Toledo at Kent State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Toledo Rockets at Kent State Golden Flashes

Thursday, November 15th 2018 (6:00 PM EST)
Toledo -11.5 (57.5)
Toledo 56 - Kent State: 34 (Mid-American)

Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (35 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Snowfall Predicted
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
TOL is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ TOL -22.5)
Projected Score: TOL: 33 - KENT: 28 (61)
TOL Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
TOL Travel: 124 miles

Golden Flashes (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 37 (31 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TOL Players
KENT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Toledo's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Toledo vs VMI	-48.5	53.0	W 66 - 3	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15	Toledo vs Miami	+12.0	58.0	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/22	Toledo vs Nevada	-10.5	67.5	W 63 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Toledo at Fresno State	+10.0	61.0	L 27 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/6	Toledo vs Bowling Green	-23.0	71.0	W 52 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/13	Toledo at Eastern Michigan	-2.0	62.0	L 26 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/20	Toledo vs Buffalo	-3.0	63.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Thu 10/25	Toledo at Western Michigan	+4.0	69.0	W 51 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/31	Toledo vs Ball State	-19.5	64.0	W 45 - 13	U	Y
Wed 11/7	Toledo at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.0	L 15 - 38	U	N
Thu 11/15	Toledo at Kent State	-11.5	57.5	W 56 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/23	Toledo vs Central Michigan	-19.0	58.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Fri 12/21	Toledo vs Florida International	-7.0	57.5	L 32 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Kent State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Kent State at Illinois	+18.0	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Kent State vs Howard	-9.5
Sat 9/15	Kent State at Penn State	+35.0	64.5	L 10 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/22	Kent State at Ole Miss	+28.5	75.0	L 17 - 38	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Kent State at Ball State	+7.0	62.0	L 24 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/6	Kent State vs Ohio	+11.0	69.5	L 26 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/13	Kent State at Miami (OH)	+11.5	59.0	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/20	Kent State vs Akron	+4.5	50.0	L 23 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30	Kent State at Bowling Green	+1.5	67.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/6	Kent State at Buffalo	+17.0	44.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/15	Kent State vs Toledo	+11.5	57.5	L 34 - 56	O	N
Fri 11/23	Kent State vs Eastern Michigan	+12.5	52.0	L 20 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	.22	46%	40.4	49%	3.44	216	41%	228	3.91	.22	45%	30.5	46%	43%	4.11	70.1	1.4	1.6
KENT	.12	38%	23.9	40%	2.76	172	34%	212	3.36	.21	45%	36.7	46%	43%	3.8	76.6	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	#111 (.11)	41% (95)		38% (120)	2.66 (121)	111	44% (46)	227	3.55 (99)	#20 (.09)	40% (43)		42% (60)	38% (35)	3.87 (79)	46.7	1.3	1.3
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Offense	13	40.4	35	46.1%	3.91	1.4	23	444	216	228	5.3	53%	45%	49%	41%	16%	.22
KENT Defense	12	36.7	29.8	45%	3.8	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	46%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Defense	13	30.5	34.6	44.9%	4.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	43%	18%	.22
KENT Offense	12	23.9	31.4	37.9%	3.36	1.7	21	384	172	212	4.2	48%	50%	40%	34%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Toledo	13	29:19	23.1	37%	45%	7.5	70.1	1.4	1.6	6.9	2.5	6	34.6
Kent State	12	27:49	20.6	34%	56%	9	76.6	1.7	1.4	4.7	2	0	26.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Offense	13	53%	49%	41	216.1	5.3	30	.25	3.44	74%	10%	1.05
KENT Defense	12	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.05	73%	9%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Defense	13	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.99	64%	12%	1.08
KENT Offense	12	48%	40%	41.2	171.7	4.2	20	.23	2.76	63%	14%	1.34

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Offense	13	45%	41%	16.9	30.3	227.9	7.5	13.5	32	11	.21	1.6	31%	34%	.26	6%	1.8
KENT Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.22	1.6	31%	32%	.27	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Defense	13	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.22	1.5	29%	34%	.41	7%	2
KENT Offense	12	50%	34%	20.6	35	211.9	6.1	10.3	14	10	.02	1.5	37%	29%	.31	6%	1.9

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: Kent State: -7.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 2.0 Kent State: -20.4

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -7.7 NR
Kent State's Offense Rating: NR
Kent State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kent State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Kent State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #124
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #115
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 33
Kent State 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 30
Kent State 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 36
Kent State 30

Total Points: 66

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.4
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.8

Kent State's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Toledo	45	Kent State	10	Toledo -25.5	Toledo	48.5	Over
2022	10/15	Toledo	52	Kent State	31	Toledo -7	Toledo	62.5	Over
2019	11/05	Toledo	35	Kent State	33	Toledo -5.5	Kent State	62.5	Over
2018	11/15	Kent State	34	Toledo	56	Toledo -11.5	Toledo	57.5	Over
2015	10/10	Toledo	38	Kent State	7	Toledo -15.5	Toledo	47.0	Under
2014	11/04	Kent State	20	Toledo	30	Toledo -13	Kent State	0
2010	10/16	Toledo	34	Kent State	21
2006	10/14	Kent State	40	Toledo	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kent State	1	2	4 Overs
Toledo	7	4	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 2	4 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 6	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 3

(#) TOL at (#) KENT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TOL	KENT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#66	#124
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#80	#114
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Toledo Injury Report

Kent State Injury Report

Toledo on Offense


CategoryCat	TOL Off	KENT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Toledo Run Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Toledo Pass Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kent State on Offense


CategoryCat	KENT Off	TOL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kent State Run Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kent State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
KENT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Light Snowfall
Temp: 34° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.016

Rematch from Week 12
Toledo 11.5 (57.5)
Toledo won at Kent State this year (56-34)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Kent State in 2022 (52-31)

TOL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

KENT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD