolina at South Alabama	-1.0	58.5	L 28 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.17	46%	25.2	42%	2.69	153	48%	342	3.22	.08	38%	27.4	39%	36%	2.94	69	2.1	2.2
CCU	.17	42%	22.2	42%	2.82	156	40%	189	3.2	.27	48%	33.1	46%	49%	4.17	62.8	1.5	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	12	25.2	21	46.2%	3.22	2.1	27	495	153	342	4	42%	56%	42%	48%	16%	.17
CCU Defense	12	33.1	26.5	47.9%	4.17	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	46%	49%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	12	27.4	21.8	37.8%	2.94	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	39%	36%	21%	.08
CCU Offense	12	22.2	21.7	41.8%	3.2	1.5	18	345	156	189	4.2	56%	43%	42%	40%	21%	.17

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	12	28:51	26.7	44%	33%	7.8	69	2.1	2.2	8.2	2.9	2	36.6
Coastal Carolina	12	30:18	18.3	36%	41%	7	62.8	1.5	0.8	5.4	1.3	0	31.8

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	12	42%	42%	38.6	152.6	4	17	.05	2.69	69%	9%	0.93
CCU Defense	12	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.8	83%	10%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	12	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.39	71%	14%	0.98
CCU Offense	12	56%	42%	37.2	156.3	4.2	15	.11	2.82	71%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	12	56%	48%	26.4	42.7	342.2	8	13	38	17	.28	1.5	30%	36%	.28	7%	1.8
CCU Defense	12	45%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.46	1.6	32%	37%	.4	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	12	50%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.8	35%	29%	.22	7%	2.1
CCU Offense	12	43%	40%	13.2	25.3	189.1	7.5	14.4	18	11	.25	1.7	33%	35%	.24	8%	1.6

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #72
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #57
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Coastal Carolina: -6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: 1.2 Coastal Carolina: -17.2

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -6.1 NR
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Coastal Carolina's 2018 Expected Record: -
Coastal Carolina's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.2 #116
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #76
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 45.7 #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 26
Coastal Carolina 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Coastal Carolina's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Arkansas State	17	Coastal Carolina	27	Coastal Carolina -8.5	Coastal Carolina	59.0	Under
2021	10/07	Arkansas State	20	Coastal Carolina	52	Coastal Carolina -20.5	Coastal Carolina	74.5	Under
2020	10/03	Coastal Carolina	52	Arkansas State	23	Arkansas State -3.5	Coastal Carolina	64.5	Over
2019	11/16	Arkansas State	28	Coastal Carolina	27	Arkansas State -14	Coastal Carolina	60.5	Under
2018	11/10	Coastal Carolina	16	Arkansas State	44	Arkansas State -6.5	Arkansas State	61.5	Under
2017	10/14	Arkansas State	51	Coastal Carolina	17	Arkansas State -16.5	Arkansas State	63.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Coastal Carolina	3	4	2 Overs
Arkansas State	3	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) CCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	CCU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#116
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#126
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Coastal Carolina Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#129
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	CCU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Coastal Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Coastal Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	CCU Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Arkansas State 6.5 (61.5)
Arkansas State won at Coastal Carolina this year (44-16)

Previous Matchups
Coastal Carolina beat Arkansas State in 2023 (27-17)

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CCU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD