Troy at App State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 24th 2018 (2:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -12 (45.0)
App State 21 - Troy: 10 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (26 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 14.4 MPH
APP 2nd straight Home Game
APP is playing their 7th straight game
TROY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ APP -9)
Projected Score: TROY: 23 - APP: 29 (52)
APP Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
TROY Travel: 391 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 16 (41 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Troy vs Boise State	+9.0	48.5	L 20 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/8	Troy vs Florida A&M	-34.5	59.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Troy at Nebraska	+13.0	55.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Troy at UL Monroe	-4.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	-13.5	57.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Thu 10/4	Troy vs Georgia State	-17.0	55.5	W 37 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/13	Troy at Liberty	-12.0	62.5	L 16 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23	Troy at South Alabama	-11.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Troy vs Louisiana	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Troy at Georgia Southern	-2.0	44.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Troy vs Texas State	-23.0	47.5	W 12 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/24	Troy at App State	+12.0	45.0	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/22	Troy vs Buffalo	+2.0	50.5	W 42 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

App State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	App State at Penn State	+24.0	54.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/8	App State at Charlotte	-14.5	48.5	W 45 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-45.0	56.0	W 72 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/29	App State vs South Alabama	-25.0	55.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/9	App State at Arkansas State	-10.5	59.5	W 35 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/20	App State vs Louisiana	-25.0	65.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Thu 10/25	App State at Georgia Southern	-11.0	47.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/3	App State at Coastal Carolina	-13.5	52.0	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/10	App State at Texas State	-18.5	47.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/17	App State vs Georgia State	-27.5	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/24	App State vs Troy	-12.0	45.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/1	App State vs Louisiana	-17.5	54.0	W 30 - 19	U	N
Sat 12/15	App State vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	48.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.18	42%	30.7	38%	2.71	175	42%	215	3.56	.12	41%	22	40%	41%	3.45	55.9	1.6	2.3
APP	.25	43%	37.3	40%	2.92	240	46%	191	4.13		37%	15.5	36%	34%	2.55	57.5	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	13	30.7	26.3	41.6%	3.56	1.6	19	390	175	215	4.7	52%	46%	38%	42%	16%	.18
APP Defense	13	15.5	12.8	36.9%	2.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	36%	34%	18%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	13	22	21.2	40.9%	3.45	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	40%	41%	20%	.12
APP Offense	13	37.3	41.2	43.5%	4.13	1.3	20	430	240	191	5.8	59%	40%	40%	46%	14%	.25

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	13	30:02	19.1	38%	48%	7	55.9	1.6	2.3	7.7	3	3	31.7
App State	13	30:35	20.3	42%	59%	6.2	57.5	1.3	1.8	6.5	2.2	5	31.1

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	13	52%	38%	37.2	174.5	4.7	21	.12	2.71	79%	10%	1.1
APP Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.8	56%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	13	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.58	67%	14%	0.85
APP Offense	13	59%	40%	41.5	239.8	5.8	31	.2	2.92	75%	8%	1.25

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	13	46%	42%	19.1	28.7	215.3	7.5	11.3	25	8	.27	1.5	33%	26%	.23	5%	2.1
APP Defense	13	46%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.03	1.4	35%	32%	.17	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	13	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.29	1.7	34%	33%	.35	7%	1.9
APP Offense	13	40%	46%	15.1	24.5	190.6	7.8	12.6	27	12	.35	1.7	32%	34%	.48	6%	2.2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6 #62
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #89
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: App State: 8.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 2.6 App State: 11.9

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 8.45 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2018 Expected Record: -
App State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #56
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Troy Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Troy's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
App State 29
Troy 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 27
Troy 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
App State 31
Troy 21

Total Points: 52

App State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.2
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

App State's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/02	Troy	49	App State	23	Troy -6.5	Troy	51.5	Over
2022	09/17	App State	32	Troy	28	Appalachian State -14	Troy	52.0	Over
2021	11/20	Troy	7	App State	45	Appalachian State -10	App State	51.0	Over
2020	11/28	App State	47	Troy	10	Appalachian State -14	App State	50.5	Over
2019	11/29	Troy	13	App State	48	Appalachian State -11	App State	64.0	Under
2018	11/24	App State	21	Troy	10	Appalachian State -12	Troy	45.0	Under
2016	11/12	Troy	28	App State	24	Troy -1.5	Troy	49.0	Over
2015	10/31	App State	44	Troy	41	Appalachian State -24	Troy	55.0	Over
2014	10/18	Troy	14	App State	53	Troy -6	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	7	4	6 Overs
Troy	2	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	3 - 6	3 - 4	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	6 - 3	2 - 0	4 - 3

(#) TROY at (#) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#29
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#113	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Troy Injury Report

App State Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 47° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 13
App State -12.0 (45.0)
App State won vs Troy this year (21-10)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat App State in 2023 (49-23)
App State beat Troy in 2022 (32-28)

TROY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD