Buffalo at Toledo - 2018 Matchup Preview
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Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets

Toledo logo
Saturday, October 20th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -3 (63.0)
Buffalo 31 - Toledo: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL is playing their 6th straight game
BUFF is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ TOL -3)
Projected Score: BUFF: 17 - TOL: 31 (48)
TOL Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BUFF Travel: 264 miles
Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Buffalo vs Delaware State-23
Sat 9/8 Buffalo at Temple+4.052.5W 36 - 29OY
Sat 9/15 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-3.054.0W 35 - 28OY
Sat 9/22 Buffalo at Rutgers-6.054.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/29 Buffalo vs Army-7.554.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 10/6 Buffalo at Central Michigan-6.552.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 10/13 Buffalo vs Akron-12.055.0W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/20 Buffalo at Toledo+3.063.0W 31 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-7.053.0W 51 - 42OY
Tue 11/6 Buffalo vs Kent State-17.044.5W 48 - 14OY
Wed 11/14 Buffalo at Ohio+2.566.0L 17 - 52ON
Fri 11/23 Buffalo at Bowling Green-16.062.0W 44 - 14UY
Fri 11/30 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois-3.051.0L 29 - 30ON
Sat 12/22 Buffalo vs Troy-2.050.5L 32 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Toledo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo vs VMI-48.553.0W 66 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Miami+12.058.0L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Nevada-10.567.5W 63 - 44OY
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Fresno State+10.061.0L 27 - 49ON
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.071.0W 52 - 36ON
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-2.062.0L 26 - 28UN
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Buffalo-3.063.0L 17 - 31UN
Thu 10/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+4.069.0W 51 - 24OY
Wed 10/31 Toledo vs Ball State-19.564.0W 45 - 13UY
Wed 11/7 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.554.0L 15 - 38UN
Thu 11/15 Toledo at Kent State-11.557.5W 56 - 34OY
Fri 11/23 Toledo vs Central Michigan-19.058.0W 51 - 13OY
Fri 12/21 Toledo vs Florida International-7.057.5L 32 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2143%2439%2.9114144%2913.6.1745%23.547%41%3.2249.81.11.2
TOL.2747%30.843%3.1220448%2803.77.1841%13.345%36%3.4467.91.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.242.6%3.61.121432141291449%49%39%44%14%.21
TOL Defense1413.37.741.3%3.441.4 - - - - - 50%49%45%36%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.645.2%3.221.2 - - - - - 59%39%47%41%13%.17
TOL Offense1430.845.846.9%3.771.4234842042805.152%45%43%48%13%.27

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1229:472141%67%5.649.81.11.24.41.6032.4
Toledo1431:3622.939%44%7.667.91.41.45.41.6236.4
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1249%39%35.7141.1418.052.9177%7%0.8
TOL Defense1450%45% - - - - .21367%9%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1259%47% - - - - .153.0982%8%0.89
TOL Offense1452%43%39.92045.132.143.1260%8%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1249%44%19.533.3290.88.714.9246.41.732%36%.377%1.7
TOL Defense1449%36% - - - - - - 15.161.633%28%.276%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1239%41% - - - - - - 8.231.528%34%.355%1.8
TOL Offense1445%48%19.130.2279.99.314.7289.461.731%41%.435%1.6

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1  #82
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #47
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #82

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Toledo: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -1.1   Toledo: 2.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 31
Buffalo 17

Projected Total Points: 48
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Buffalo30Toledo15Toledo -10.5Buffalo44.5Over
202310/31Toledo31Buffalo13Toledo -14Toledo47.0Under
202210/22Buffalo34Toledo27Toledo -7.0Buffalo56.0Over
201911/20Buffalo49Toledo30Buffalo -9.5Buffalo55.0Over
201810/20Toledo17Buffalo31Toledo -3Buffalo63.0Under
201311/12Toledo51Buffalo41Toledo -3.5Toledo0
201210/27Buffalo20Toledo25
200710/13Buffalo43Toledo33
200510/22Toledo38Buffalo15
200311/01Toledo56Buffalo29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo523 Overs
Buffalo542 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 25 - 13 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 81 - 50 - 21 - 3

(#) BUFF at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #106 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #82
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Toledo -3.0 (63.0)
Buffalo won at Toledo this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Toledo in 2024 (30-15)
Toledo beat Buffalo in 2023 (31-13)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD