Central Michigan at Toledo - 2018 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at Toledo Rockets

Friday, November 23rd 2018 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -19 (58.0)
Toledo 51 - Central Michigan: 13 (Mid-American)

Chippewas (1 - 11) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 27 (14 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CMU coming off BYE
TOL is playing their 11th straight game
Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ TOL -22)
Projected Score: CMU: 18 - TOL: 34 (52)
TOL Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
CMU Travel: 145 miles

Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (45 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
TOL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Central Michigan at Kentucky	+17.5	49.0	L 20 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Central Michigan vs Kansas	-3.0	48.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/15	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+13.5	48.0	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Central Michigan vs Maine	-13.5
Sat 9/29	Central Michigan at Michigan State	+27.5	46.0	L 20 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	+6.5	52.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/13	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	54.5	L 23 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	+7.0	54.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/27	Central Michigan at Akron	+4.0	43.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/3	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+14.0	46.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	-7.5	49.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/23	Central Michigan at Toledo	+19.0	58.0	L 13 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Toledo's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Toledo vs VMI	-48.5	53.0	W 66 - 3	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15	Toledo vs Miami	+12.0	58.0	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/22	Toledo vs Nevada	-10.5	67.5	W 63 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Toledo at Fresno State	+10.0	61.0	L 27 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/6	Toledo vs Bowling Green	-23.0	71.0	W 52 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/13	Toledo at Eastern Michigan	-2.0	62.0	L 26 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/20	Toledo vs Buffalo	-3.0	63.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Thu 10/25	Toledo at Western Michigan	+4.0	69.0	W 51 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/31	Toledo vs Ball State	-19.5	64.0	W 45 - 13	U	Y
Wed 11/7	Toledo at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.0	L 15 - 38	U	N
Thu 11/15	Toledo at Kent State	-11.5	57.5	W 56 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/23	Toledo vs Central Michigan	-19.0	58.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Fri 12/21	Toledo vs Florida International	-7.0	57.5	L 32 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	-.03	34%	15	39%	2.81	121	26%	135	2.95	.07	40%	27.3	42%	36%	2.84	71.5	2.3	1.5
TOL	.22	46%	40.4	49%	3.44	216	41%	228	3.91	.22	45%	30.5	46%	43%	4.11	70.1	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4
TOL	#111 (.11)	41% (95)		38% (120)	2.66 (121)	111	44% (46)	227	3.55 (99)	#20 (.09)	40% (43)		42% (60)	38% (35)	3.87 (79)	46.7	1.3	1.3

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	12	15	14.3	34.1%	2.95	2.3	15	256	121	135	3.3	51%	47%	39%	26%	20%	-.03
TOL Defense	13	30.5	27	44.9%	4.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	43%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	12	27.3	29.2	40.2%	2.84	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	61%	38%	42%	36%	17%	.07
TOL Offense	13	40.4	45.4	46.1%	3.91	1.4	23	444	216	228	5.3	53%	45%	49%	41%	16%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	12	26:38	15.1	29%	46%	8.3	71.5	2.3	1.5	6.5	2.3	0	28.5
Toledo	13	29:19	23.1	37%	45%	7.5	70.1	1.4	1.6	6.9	2.5	6	34.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	12	51%	39%	37.2	121.3	3.3	8	.02	2.81	69%	13%	0.82
TOL Defense	13	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.99	64%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	12	61%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.84	68%	12%	1.06
TOL Offense	13	53%	49%	41	216.1	5.3	30	.25	3.44	74%	10%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	12	47%	26%	14.7	30.2	134.5	4.5	9.2	10	18	-.08	1.5	38%	24%	.1	7%	1.6
TOL Defense	13	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.22	1.5	29%	34%	.41	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	12	38%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.06	1.4	32%	25%	.05	5%	1.8
TOL Offense	13	45%	41%	16.9	30.3	227.9	7.5	13.5	32	11	.21	1.6	31%	34%	.26	6%	1.8

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Michigan's 2018 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.0 #122
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #130
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: Toledo: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -20.0 Toledo: 2.0

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.3
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Central Michigan's 2018 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 34
Central Michigan 18

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 32
Central Michigan 15

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 36
Central Michigan 22

Total Points: 58

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.4
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Central Michigan	3	Toledo	21	Toledo -11.5	Toledo	46.5	Under
2024	11/12	Toledo	37	Central Michigan	10	Toledo -15	Toledo	52.5	Under
2023	11/24	Central Michigan	17	Toledo	32	Toledo -12.5	Toledo	54.5	Under
2022	10/01	Toledo	38	Central Michigan	17	Toledo -6.5	Toledo	56.0	Under
2021	10/16	Central Michigan	26	Toledo	23	Toledo -5	Central Michigan	53.0	Under
2020	12/12	Toledo	24	Central Michigan	23	Toledo -10	Central Michigan	54.5	Under
2019	11/29	Central Michigan	49	Toledo	7	Central Michigan -14.5	Central Michigan	64.0	Under
2018	11/23	Toledo	51	Central Michigan	13	Toledo -19	Toledo	58.0	Over
2017	10/14	Central Michigan	10	Toledo	30	Toledo -9.5	Toledo	55.0	Under
2016	10/22	Toledo	31	Central Michigan	17	Toledo -10	Toledo	61.5	Under
2015	11/10	Central Michigan	23	Toledo	28	Toledo -6	Central Michigan	54.5	Under
2014	09/27	Toledo	42	Central Michigan	28	Toledo -15	Central Michigan	0
2013	09/21	Central Michigan	17	Toledo	38	Toledo -14	Toledo	0
2012	10/06	Toledo	50	Central Michigan	35
2011	11/18	Central Michigan	17	Toledo	44
2010	11/26	Toledo	42	Central Michigan	31
2009	11/11	Central Michigan	56	Toledo	28
2008	10/25	Toledo	23	Central Michigan	24
2007	09/08	Central Michigan	52	Toledo	31
2006	10/07	Toledo	20	Central Michigan	42
2005	10/29	Central Michigan	21	Toledo	17
2004	10/23	Toledo	27	Central Michigan	22
2003	10/18	Central Michigan	13	Toledo	31
2002	11/09	Toledo	44	Central Michigan	17
2001	09/22	Central Michigan	28	Toledo	52
2000	09/29	Toledo	41	Central Michigan	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Toledo	19	8	1 Overs
Central Michigan	7	5	10 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	7 - 6	5 - 2	2 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 16	6 - 7	4 - 2	2 - 5

(#) CMU at (#) TOL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CMU	TOL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#66
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#92	#80
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Central Michigan Injury Report

Toledo Injury Report

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	TOL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#130	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Toledo on Offense


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Toledo Run Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Toledo Pass Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 44° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Toledo -19.0 (58.0)
Toledo won vs Central Michigan this year (51-13)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-17)

CMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TOL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD