Central Michigan at Michigan State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 29th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -27.5 (46.0)
Michigan State 31 - Central Michigan: 20

Chippewas (1 - 11) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 27 (14 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CMU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -18.5 (SP+ MSU -32)
Projected Score: CMU: 19 - MSU: 26 (45)
MSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CMU Travel: 60 miles

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 17 (20 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Central Michigan at Kentucky	+17.5	49.0	L 20 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Central Michigan vs Kansas	-3.0	48.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/15	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+13.5	48.0	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Central Michigan vs Maine	-13.5
Sat 9/29	Central Michigan at Michigan State	+27.5	46.0	L 20 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	+6.5	52.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/13	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	54.5	L 23 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	+7.0	54.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/27	Central Michigan at Akron	+4.0	43.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/3	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+14.0	46.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	-7.5	49.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/23	Central Michigan at Toledo	+19.0	58.0	L 13 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Michigan State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Michigan State vs Utah State	-23.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/8	Michigan State at Arizona State	-4.5	54.0	L 13 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Michigan State at Indiana	-5.5	51.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-27.5	46.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/6	Michigan State vs Northwestern	-10.5	43.0	L 19 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/13	Michigan State at Penn State	+13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Michigan State vs Michigan	+7.5	38.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/27	Michigan State vs Purdue	+2.5	48.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Michigan State at Maryland	-3.0	43.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+3.0	50.0	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/17	Michigan State at Nebraska	+1.5	48.5	L 6 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/24	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-24.5	37.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/31	Michigan State vs Oregon	-1.0	47.0	L 6 - 7	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	-.03	34%	15	39%	2.81	121	26%	135	2.95	.07	40%	27.3	42%	36%	2.84	71.5	2.3	1.5
MSU	.02	38%	18.7	37%	2.51	125	36%	217	2.77	.01	37%	17.2	30%	39%	2.29	54.5	1.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	12	15	14.3	34.1%	2.95	2.3	15	256	121	135	3.3	51%	47%	39%	26%	20%	-.03
MSU Defense	13	17.2	21.4	36.6%	2.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	30%	39%	20%	.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	12	27.3	29.2	40.2%	2.84	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	61%	38%	42%	36%	17%	.07
MSU Offense	13	18.7	19.7	37.7%	2.77	1.7	20	342	125	217	3.5	45%	53%	37%	36%	17%	.02

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	12	26:38	15.1	29%	46%	8.3	71.5	2.3	1.5	6.5	2.3	0	28.5
Michigan State	13	32:50	20.2	33%	37%	6	54.5	1.7	1.8	6.5	2	1	28

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	12	51%	39%	37.2	121.3	3.3	8	.02	2.81	69%	13%	0.82
MSU Defense	13	41%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.17	2.03	59%	12%	0.79

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	12	61%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.84	68%	12%	1.06
MSU Offense	13	45%	37%	35.8	124.7	3.5	13	.01	2.51	68%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	12	47%	26%	14.7	30.2	134.5	4.5	9.2	10	18	-.08	1.5	38%	24%	.1	7%	1.6
MSU Defense	13	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.4	36%	27%	.18	9%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	12	38%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.06	1.4	32%	25%	.05	5%	1.8
MSU Offense	13	53%	36%	19.5	37.8	217.4	5.8	11.1	12	14	.05	1.4	34%	30%	.08	8%	1.5

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Michigan's 2018 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.0 #122
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #130
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: Michigan State: 8.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -20.0 Michigan State: 11.5

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 8.25 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #30
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #111
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.3
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Central Michigan's 2018 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 26
Central Michigan 19

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 29
Central Michigan 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Michigan State 24
Central Michigan 17

Total Points: 41

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 17.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Michigan State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/01	Michigan State	31	Central Michigan	7	Michigan State -14	Michigan State	45.0	Under
2018	09/29	Michigan State	31	Central Michigan	20	Michigan State -27.5	Central Michigan	46.0	Over
2015	09/26	Michigan State	30	Central Michigan	10	Michigan State -28.5	Central Michigan	56.0	Under
2012	09/08	Central Michigan	7	Michigan State	41
2011	09/24	Michigan State	45	Central Michigan	7
2009	09/12	Michigan State	27	Central Michigan	29
2004	09/11	Michigan State	24	Central Michigan	7
2001	09/08	Michigan State	35	Central Michigan	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	7	1	1 Overs
Central Michigan	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 6	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#) CMU at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CMU	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#30
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#92	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Central Michigan Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#130	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	CMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Michigan State -27.5 (46.0)
Michigan State won vs Central Michigan this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Central Michigan in 2023 (31-7)

CMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD