Buffalo at Central Michigan - 2018 Matchup Preview

Buffalo Bulls at Central Michigan Chippewas

Saturday, October 6th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -6.5 (52.0)
Buffalo 34 - Central Michigan: 24 (Mid-American)

Bulls (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CMU is playing their 6th straight game
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ BUFF -19)
Projected Score: BUFF: 22 - CMU: 25 (47)
BUFF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BUFF Travel: 304 miles

Chippewas (1 - 11) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Buffalo vs Delaware State	-23
Sat 9/8	Buffalo at Temple	+4.0	52.5	W 36 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	54.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Buffalo at Rutgers	-6.0	54.0	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Buffalo vs Army	-7.5	54.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/6	Buffalo at Central Michigan	-6.5	52.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0	55.0	W 24 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Buffalo at Toledo	+3.0	63.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-7.0	53.0	W 51 - 42	O	Y
Tue 11/6	Buffalo vs Kent State	-17.0	44.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Wed 11/14	Buffalo at Ohio	+2.5	66.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/23	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-16.0	62.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/30	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	-3.0	51.0	L 29 - 30	O	N
Sat 12/22	Buffalo vs Troy	-2.0	50.5	L 32 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Central Michigan at Kentucky	+17.5	49.0	L 20 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Central Michigan vs Kansas	-3.0	48.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/15	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+13.5	48.0	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Central Michigan vs Maine	-13.5
Sat 9/29	Central Michigan at Michigan State	+27.5	46.0	L 20 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	+6.5	52.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/13	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	54.5	L 23 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	+7.0	54.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/27	Central Michigan at Akron	+4.0	43.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/3	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+14.0	46.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	-7.5	49.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/23	Central Michigan at Toledo	+19.0	58.0	L 13 - 51	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.21	43%	24	39%	2.91	141	44%	291	3.6	.17	45%	23.5	47%	41%	3.22	49.8	1.1	1.2
CMU	.08	37%	22.5	36%	2.31	134	37%	256	3.13	.07	40%	23.5	42%	36%	3.21	61.8	2.4	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	24	23.2	42.6%	3.6	1.1	21	432	141	291	4	49%	49%	39%	44%	14%	.21
CMU Defense	13	23.5	15.2	40.1%	3.21	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	42%	36%	15%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	22.6	45.2%	3.22	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	47%	41%	13%	.17
CMU Offense	13	22.5	30.4	36.8%	3.13	2.4	18	390	134	256	3.8	46%	53%	36%	37%	19%	.08

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	29:47	21	41%	67%	5.6	49.8	1.1	1.2	4.4	1.6	0	32.4
Central Michigan	13	28:31	18.3	30%	56%	6.4	61.8	2.4	2.4	6.1	2.6	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	49%	39%	35.7	141.1	4	18	.05	2.91	77%	7%	0.8
CMU Defense	13	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.02	70%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	59%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.09	82%	8%	0.89
CMU Offense	13	46%	36%	34.9	134.1	3.8	19	-.02	2.31	71%	11%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	49%	44%	19.5	33.3	290.8	8.7	14.9	24	6	.4	1.7	32%	36%	.37	7%	1.7
CMU Defense	13	45%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.5	32%	27%	.13	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	39%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.23	1.5	28%	34%	.35	5%	1.8
CMU Offense	13	53%	37%	20.2	36.1	255.7	7.1	12.6	27	17	.18	1.8	34%	28%	.18	7%	1.9

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #82
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #47
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #82

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Central Michigan: -7.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -1.1 Central Michigan: -20.0

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -7.5 NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Central Michigan's 2018 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.0 #122
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #130
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Central Michigan 25
Buffalo 22

Projected Total Points: 47

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2018 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/12	Central Michigan	38	Buffalo	19	Central Michigan -2.5	Central Michigan	44.5	Over
2023	10/07	Buffalo	37	Central Michigan	13	Central Michigan -2.5	Buffalo	51.5	Under
2022	11/09	Central Michigan	31	Buffalo	27	Central Michigan -3	Central Michigan	54.0	Over
2019	10/26	Buffalo	43	Central Michigan	20	Buffalo -1.5	Buffalo	46.5	Over
2018	10/06	Central Michigan	24	Buffalo	34	Buffalo -6.5	Buffalo	52.0	Over
2015	10/17	Central Michigan	51	Buffalo	14	Central Michigan -7	Central Michigan	55.5	Over
2014	10/25	Buffalo	14	Central Michigan	20	Central Michigan -1.5	Central Michigan	0
2009	10/03	Buffalo	13	Central Michigan	20
2008	09/27	Central Michigan	27	Buffalo	25
2006	11/24	Buffalo	28	Central Michigan	55
2004	11/13	Buffalo	36	Central Michigan	6
2001	09/29	Buffalo	8	Central Michigan	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	8	4	5 Overs
Buffalo	4	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	5 - 2	4 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 7	2 - 5	2 - 1	0 - 4

(#) BUFF at (#) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	CMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#122
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#106	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Central Michigan Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	CMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#130	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Buffalo 6.5 (52.0)
Buffalo won at Central Michigan this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Buffalo last year (38-19)
Buffalo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (37-13)

BUFF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD