Miami at Toledo - 2018 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#5)Miami Hurricanes at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 15th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Miami -12 (58.0)
Miami 49 - Toledo: 24

 
Hurricanes (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (27 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL coming off BYE
Our Line: -3  (SP+ MIAMI -10.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 21 - TOL: 31 (52)
MIAMI Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
MIAMI Travel: 1102 miles
Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (45 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/2 Miami vs LSU-3.047.5L 17 - 33ON
Sat 9/8 Miami vs Savannah State-62.063.5W 77 - 0OY
Sat 9/15 Miami at Toledo-12.058.0W 49 - 24OY
Sat 9/22 Miami vs Florida International-26.058.0W 31 - 17UN
Thu 9/27 Miami vs North Carolina-17.556.0W 47 - 10OY
Sat 10/6 Miami vs Florida State-14.048.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 10/13 Miami at Virginia-7.046.5L 13 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/26 Miami at Boston College-4.049.0L 14 - 27UN
Sat 11/3 Miami vs Duke-9.551.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 11/10 Miami at Georgia Tech+1.551.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 11/17 Miami at Virginia Tech-6.552.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/24 Miami vs Pittsburgh-5.545.5W 24 - 3UY
Thu 12/27 Miami vs Wisconsin-2.543.5L 3 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Toledo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo vs VMI-48.553.0W 66 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Miami+12.058.0L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Nevada-10.567.5W 63 - 44OY
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Fresno State+10.061.0L 27 - 49ON
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.071.0W 52 - 36ON
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-2.062.0L 26 - 28UN
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Buffalo-3.063.0L 17 - 31UN
Thu 10/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+4.069.0W 51 - 24OY
Wed 10/31 Toledo vs Ball State-19.564.0W 45 - 13UY
Wed 11/7 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.554.0L 15 - 38UN
Thu 11/15 Toledo at Kent State-11.557.5W 56 - 34OY
Fri 11/23 Toledo vs Central Michigan-19.058.0W 51 - 13OY
Fri 12/21 Toledo vs Florida International-7.057.5L 32 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI.1239%28.841%2.9219035%1673.87.0137%19.537%33%2.5946.321.7
TOL.2246%40.449%3.4421641%2283.91.2245%30.546%43%4.1170.11.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1328.82739%3.872173581901675.252%47%41%35%17%.12
TOL Defense1330.52744.9%4.111.6 - - - - - 50%49%46%43%18%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1319.521.636.8%2.591.7 - - - - - 56%42%37%33%24%.01
TOL Offense1340.445.446.1%3.911.4234442162285.353%45%49%41%16%.22

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1328:541740%43%5.646.321.710.33.1530.6
Toledo1329:1923.137%45%7.570.11.41.66.92.5634.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1352%41%36.8190.45.225.172.9266%10%1.17
TOL Defense1350%46% - - - - .222.9964%12%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1356%37% - - - - -.022.4466%17%0.97
TOL Offense1353%49%41216.15.330.253.4474%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1347%35%13.927.3167.26.1121914.11.635%33%.337%1.9
TOL Defense1349%43% - - - - - - 12.221.529%34%.417%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1342%33% - - - - - - 16.061.736%31%.197%1.8
TOL Offense1345%41%16.930.3227.97.513.53211.211.631%34%.266%1.8

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2018 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.7  #27
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #66
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #14

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami:    Toledo: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 12.7   Toledo: 2.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Miami's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 31
Miami 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 31
Miami 13

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 32
Miami 29

Total Points: 61
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.4
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/15Toledo24Miami49Miami -12Miami58.0Over
201709/23Miami52Toledo30Miami -13.5Miami61.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo002 Overs
Miami220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) MIAMI at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMITOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #20 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami on Offense
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami Run Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 74°
Rematch from Week 3
Miami 12.0 (58.0)
Miami won at Toledo this year (49-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MIAMI's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MIAMI's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD