Georgia Southern at Arkansas State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Wednesday, October 5th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -5.5 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 27 - Georgia Southern: 26 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (25 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO coming off BYE
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -4 (SP+ ARST -3)
Projected Score: GASO: 27 - ARST: 26 (53)
GASO Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
GASO Travel: 561 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia Southern vs Savannah State	-53.0
Sat 9/10	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	-11.5	57.5	W 24 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-27.0	57.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/24	Georgia Southern at Western Michigan	+4.0	55.5	L 31 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-5.5	53.5	L 26 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech	+8.0	48.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/22	Georgia Southern at New Mexico State	-14.0	64.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Thu 10/27	Georgia Southern vs App State	+4.0	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/5	Georgia Southern at Ole Miss	+20.5	63.0	L 27 - 37	O	Y
Thu 11/10	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	-10.5	45.0	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	-3.5	47.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Georgia Southern vs Troy	+9.0	53.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Arkansas State vs Toledo	-2.5	64.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/10	Arkansas State at Auburn	+13.0	51.0	L 14 - 51	O	N
Fri 9/16	Arkansas State at Utah State	+8.0	56.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/24	Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas	-15.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	+5.5	53.5	W 27 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-6.0	54.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-17.0	55.0	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Thu 11/3	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-2.0	48.0	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Arkansas State vs New Mexico State	-20.5	63.0	W 41 - 22	U	N
Thu 11/17	Arkansas State at Troy	+8.5	53.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-6.5	50.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/3	Arkansas State at Texas State	-21.5	54.0	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Arkansas State at UCF	-6.5	51.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.15	43%	26.6	41%	2.73	224	42%	156	3.71	.16	44%	26.5	42%	44%	3.2	64.3	1.5	1.6
ARST	.09	39%	27.3	39%	2.31	137	38%	242	3.04	.02	36%	21.5	36%	33%	2.99	64.2	1.3	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5
ARST	#81 (.17)	41% (91)		43% (84)	3.01 (77)	148	39% (96)	210	3.96 (63)	#126 (.31)	48% (124)		51% (131)	44% (110)	4.62 (127)	47.8	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	12	26.6	25.4	42.5%	3.71	1.5	21	380	224	156	4.4	67%	31%	41%	42%	17%	.15
ARST Defense	13	21.5	20.7	36.1%	2.99	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	36%	33%	22%	.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	12	26.5	29.4	43.8%	3.2	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	42%	44%	16%	.16
ARST Offense	13	27.3	28.2	39.2%	3.04	1.3	19	379	137	242	3.5	52%	46%	39%	38%	19%	.09

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	12	32:39	20.7	44%	44%	7.6	64.3	1.5	1.6	5.6	1	0	28.3
Arkansas State	13	29:01	18.6	29%	58%	8.2	64.2	1.3	1.6	10.2	3.3	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	12	67%	41%	50.5	224.2	4.4	16	.1	2.73	71%	12%	0.98
ARST Defense	13	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.05	2.5	63%	16%	0.78

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.7	72%	11%	1
ARST Offense	13	52%	39%	39.8	137.2	3.5	19	-.04	2.31	67%	13%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	12	31%	42%	12.3	22	155.7	7.1	12.7	13	9	.28	1.7	33%	38%	.36	5%	1.7
ARST Defense	13	49%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.11	1.7	38%	30%	.26	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	12	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.6	31%	35%	.27	5%	1.6
ARST Offense	13	46%	38%	17.8	30.9	242.2	7.8	13.6	21	9	.28	1.8	36%	30%	.25	6%	2

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #84
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: Arkansas State: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -3.9 Arkansas State: -1.2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #71
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #112
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

Georgia Southern's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 27
Arkansas State 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 30
Arkansas State 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 28
Georgia Southern 24

Total Points: 52

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Arkansas State's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Arkansas State	34	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia Southern -1.5	Arkansas State	59.5	Under
2021	10/02	Georgia Southern	59	Arkansas State	33	Georgia Southern -1.5	Georgia Southern	66.5	Over
2019	11/23	Arkansas State	38	Georgia Southern	33	Arkansas State -1	Arkansas State	52.5	Over
2018	09/29	Georgia Southern	28	Arkansas State	21	Arkansas State -3	Georgia Southern	53.5	Under
2017	10/04	Georgia Southern	25	Arkansas State	43	Arkansas State -9	Arkansas State	54.5	Over
2016	10/05	Arkansas State	27	Georgia Southern	26	Georgia Southern -5.5	Arkansas State	53.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	4	4	3 Overs
Georgia Southern	2	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	5 - 1	2 - 0	3 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 5	1 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2

(#) GASO at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#71
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#76
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia Southern 5.5 (53.5)
Arkansas State won vs Georgia Southern this year (27-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD