App State at Charlotte - 2018 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Saturday, September 8th 2018 (6:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -14.5 (48.5)
App State 45 - Charlotte: 9

 
Mountaineers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 16 (32 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP 2nd straight Road Game
CHAR 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ APP -30.5)

Projected Score: APP: 32 - CHAR: 22 (54)
APP Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
APP Travel: 82 miles
49ers (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (28 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 App State at Penn State+24.054.0L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/8 App State at Charlotte-14.548.5W 45 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 App State vs Gardner-Webb-45.056.0W 72 - 7OY
Sat 9/29 App State vs South Alabama-25.055.5W 52 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9 App State at Arkansas State-10.559.5W 35 - 9UY
Sat 10/20 App State vs Louisiana-25.065.0W 27 - 17UN
Thu 10/25 App State at Georgia Southern-11.047.5L 14 - 34ON
Sat 11/3 App State at Coastal Carolina-13.552.0W 23 - 7UY
Sat 11/10 App State at Texas State-18.547.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 11/17 App State vs Georgia State-27.554.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/24 App State vs Troy-12.045.0W 21 - 10UN
Sat 12/1 App State vs Louisiana-17.554.0W 30 - 19UN
Sat 12/15 App State vs Middle Tennessee-6.548.0W 45 - 13OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Charlotte's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Charlotte vs Fordham-16.556.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/8 Charlotte vs App State+14.548.5L 9 - 45ON
Thu 9/13 Charlotte vs Old Dominion+1.047.5W 28 - 25OY
Sat 9/22 Charlotte at Massachusetts+6.555.5L 31 - 49ON
Sat 9/29 Charlotte at UAB+15.552.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Charlotte vs Western Kentucky+9.544.0W 40 - 14OY
Sat 10/20 Charlotte at Middle Tennessee+17.050.5L 13 - 21UY
Sat 10/27 Charlotte vs Southern Miss+6.545.0W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/3 Charlotte at Tennessee+22.547.5L 3 - 14UY
Sat 11/10 Charlotte at Marshall+13.042.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 11/17 Charlotte vs Florida International+3.544.5L 35 - 42ON
Sat 11/24 Charlotte at Florida Atlantic+16.554.5W 27 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP.2543%37.340%2.9224046%1914.1337%15.536%34%2.5557.51.31.8
CHAR.1140%21.739%2.7716038%1792.99.1241%26.635%44%3.6647.11.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1337.332.243.5%4.131.3204302401915.859%40%40%46%14%.25
CHAR Defense1226.625.540.5%3.661.3 - - - - - 48%51%35%44%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1315.518.536.9%2.551.8 - - - - - 51%46%36%34%18%
CHAR Offense1221.727.739.7%2.991.3203391601793.756%42%39%38%16%.11

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1330:3520.342%59%6.257.51.31.86.52.2531.1
Charlotte1235:0019.542%32%5.347.11.31.35.21.6227
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1359%40%41.5239.85.831.22.9275%8%1.25
CHAR Defense1248%35% - - - - -.022.572%11%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1351%36% - - - - .032.856%11%0.97
CHAR Offense1256%39%43.8160.33.718.072.7773%12%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1340%46%15.124.5190.67.812.62712.351.732%34%.486%2.2
CHAR Defense1251%44% - - - - - - 9.281.735%34%.416%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1346%34% - - - - - - 17-.031.435%32%.177%1.6
CHAR Offense1242%38%15.225.3178.87.111.8108.161.534%31%.25%1.6

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2018 Expected Record: -
App State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9  #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #56
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #20

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State:    Charlotte: -6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 11.9   Charlotte: -18.5




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -6.75 NR
Charlotte's Offense Rating: NR
Charlotte's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Charlotte's 2018 Expected Record: -
Charlotte's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5  #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0  #123
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #98

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


App State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.5

App State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
App State 32
Charlotte 22


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 35
Charlotte 23

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
App State 30
Charlotte 21

Total Points: 51
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

Charlotte's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/29Charlotte11App State34App State -8.5App State53.5Under
202009/12App State35Charlotte20Appalachian State -17Charlotte59.0Under
201909/07App State56Charlotte41Appalachian State -23Charlotte54.0Over
201809/08Charlotte9App State45Appalachian State -14.5App State48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte022 Overs
App State422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 40 - 20 - 2
Road Teams2 - 24 - 02 - 02 - 0

(#) APP at (#) CHAR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPCHAR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #118
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #111 #123
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Charlotte on Offense
CategoryCatCHAR OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Charlotte Run Game
CategoryCat
CHAR OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Charlotte Pass Game
CategoryCatCHAR OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 89°
Rematch from Week 2
App State 14.5 (48.5)
App State won at Charlotte this year (45-9)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
APP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CHAR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD