Nevada at Toledo - 2018 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Toledo Rockets  Toledo logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -10.5 (67.5)
Toledo 63 - Nevada: 44

 
Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 3rd straight Home Game
NEV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ TOL -3)
Projected Score: NEV: 14 - TOL: 33 (47)
TOL Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NEV Travel: 1891 miles, 3 hrs behind
Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Nevada vs Portland State-28.071.0W 72 - 19OY
Sat 9/8 Nevada at Vanderbilt+10.059.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 9/15 Nevada vs Oregon State-4.067.0W 37 - 35ON
Sat 9/22 Nevada at Toledo+10.567.5L 44 - 63ON
Sat 9/29 Nevada at Air Force+3.564.0W 28 - 25UY
Sat 10/6 Nevada vs Fresno State+15.059.0L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/13 Nevada vs Boise State+15.059.5L 27 - 31UY
Sat 10/20 Nevada at Hawai'i+3.067.0W 40 - 22UY
Sat 10/27 Nevada vs San Diego State-1.045.5W 28 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 Nevada vs Colorado State-14.061.5W 49 - 10UY
Sat 11/17 Nevada at San José State-14.559.5W 21 - 12UN
Sat 11/24 Nevada at UNLV-14.060.5L 29 - 34ON
Sat 12/29 Nevada vs Arkansas State-1.556.5W 16 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Toledo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo vs VMI-48.553.0W 66 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Miami+12.058.0L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Nevada-10.567.5W 63 - 44OY
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Fresno State+10.061.0L 27 - 49ON
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.071.0W 52 - 36ON
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-2.062.0L 26 - 28UN
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Buffalo-3.063.0L 17 - 31UN
Thu 10/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+4.069.0W 51 - 24OY
Wed 10/31 Toledo vs Ball State-19.564.0W 45 - 13UY
Wed 11/7 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.554.0L 15 - 38UN
Thu 11/15 Toledo at Kent State-11.557.5W 56 - 34OY
Fri 11/23 Toledo vs Central Michigan-19.058.0W 51 - 13OY
Fri 12/21 Toledo vs Florida International-7.057.5L 32 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1641%17.643%2.9512739%2703.99.2450%27.547%52%3.3143.31.81.6
TOL.2747%30.843%3.1220448%2803.77.1841%13.345%36%3.4467.91.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1217.615.541.4%3.991.8203981272704.243%56%43%39%15%.16
TOL Defense1413.37.741.3%3.441.4 - - - - - 50%49%45%36%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1227.529.849.6%3.311.6 - - - - - 59%40%47%52%15%.24
TOL Offense1430.845.846.9%3.771.4234842042805.152%45%43%48%13%.27

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1225:4419.840%39%4.843.31.81.66.81.9131.5
Toledo1431:3622.939%44%7.667.91.41.45.41.6236.4
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1243%43%30.2127.24.212.052.9570%9%0.82
TOL Defense1450%45% - - - - .21367%9%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1259%47% - - - - .132.9671%11%0.92
TOL Offense1452%43%39.92045.132.143.1260%8%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1256%39%22.537.6270.47.2123015.271.831%32%.376%2
TOL Defense1449%36% - - - - - - 15.161.633%28%.276%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1240%52% - - - - - - 8.441.629%44%.534%1.9
TOL Offense1445%48%19.130.2279.99.314.7289.461.731%41%.435%1.6

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2018 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.5  #77
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #82
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #63

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Toledo: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -0.5   Toledo: 2.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 33
Nevada 14

Projected Total Points: 47
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/22Toledo63Nevada44Toledo -10.5Toledo67.5Over
201709/09Nevada24Toledo37Toledo -10.5Toledo69.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo221 Overs
Nevada001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) NEV at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #87 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #63
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Toledo -10.5 (67.5)
Toledo won vs Nevada this year (63-44)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NEV's OC ()
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TOL's OC ()
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TOL's DC ()
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