Bowling Green at Toledo - 2018 Matchup Preview
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Saturday, October 6th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -23 (71.0)
Toledo 52 - Bowling Green: 36  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 40 (23 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -14.5  (SP+ TOL -24)
Projected Score: BGSU: 29 - TOL: 44 (73)
TOL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
BGSU Travel: 19 miles
Rockets (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 31 (45 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Bowling Green at Oregon+34.571.0L 24 - 58OY
Sat 9/8 Bowling Green vs Maryland+13.565.5L 14 - 45UN
Sat 9/15 Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky-14.065.0W 42 - 35ON
Sat 9/22 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)+6.555.0L 23 - 38ON
Sat 9/29 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+28.065.5L 17 - 63ON
Sat 10/6 Bowling Green at Toledo+23.071.0L 36 - 52OY
Sat 10/13 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan+14.568.5L 35 - 42OY
Sat 10/20 Bowling Green at Ohio+16.567.0L 14 - 49UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30 Bowling Green vs Kent State-1.567.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/10 Bowling Green at Central Michigan+7.549.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/17 Bowling Green at Akron+6.548.5W 21 - 6UY
Fri 11/23 Bowling Green vs Buffalo+16.062.0L 14 - 44UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Toledo's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo vs VMI-48.553.0W 66 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Miami+12.058.0L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Nevada-10.567.5W 63 - 44OY
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Fresno State+10.061.0L 27 - 49ON
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.071.0W 52 - 36ON
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-2.062.0L 26 - 28UN
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Buffalo-3.063.0L 17 - 31UN
Thu 10/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+4.069.0W 51 - 24OY
Wed 10/31 Toledo vs Ball State-19.564.0W 45 - 13UY
Wed 11/7 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.554.0L 15 - 38UN
Thu 11/15 Toledo at Kent State-11.557.5W 56 - 34OY
Fri 11/23 Toledo vs Central Michigan-19.058.0W 51 - 13OY
Fri 12/21 Toledo vs Florida International-7.057.5L 32 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.1340%24.336%2.5311643%2393.68.3249%4056%36%4.6865.71.81.1
TOL.2246%40.449%3.4421641%2283.91.2245%30.546%43%4.1170.11.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1224.322.740.3%3.681.8193551162393.446%53%36%43%19%.13
TOL Defense1330.52744.9%4.111.6 - - - - - 50%49%46%43%18%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense124040.249.4%4.681.1 - - - - - 65%35%56%36%11%.32
TOL Offense1340.445.446.1%3.911.4234442162285.353%45%49%41%16%.22

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1229:1819.139%50%7.865.71.81.13.31.3027.8
Toledo1329:1923.137%45%7.570.11.41.66.92.5634.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1246%36%34.7116.33.49-.022.5374%11%0.96
TOL Defense1350%46% - - - - .222.9964%12%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1265%56% - - - - .373.6382%6%1.03
TOL Offense1353%49%41216.15.330.253.4474%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1253%43%20.833.8238.77.111.52913.281.533%31%.298%2
TOL Defense1349%43% - - - - - - 12.221.529%34%.417%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1235%36% - - - - - - 6.241.929%33%.44%2
TOL Offense1345%41%16.930.3227.97.513.53211.211.631%34%.266%1.8

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2018 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0  #126
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #99
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.9  #128

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Toledo: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -22.0   Toledo: 2.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #66
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #28
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 40 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Bowling Green's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 44
Bowling Green 29

Total Points: 73

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 47
Bowling Green 33

Total Points: 80

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 41
Bowling Green 26

Total Points: 67
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.4
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Toledo's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Bowling Green28Toledo23Toledo -10.5Bowling Green45.5Over
202410/26Toledo26Bowling Green41Toledo -1.5Bowling Green47.5Over
202311/14Bowling Green31Toledo32Toledo -9.5Bowling Green48.5Over
202211/15Toledo35Bowling Green42Toledo -14.5Bowling Green47.0Over
202111/10Bowling Green17Toledo49Toledo -10.5Toledo50.0Over
202011/04Toledo38Bowling Green3Toledo -24Toledo63.0Under
201910/12Bowling Green20Toledo7Toledo -26.5Bowling Green65.0Under
201810/06Toledo52Bowling Green36Toledo -23Bowling Green71.0Over
201711/15Bowling Green37Toledo66Toledo -17.5Toledo66.0Over
201610/15Toledo42Bowling Green35Toledo -24Bowling Green71.0Over
201511/17Bowling Green28Toledo44Bowling Green -9Toledo72.5Under
201411/19Toledo27Bowling Green20Toledo -6.5Toledo0
201310/26Bowling Green25Toledo28Bowling Green -3Toledo0
201209/15Toledo27Bowling Green15
201110/15Bowling Green21Toledo28
201011/17Toledo33Bowling Green14
200911/27Bowling Green38Toledo24
200811/28Toledo10Bowling Green38
200711/23Bowling Green37Toledo10
200611/21Toledo31Bowling Green21
200511/22Bowling Green41Toledo44
200411/23Toledo49Bowling Green41
200311/29Bowling Green31Toledo23
200111/23Bowling Green56Toledo21
200011/21Toledo51Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1668 Overs
Bowling Green973 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 105 - 82 - 63 - 2
Road Teams10 - 158 - 52 - 36 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #104 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #128
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Toledo -23.0 (71.0)
Toledo won vs Bowling Green this year (52-36)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2022 (42-35)

  
BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD