Georgia State at App State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, November 17th 2018 (2:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -27.5 (54.5)
App State 45 - Georgia State: 17 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (2 - 10) (1 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 37 (21 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Road Game
APP is playing their 6th straight game
GAST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -18.5 (SP+ APP -32)
Projected Score: GAST: 21 - APP: 37 (58)
APP Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
GAST Travel: 230 miles

Mountaineers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 16 (41 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Georgia State vs Kennesaw State	-13.5
Sat 9/8	Georgia State at NC State	+25.0	56.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
Fri 9/14	Georgia State at Memphis	+28.5	63.0	L 22 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/22	Georgia State vs Western Michigan	+8.5	61.0	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/29	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	+6.0	65.0	W 46 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/4	Georgia State at Troy	+17.0	55.5	L 20 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18	Georgia State at Arkansas State	+13.5	55.5	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/27	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+2.5	61.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/3	Georgia State vs Texas State	-7.0	53.0	L 30 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/10	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	70.0	L 22 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/17	Georgia State at App State	+27.5	54.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/24	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	60.0	L 14 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

App State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	App State at Penn State	+24.0	54.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/8	App State at Charlotte	-14.5	48.5	W 45 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-45.0	56.0	W 72 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/29	App State vs South Alabama	-25.0	55.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	App State at Arkansas State	-10.5	59.5	W 35 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/20	App State vs Louisiana	-25.0	65.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/25	App State at Georgia Southern	-11.0	47.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/3	App State at Coastal Carolina	-13.5	52.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/10	App State at Texas State	-18.5	47.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/17	App State vs Georgia State	-27.5	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/24	App State vs Troy	-12.0	45.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/1	App State vs Louisiana	-17.5	54.0	W 30 - 19	U	N
Sat 12/15	App State vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	48.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.18	44%	23.8	45%	2.86	172	41%	207	3.7	.39	48%	37.4	43%	54%	4.04	44.2	1.5	0.9
APP	.25	43%	37.3	40%	2.92	240	46%	191	4.13		37%	15.5	36%	34%	2.55	57.5	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	12	23.8	20.5	43.8%	3.7	1.5	20	379	172	207	4.5	54%	44%	45%	41%	16%	.18
APP Defense	13	15.5	12.8	36.9%	2.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	36%	34%	18%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	12	37.4	44.8	48.2%	4.04	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	43%	54%	10%	.39
APP Offense	13	37.3	41.2	43.5%	4.13	1.3	20	430	240	191	5.8	59%	40%	40%	46%	14%	.25

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	12	33:09	20.3	41%	59%	4.2	44.2	1.5	0.9	3.6	1.1	2	26.3
App State	13	30:35	20.3	42%	59%	6.2	57.5	1.3	1.8	6.5	2.2	5	31.1

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	12	54%	45%	38.5	172.2	4.5	20	.09	2.86	72%	12%	0.98
APP Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.8	56%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	12	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.22	81%	7%	1.24
APP Offense	13	59%	40%	41.5	239.8	5.8	31	.2	2.92	75%	8%	1.25

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	12	44%	41%	17.3	29.3	206.8	7.1	12	15	6	.29	1.7	34%	37%	.41	4%	1.8
APP Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.03	1.4	35%	32%	.17	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	12	40%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.64	1.7	27%	38%	.51	4%	2
APP Offense	13	40%	46%	15.1	24.5	190.6	7.8	12.6	27	12	.35	1.7	32%	34%	.48	6%	2.2

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #124
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #108
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: App State: 8.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -20.4 App State: 11.9

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 8.45 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2018 Expected Record: -
App State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #56
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 37.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.8

Georgia State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 1 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
App State 37
Georgia State 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 34
Georgia State 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
App State 40
Georgia State 18

Total Points: 58

App State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.2
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

App State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Georgia State	20	App State	41	App State -3	App State	55.5	Over
2024	10/26	App State	33	Georgia State	26	App State -7.5	Georgia State	59.0	Push
2023	11/11	Georgia State	14	App State	42	Georgia State -2.5	App State	62.5	Under
2022	10/19	App State	42	Georgia State	17	Appalachian State -9.5	App State	60.5	Under
2021	10/02	Georgia State	16	App State	45	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	54.5	Over
2020	11/14	App State	17	Georgia State	13	Appalachian State -18	Georgia State	63.0	Under
2019	11/16	Georgia State	27	App State	56	Appalachian State -15	App State	61.0	Over
2018	11/17	App State	45	Georgia State	17	Appalachian State -27.5	App State	54.5	Over
2017	11/25	Georgia State	10	App State	31	Appalachian State -6	App State	50.5	Under
2016	10/01	App State	17	Georgia State	3	Appalachian State -21	Georgia State	52.0	Under
2015	10/10	Georgia State	3	App State	37	Appalachian State -18	App State	61.0	Under
2014	11/01	App State	44	Georgia State	0	Appalachian State -5.5	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	12	9	4 Overs
Georgia State	0	3	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	3 - 9	3 - 4	0 - 5
Road Teams	6 - 6	9 - 3	5 - 0	4 - 3

(#) GAST at (#) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#29
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#95	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

App State Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53°

Rematch from Week 12
App State -27.5 (54.5)
App State won vs Georgia State this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD