Louisiana at App State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, October 20th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -25 (65.0)
App State 27 - Louisiana: 17 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (7 - 7) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 34 (21 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.2 MPH
ULL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ APP -19)
Projected Score: ULL: 21 - APP: 43 (64)
APP Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
ULL Travel: 727 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 16 (41 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Louisiana vs Grambling	-14.0	61.0	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15	Louisiana at Mississippi State	+34.0	62.5	L 10 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/22	Louisiana vs Coastal Carolina	-3.0	61.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/29	Louisiana at Alabama	+49.0	70.0	L 14 - 56	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Louisiana at Texas State	-3.0	57.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Louisiana vs New Mexico State	-7.5	66.5	W 66 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Louisiana at App State	+25.0	65.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	+3.0	69.0	W 47 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Louisiana at Troy	+7.5	64.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/10	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-13.5	70.0	W 36 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-19.0	66.0	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/24	Louisiana at UL Monroe	+1.5	71.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 12/1	Louisiana at App State	+17.5	54.0	L 19 - 30	U	Y
Sat 12/15	Louisiana vs Tulane	+3.5	60.5	L 24 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

App State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	App State at Penn State	+24.0	54.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/8	App State at Charlotte	-14.5	48.5	W 45 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-45.0	56.0	W 72 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/29	App State vs South Alabama	-25.0	55.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	App State at Arkansas State	-10.5	59.5	W 35 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/20	App State vs Louisiana	-25.0	65.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/25	App State at Georgia Southern	-11.0	47.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/3	App State at Coastal Carolina	-13.5	52.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/10	App State at Texas State	-18.5	47.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/17	App State vs Georgia State	-27.5	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/24	App State vs Troy	-12.0	45.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/1	App State vs Louisiana	-17.5	54.0	W 30 - 19	U	N
Sat 12/15	App State vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	48.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.26	44%	31.9	44%	3.17	219	42%	206	3.99	.29	47%	34.2	47%	44%	4.2	44	1.2	1.1
APP	.25	43%	37.3	40%	2.92	240	46%	191	4.13		37%	15.5	36%	34%	2.55	57.5	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	14	31.9	21.3	44.4%	3.99	1.2	20	424	219	206	5.5	57%	41%	44%	42%	16%	.26
APP Defense	13	15.5	12.8	36.9%	2.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	36%	34%	18%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	14	34.2	35.7	46.7%	4.2	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	60%	38%	47%	44%	12%	.29
APP Offense	13	37.3	41.2	43.5%	4.13	1.3	20	430	240	191	5.8	59%	40%	40%	46%	14%	.25

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	14	28:33	19.7	47%	42%	4.9	44	1.2	1.1	4.5	1.9	0	30.9
App State	13	30:35	20.3	42%	59%	6.2	57.5	1.3	1.8	6.5	2.2	5	31.1

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	14	57%	44%	39.5	218.7	5.5	31	.22	3.17	71%	11%	1.17
APP Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.8	56%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	14	60%	47%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.22	78%	7%	1.02
APP Offense	13	59%	40%	41.5	239.8	5.8	31	.2	2.92	75%	8%	1.25

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	14	41%	42%	15.7	24.9	205.6	8.3	13.1	27	14	.35	1.8	30%	37%	.46	5%	2
APP Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.03	1.4	35%	32%	.17	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	14	38%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.4	1.7	30%	35%	.37	5%	1.8
APP Offense	13	40%	46%	15.1	24.5	190.6	7.8	12.6	27	12	.35	1.7	32%	34%	.48	6%	2.2

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2018 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #94
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #52
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: App State: 8.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -6.9 App State: 11.9

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 8.45 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2018 Expected Record: -
App State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #56
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Louisiana's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
App State 43
Louisiana 21

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 48
Louisiana 20

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
App State 37
Louisiana 21

Total Points: 58

App State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.2
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

App State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Louisiana	34	App State	24	Louisiana -10	Push	64.0	Under
2021	10/12	Louisiana	41	App State	13	Appalachian State -4.5	Louisiana	57.5	Under
2021	12/04	Louisiana	24	App State	16	Appalachian State -2.5	Louisiana	52.5	Under
2020	12/04	App State	21	Louisiana	24	Appalachian State -3	Louisiana	51.0	Under
2019	10/09	Louisiana	7	App State	17	Louisiana -2.5	App State	69.5	Under
2019	12/07	App State	45	Louisiana	38	Appalachian State -6.0	App State	57.5	Over
2018	12/01	App State	30	Louisiana	19	Appalachian State -17.5	Louisiana	54.0	Under
2018	10/20	App State	27	Louisiana	17	Appalachian State -25	Louisiana	65.0	Under
2017	12/02	App State	63	Louisiana	14	Appalachian State -14	App State	58.0	Over
2016	10/12	Louisiana	0	App State	24	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	50.0	Under
2015	11/28	App State	28	Louisiana	7	Appalachian State -22	Louisiana	59.0	Under
2014	11/22	Louisiana	16	App State	35	Louisiana -8	App State	62.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	8	5	2 Overs
Louisiana	4	6	10 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	4 - 7	2 - 6	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 8	7 - 4	1 - 2	6 - 2

(#) ULL at (#) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#29
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#103	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Injury Report

App State Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 8
App State -25.0 (65.0)
App State won vs Louisiana this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat App State last year (34-24)

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD