Buffalo at Toledo - 2018 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, October 20th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -3 (63.0)
Buffalo 31 - Toledo: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 26 (34 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.5 MPH
TOL is playing their 6th straight game
BUFF is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ TOL -3)
Projected Score: BUFF: 34 - TOL: 34 (68)
TOL Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BUFF Travel: 264 miles
Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (45 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Buffalo vs Delaware State-23
Sat 9/8 Buffalo at Temple+4.052.5W 36 - 29OY
Sat 9/15 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-3.054.0W 35 - 28OY
Sat 9/22 Buffalo at Rutgers-6.054.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/29 Buffalo vs Army-7.554.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 10/6 Buffalo at Central Michigan-6.552.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 10/13 Buffalo vs Akron-12.055.0W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/20 Buffalo at Toledo+3.063.0W 31 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-7.053.0W 51 - 42OY
Tue 11/6 Buffalo vs Kent State-17.044.5W 48 - 14OY
Wed 11/14 Buffalo at Ohio+2.566.0L 17 - 52ON
Fri 11/23 Buffalo at Bowling Green-16.062.0W 44 - 14UY
Fri 11/30 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois-3.051.0L 29 - 30ON
Sat 12/22 Buffalo vs Troy-2.050.5L 32 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Toledo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo vs VMI-48.553.0W 66 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Miami+12.058.0L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Nevada-10.567.5W 63 - 44OY
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Fresno State+10.061.0L 27 - 49ON
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.071.0W 52 - 36ON
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-2.062.0L 26 - 28UN
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Buffalo-3.063.0L 17 - 31UN
Thu 10/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+4.069.0W 51 - 24OY
Wed 10/31 Toledo vs Ball State-19.564.0W 45 - 13UY
Wed 11/7 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.554.0L 15 - 38UN
Thu 11/15 Toledo at Kent State-11.557.5W 56 - 34OY
Fri 11/23 Toledo vs Central Michigan-19.058.0W 51 - 13OY
Fri 12/21 Toledo vs Florida International-7.057.5L 32 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2144%34.646%2.9819041%2254.17.1540%25.943%34%3.4940.91.41.7
TOL.2246%40.449%3.4421641%2283.91.2245%30.546%43%4.1170.11.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1434.63444.1%4.171.4224151902254.654%45%46%41%13%.21
TOL Defense1330.52744.9%4.111.6 - - - - - 50%49%46%43%18%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1425.924.839.8%3.491.7 - - - - - 51%48%43%34%16%.15
TOL Offense1340.445.446.1%3.911.4234442162285.353%45%49%41%16%.22

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1431:2222.142%59%4.940.91.41.75.62.5031.5
Toledo1329:1923.137%45%7.570.11.41.66.92.5634.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1454%46%41.81904.638.162.9872%7%0.98
TOL Defense1350%46% - - - - .222.9964%12%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1451%43% - - - - .132.9982%10%0.92
TOL Offense1353%49%41216.15.330.253.4474%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1445%41%16.429.9225.47.513.72813.281.833%34%.457%2.2
TOL Defense1349%43% - - - - - - 12.221.529%34%.417%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 14.181.833%31%.316%1.9
TOL Offense1345%41%16.930.3227.97.513.53211.211.631%34%.266%1.8

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1  #82
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #47
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #82

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Toledo: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -1.1   Toledo: 2.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Buffalo's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 34
Toledo 34

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 36
Toledo 35

Total Points: 71

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 34
Buffalo 32

Total Points: 66
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.4
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Buffalo30Toledo15Toledo -10.5Buffalo44.5Over
202310/31Toledo31Buffalo13Toledo -14Toledo47.0Under
202210/22Buffalo34Toledo27Toledo -7.0Buffalo56.0Over
201911/20Buffalo49Toledo30Buffalo -9.5Buffalo55.0Over
201810/20Toledo17Buffalo31Toledo -3Buffalo63.0Under
201311/12Toledo51Buffalo41Toledo -3.5Toledo0
201210/27Buffalo20Toledo25
200710/13Buffalo43Toledo33
200510/22Toledo38Buffalo15
200311/01Toledo56Buffalo29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo523 Overs
Buffalo542 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 25 - 13 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 81 - 50 - 21 - 3

(#) BUFF at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #106 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #82
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 57° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Toledo -3.0 (63.0)
Buffalo won at Toledo this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Toledo last year (30-15)
Toledo beat Buffalo in 2023 (31-13)
Buffalo beat Toledo in 2022 (34-27)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD