Central Michigan at Kentucky - 2018 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 1st 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -17.5 (49.0)
Kentucky 35 - Central Michigan: 20

Chippewas (1 - 11) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 27 (14 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -19 (SP+ UK -33)
Projected Score: CMU: 27 - UK: 27 (54)
UK Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
CMU Travel: 384 miles

Wildcats (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Central Michigan at Kentucky	+17.5	49.0	L 20 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Central Michigan vs Kansas	-3.0	48.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/15	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+13.5	48.0	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Central Michigan vs Maine	-13.5
Sat 9/29	Central Michigan at Michigan State	+27.5	46.0	L 20 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	+6.5	52.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/13	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	54.5	L 23 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	+7.0	54.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/27	Central Michigan at Akron	+4.0	43.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/3	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+14.0	46.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	-7.5	49.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/23	Central Michigan at Toledo	+19.0	58.0	L 13 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Kentucky's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Kentucky vs Central Michigan	-17.5	49.0	W 35 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/8	Kentucky at Florida	+13.5	52.5	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Kentucky vs Murray State	-41.0	56.5	W 48 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/22	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+9.5	56.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Kentucky vs South Carolina	+1.0	52.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Kentucky at Texas A&M	+5.0	48.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-10.5	45.0	W 14 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/27	Kentucky at Missouri	+7.5	54.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Kentucky vs Georgia	+9.5	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/10	Kentucky at Tennessee	-5.0	43.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/17	Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-16.5	48.5	W 34 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/24	Kentucky at Louisville	-17.0	53.0	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Tue 1/1	Kentucky vs Penn State	+4.5	47.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	-.03	34%	15	39%	2.81	121	26%	135	2.95	.07	40%	27.3	42%	36%	2.84	71.5	2.3	1.5
UK	.13	44%	26.7	46%	3.1	199	40%	161	3.74	.1	39%	16.8	42%	35%	2.61	55.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	12	15	14.3	34.1%	2.95	2.3	15	256	121	135	3.3	51%	47%	39%	26%	20%	-.03
UK Defense	13	16.8	15.9	39.5%	2.61	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	35%	21%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	12	27.3	29.2	40.2%	2.84	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	61%	38%	42%	36%	17%	.07
UK Offense	13	26.7	28.6	44.1%	3.74	1.4	20	360	199	161	4.8	61%	38%	46%	40%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	12	26:38	15.1	29%	46%	8.3	71.5	2.3	1.5	6.5	2.3	0	28.5
Kentucky	13	30:23	20.1	39%	60%	6	55.1	1.4	1.5	6.9	2.9	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	12	51%	39%	37.2	121.3	3.3	8	.02	2.81	69%	13%	0.82
UK Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.76	63%	13%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	12	61%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.84	68%	12%	1.06
UK Offense	13	61%	46%	41.1	198.7	4.8	27	.14	3.1	72%	13%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	12	47%	26%	14.7	30.2	134.5	4.5	9.2	10	18	-.08	1.5	38%	24%	.1	7%	1.6
UK Defense	13	48%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.14	1.6	35%	30%	.34	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	12	38%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.06	1.4	32%	25%	.05	5%	1.8
UK Offense	13	38%	40%	14.8	22.7	161.3	7.1	10.9	13	10	.11	1.4	28%	30%	.21	5%	1.8

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Michigan's 2018 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.0 #122
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #130
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: Kentucky: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -20.0 Kentucky: 13.1

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2018 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #63
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.3
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Central Michigan's 2018 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Central Michigan 27
Kentucky 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Central Michigan 38
Kentucky 26

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 28
Central Michigan 16

Total Points: 44

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Kentucky's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/01	Kentucky	35	Central Michigan	20	Kentucky -17.5	Central Michigan	49.0	Over
2011	09/10	Kentucky	27	Central Michigan	13
2006	09/30	Kentucky	45	Central Michigan	36

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	3	0	1 Overs
Central Michigan	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) CMU at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CMU	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#25
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#92	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Central Michigan Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#130	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	CMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80°( - Hum: 77.4%)
- Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -17.5 (49.0)
Kentucky won vs Central Michigan this year (35-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD