Ball State at Toledo - 2018 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Toledo Rockets

Wednesday, October 31st 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -19.5 (64.0)
Toledo 45 - Ball State: 13 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL 2nd straight Road Game
TOL is playing their 8th straight game
BALL is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -13 (SP+ TOL -21)
Projected Score: BALL: 12 - TOL: 35 (47)
TOL Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
BALL Travel: 137 miles

Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
TOL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Ball State vs Central Connecticut	-19.5	61.5	W 42 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Ball State at Notre Dame	+34.0	60.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Ball State at Indiana	+15.5	61.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/22	Ball State vs Western Kentucky	-3.0	52.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/29	Ball State vs Kent State	-7.0	62.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+3.0	52.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/13	Ball State at Central Michigan	+2.5	54.5	W 24 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
Thu 10/25	Ball State at Ohio	+10.5	66.0	L 14 - 52	U	N
Wed 10/31	Ball State at Toledo	+19.5	64.0	L 13 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/13	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+10.0	58.0	W 42 - 41	O	Y
Tue 11/20	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+16.5	55.0	L 21 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Toledo's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Toledo vs VMI	-48.5	53.0	W 66 - 3	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15	Toledo vs Miami	+12.0	58.0	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/22	Toledo vs Nevada	-10.5	67.5	W 63 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Toledo at Fresno State	+10.0	61.0	L 27 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/6	Toledo vs Bowling Green	-23.0	71.0	W 52 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/13	Toledo at Eastern Michigan	-2.0	62.0	L 26 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/20	Toledo vs Buffalo	-3.0	63.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Thu 10/25	Toledo at Western Michigan	+4.0	69.0	W 51 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/31	Toledo vs Ball State	-19.5	64.0	W 45 - 13	U	Y
Wed 11/7	Toledo at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.0	L 15 - 38	U	N
Thu 11/15	Toledo at Kent State	-11.5	57.5	W 56 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/23	Toledo vs Central Michigan	-19.0	58.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Fri 12/21	Toledo vs Florida International	-7.0	57.5	L 32 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.05	41%	15.8	43%	2.95	158	36%	177	2.63	.26	45%	29.8	45%	43%	3.93	39.9	1.8	1
TOL	.27	47%	30.8	43%	3.12	204	48%	280	3.77	.18	41%	13.3	45%	36%	3.44	67.9	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	15.8	9.7	40.5%	2.63	1.8	19	335	158	177	3.8	50%	48%	43%	36%	16%	.05
TOL Defense	14	13.3	7.7	41.3%	3.44	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	36%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	29.8	35.7	44.8%	3.93	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	45%	43%	16%	.26
TOL Offense	14	30.8	45.8	46.9%	3.77	1.4	23	484	204	280	5.1	52%	45%	43%	48%	13%	.27

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	33:10	18.8	39%	33%	4.1	39.9	1.8	1	5.8	2	1	28.3
Toledo	14	31:36	22.9	39%	44%	7.6	67.9	1.4	1.4	5.4	1.6	2	36.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	50%	43%	41.4	158	3.8	15	.09	2.95	72%	10%	0.92
TOL Defense	14	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	.21	3	67%	9%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.03	72%	11%	1.08
TOL Offense	14	52%	43%	39.9	204	5.1	32	.14	3.12	60%	8%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	48%	36%	19	33.8	177.2	5.3	9.3	11	14	.02	1.4	34%	28%	.15	7%	1.6
TOL Defense	14	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.6	33%	28%	.27	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.33	1.9	33%	41%	.59	5%	2.2
TOL Offense	14	45%	48%	19.1	30.2	279.9	9.3	14.7	28	9	.46	1.7	31%	41%	.43	5%	1.6

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.9 #119
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #110
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2 #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Toledo: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -18.9 Toledo: 2.0

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 35
Ball State 12

Projected Total Points: 47

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Toledo	38	Ball State	9	Toledo -29.5	Ball State	45.5	Over
2023	10/14	Ball State	6	Toledo	13	Toledo -17.5	Ball State	48.5	Under
2022	11/08	Toledo	28	Ball State	21	Toledo -11	Ball State	50.0	Under
2021	09/25	Ball State	12	Toledo	22	Toledo -4.5	Toledo	56.5	Under
2020	11/28	Toledo	24	Ball State	27	Toledo -9.5	Ball State	67.0	Under
2019	10/19	Ball State	52	Toledo	14	Ball State -3.5	Ball State	58.5	Over
2018	10/31	Toledo	45	Ball State	13	Toledo -19.5	Toledo	64.0	Under
2017	10/26	Ball State	17	Toledo	58	Toledo -26.5	Toledo	55.5	Over
2016	11/16	Toledo	37	Ball State	19	Toledo -19	Ball State	68.5	Under
2015	10/03	Ball State	10	Toledo	24	Toledo -9.5	Toledo	54.5	Under
2014	09/20	Toledo	34	Ball State	23	Toledo -9	Toledo	0
2013	09/28	Ball State	31	Toledo	24	Ball State -1	Ball State	0
2012	11/06	Toledo	27	Ball State	34
2011	11/25	Ball State	28	Toledo	45
2010	10/23	Toledo	31	Ball State	24
2009	10/03	Ball State	30	Toledo	37
2008	10/04	Toledo	0	Ball State	31
2007	11/13	Ball State	41	Toledo	20
2006	11/14	Toledo	17	Ball State	20
2005	10/15	Ball State	14	Toledo	34
2004	10/02	Toledo	52	Ball State	14
2003	10/25	Ball State	38	Toledo	14
2002	10/12	Toledo	37	Ball State	17
2001	10/20	Ball State	24	Toledo	20
2000	11/10	Toledo	31	Ball State	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Toledo	16	5	3 Overs
Ball State	9	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 11	5 - 7	4 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 14	7 - 5	3 - 1	4 - 4

(#) BALL at (#) TOL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	TOL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#119	#66
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#109	#80
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Toledo Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	TOL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Toledo on Offense


CategoryCat	TOL Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Toledo Run Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Toledo Pass Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Toledo -19.5 (64.0)
Toledo won vs Ball State this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Ball State last year (38-9)
Toledo beat Ball State in 2023 (13-6)

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TOL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD