Boise State at Hawai'i - 2016 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Boise State -16.5 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boise State 52 - Hawai'i: 16 (Mountain West)

Broncos (10 - 3) (3 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

HAW is playing their 7th straight game
BSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ BSU -21.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 23 - HAW: 27 (50)
BSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
BSU Travel: 2834 miles, 4 hrs ahead

Rainbow Warriors (7 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
HAW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boise State at Louisiana	-18.0	64.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Boise State vs Washington State	-12.0	74.5	W 31 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Boise State at Oregon State	-14.0	60.0	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/1	Boise State vs Utah State	-19.5	60.5	W 21 - 10	U	N
Fri 10/7	Boise State at New Mexico	-16.5	61.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Boise State vs Colorado State	-25.5	59.5	W 28 - 23	U	N
Thu 10/20	Boise State vs BYU	-9.5	58.0	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Boise State at Wyoming	-12.5	62.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
Fri 11/4	Boise State vs San José State	-26.5	58.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Boise State at Hawai'i	-16.5	62.5	W 52 - 16	O	Y
Fri 11/18	Boise State vs UNLV	-26.5	63.0	W 42 - 25	O	N
Fri 11/25	Boise State at Air Force	-9.0	63.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Tue 12/27	Boise State vs Baylor	-10.0	71.0	L 12 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Hawai'i's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/26	Hawai'i vs California	+23.0	66.0	L 31 - 51	O	Y
Sat 9/3	Hawai'i at Michigan	+40.5	55.0	L 3 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/10	Hawai'i vs UT Martin	-18.5
Sat 9/17	Hawai'i at Arizona	+23.0	63.0	L 28 - 47	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Hawai'i vs Nevada	+3.5	55.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Hawai'i at San José State	+3.5	62.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Hawai'i vs UNLV	-10.0	54.0	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/22	Hawai'i at Air Force	+17.5	58.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Hawai'i vs New Mexico	-3.0	65.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/5	Hawai'i at San Diego State	+19.5	50.5	L 0 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/12	Hawai'i vs Boise State	+16.5	62.5	L 16 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/19	Hawai'i at Fresno State	-2.5	54.5	W 14 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/26	Hawai'i vs Massachusetts	-10.5	57.0	W 46 - 40	O	N
Sat 12/24	Hawai'i vs Middle Tennessee	+4.5	70.0	W 52 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.18	47%	29.9	46%	2.8	191	45%	310	3.79	.07	34%	24.1	32%	34%	2.59	53.2	1.7	2.4
HAW	.07	37%	29	40%	2.94	124	33%	192	3.25	.22	48%	24.1	47%	48%	4	65.2	2.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	13	29.9	19.8	46.6%	3.79	1.7	26	502	191	310	4.5	44%	53%	46%	45%	2%	.18
HAW Defense	13	24.1	17	47.6%	4	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	47%	48%	1%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	13	24.1	23.8	33.8%	2.59	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	32%	34%	2%	.07
HAW Offense	13	29	31	36.9%	3.25	2.6	16	316	124	192	3.8	48%	51%	40%	33%	3%	.07

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	13	31:52	26.5	41%	63%	6.3	53.2	1.7	2.4	0	0	2	32.3
Hawai'i	13	21:26	15.6	30%	33%	7.5	65.2	2.6	0.8	0	0	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	13	44%	46%	42.5	191.4	4.5	36	.15	2.8	75%	0%	1.03
HAW Defense	13	61%	47%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.03	68%	0%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	13	48%	32%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.29	58%	0%	1.19
HAW Offense	13	48%	40%	32.7	123.9	3.8	15	.08	2.94	73%	0%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	13	53%	45%	25.7	40.5	310.2	7.7	12.1	24	12	.23	1.5	31%	38%	.28	2%	1.7
HAW Defense	13	37%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.43	1.7	27%	39%	.36	1%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	13	51%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.14	1.8	38%	26%	.25	2%	2.2
HAW Offense	13	51%	33%	15.5	32.5	192.4	5.9	12.4	12	21	.04	1.6	35%	26%	.23	3%	2.2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #28
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #42

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: Hawai'i: -2.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 11.5 Hawai'i: -10.1

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -2.55 NR
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: NR
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Hawai'i's 2016 Expected Record: -
Hawai'i's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #71
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #123

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Hawai'i 27
Boise State 23

Projected Total Points: 50

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Hawai'i	7	Boise State	28	Boise State -21	NA	60.0	Under
2020	11/21	Hawai'i	32	Boise State	40	Boise State -13.5	Hawai'i	55.5	Over
2019	10/12	Boise State	59	Hawai'i	37	Boise State -11.5	Boise State	60.5	Over
2019	12/07	Boise State	31	Hawai'i	10	Boise State -14	Boise State	65.0	Under
2016	11/12	Hawai'i	16	Boise State	52	Boise State -16.5	Boise State	62.5	Over
2015	10/03	Boise State	55	Hawai'i	0	Boise State -23.5	Boise State	57.0	Under
2012	11/10	Hawai'i	14	Boise State	49
2010	11/06	Boise State	42	Hawai'i	7
2009	10/24	Hawai'i	9	Boise State	54
2008	10/17	Boise State	27	Hawai'i	7
2007	11/23	Hawai'i	39	Boise State	27
2006	09/23	Boise State	41	Hawai'i	34
2005	10/02	Hawai'i	41	Boise State	44
2004	10/29	Boise State	69	Hawai'i	3
2003	12/06	Hawai'i	28	Boise State	45
2002	10/05	Boise State	58	Hawai'i	31
2001	11/10	Hawai'i	21	Boise State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Hawai'i	1	1	3 Overs
Boise State	16	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 8	4 - 1	3 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 9	1 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 3

(#) BSU at (#) HAW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	HAW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#102
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#57	#105
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

Hawai'i Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	HAW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Hawai'i on Offense


CategoryCat	HAW Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#42
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Hawai'i Run Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Hawai'i Pass Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aloha Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Boise State 16.5 (62.5)
Boise State won at Hawai'i this year (52-16)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Hawai'i in 2024 (28-7)

BSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

HAW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD