Toledo at Eastern Michigan - 2018 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan EaglesEastern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 13th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -2 (62.0)
Eastern Michigan 28 - Toledo: 26  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (35 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
EMU is playing their 7th straight game
TOL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TOL -4)
Projected Score: TOL: 30 - EMU: 33 (63)
TOL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 41 miles
Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo vs VMI-48.553.0W 66 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Miami+12.058.0L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Nevada-10.567.5W 63 - 44OY
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Fresno State+10.061.0L 27 - 49ON
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.071.0W 52 - 36ON
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-2.062.0L 26 - 28UN
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Buffalo-3.063.0L 17 - 31UN
Thu 10/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+4.069.0W 51 - 24OY
Wed 10/31 Toledo vs Ball State-19.564.0W 45 - 13UY
Wed 11/7 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.554.0L 15 - 38UN
Thu 11/15 Toledo at Kent State-11.557.5W 56 - 34OY
Fri 11/23 Toledo vs Central Michigan-19.058.0W 51 - 13OY
Fri 12/21 Toledo vs Florida International-7.057.5L 32 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Eastern Michigan's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Eastern Michigan vs Monmouth-23.560.5W 51 - 17OY
Sat 9/8 Eastern Michigan at Purdue+15.050.0W 20 - 19UY
Sat 9/15 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+3.054.0L 28 - 35ON
Sat 9/22 Eastern Michigan at San Diego State+13.048.5L 20 - 23UY
Sat 9/29 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois-3.550.5L 23 - 26UN
Sat 10/6 Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan+4.559.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/13 Eastern Michigan vs Toledo+2.062.0W 28 - 26UY
Sat 10/20 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-2.545.0W 42 - 20OY
Sat 10/27 Eastern Michigan vs Army+1.547.5L 22 - 37ON
Sat 11/3 Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan-14.046.0W 17 - 7UN
Sat 11/10 Eastern Michigan vs Akron-11.041.5W 27 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/23 Eastern Michigan at Kent State-12.552.0W 28 - 20UN
Sat 12/15 Eastern Michigan vs Georgia Southern+3.045.5L 21 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2246%40.449%3.4421641%2283.91.2245%30.546%43%4.1170.11.41.6
EMU.1240%2737%2.4414542%2273.35.0840%22.143%32%3.0468.81.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1340.43546.1%3.911.4234442162285.353%45%49%41%16%.22
EMU Defense1322.12040.2%3.041.8 - - - - - 60%38%43%32%16%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1330.534.644.9%4.111.6 - - - - - 50%49%46%43%18%.22
EMU Offense13272840.3%3.351.1183711452273.852%47%37%42%16%.12

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1329:1923.137%45%7.570.11.41.66.92.5634.6
Eastern Michigan1329:5918.233%48%7.368.81.11.85.21.5132
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1353%49%41216.15.330.253.4474%10%1.05
EMU Defense1360%43% - - - - .13.1468%10%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1350%46% - - - - .222.9964%12%1.08
EMU Offense1352%37%37.8144.73.823-.032.4458%12%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1345%41%16.930.3227.97.513.53211.211.631%34%.266%1.8
EMU Defense1338%32% - - - - - - 13.051.533%27%.225%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1349%43% - - - - - - 12.221.529%34%.417%2
EMU Offense1347%42%18.929.8226.77.612214.31.633%32%.314%1.8

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Eastern Michigan: 1.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 2.0   Eastern Michigan: -2.0




Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: 1.5 NR
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Eastern Michigan's 2018 Expected Record: -
Eastern Michigan's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.0  #86
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #93
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #52

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 33
Toledo 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Eastern Michigan 35
Toledo 31

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Eastern Michigan 30
Toledo 29

Total Points: 59
Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Eastern Michigan's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Eastern Michigan28Toledo29Toledo -10Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202311/08Toledo49Eastern Michigan23Toledo -19.5Toledo45.5Over
202210/29Eastern Michigan24Toledo27Toledo -4Eastern Michigan54.0Under
202111/02Toledo49Eastern Michigan52Toledo -9Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202011/18Eastern Michigan28Toledo45Toledo -6.5Toledo62.5Over
201910/26Toledo37Eastern Michigan34Toledo -2.5Toledo52.0Over
201810/13Eastern Michigan28Toledo26Toledo -2Eastern Michigan62.0Under
201710/07Toledo20Eastern Michigan15Toledo -13.5Eastern Michigan60.0Under
201610/08Eastern Michigan20Toledo35Toledo -17.5Eastern Michigan65.5Under
201510/17Toledo63Eastern Michigan20Toledo -28Toledo63.0Over
201411/28Eastern Michigan16Toledo52Toledo -21.5Toledo0
201311/02Toledo55Eastern Michigan16Toledo -28Toledo0
201210/13Eastern Michigan47Toledo52
201110/08Toledo54Eastern Michigan16
201010/30Eastern Michigan7Toledo42
200911/20Toledo47Eastern Michigan21
200809/13Eastern Michigan17Toledo41
200711/03Toledo52Eastern Michigan28
200610/21Eastern Michigan17Toledo13
200510/08Toledo30Eastern Michigan3
200409/18Eastern Michigan32Toledo42
200310/11Toledo49Eastern Michigan14
200209/07Eastern Michigan13Toledo65
200111/17Toledo28Eastern Michigan7
200010/06Eastern Michigan14Toledo42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Eastern Michigan366 Overs
Toledo2264 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 128 - 44 - 24 - 2
Road Teams12 - 134 - 82 - 42 - 4

(#) TOL at (#) EMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLEMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #86
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #80 #119
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Eastern Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatEMU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Eastern Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
EMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Eastern Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatEMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 46° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Toledo 2.0 (62.0)
Eastern Michigan won vs Toledo this year (28-26)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan last year (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (27-24)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

EMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD