Arkansas State at Auburn - 2016 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Auburn -13 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Auburn 51 - Arkansas State: 14

 
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (27 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 95° (49% Hum)
AUB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ AUB -17)
Projected Score: ARST: 27 - AUB: 26 (53)
AUB Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ARST Travel: 371 miles
Tigers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 17 (36 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Arkansas State vs Toledo-2.564.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/10 Arkansas State at Auburn+13.051.0L 14 - 51ON
Fri 9/16 Arkansas State at Utah State+8.056.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 9/24 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-15.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern+5.553.5W 27 - 26UY
Sat 10/15 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-6.054.5W 17 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-17.055.0W 51 - 10OY
Thu 11/3 Arkansas State at Georgia State-2.048.0W 31 - 16UY
Sat 11/12 Arkansas State vs New Mexico State-20.563.0W 41 - 22UN
Thu 11/17 Arkansas State at Troy+8.553.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 11/26 Arkansas State at Louisiana-6.550.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 12/3 Arkansas State at Texas State-21.554.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 12/17 Arkansas State at UCF-6.551.0W 31 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Auburn's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Auburn vs Clemson+7.562.0L 13 - 19UY
Sat 9/10 Auburn vs Arkansas State-13.051.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 9/17 Auburn vs Texas A&M-4.055.5L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/24 Auburn vs LSU+4.046.5W 18 - 13UY
Sat 10/1 Auburn vs UL Monroe-34.057.5W 58 - 7OY
Sat 10/8 Auburn at Mississippi State+1.555.0W 38 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Auburn vs Arkansas-17.053.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 10/29 Auburn at Ole Miss-2.065.5W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/5 Auburn vs Vanderbilt-26.047.0W 23 - 16UN
Sat 11/12 Auburn at Georgia-8.051.0L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/19 Auburn vs Alabama A&M-52.0
Sat 11/26 Auburn at Alabama+20.047.0L 12 - 30UY
Mon 1/2 Auburn vs Oklahoma+5.567.0L 19 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.0939%27.339%2.3113738%2423.04.0236%21.536%33%2.9964.21.31.6
AUB.1946%31.247%3.2227140%1693.82.1142%17.140%41%2.6536.51.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1327.326.639.2%3.041.3193791372423.552%46%39%38%19%.09
AUB Defense1317.112.641.9%2.651.3 - - - - - 47%50%40%41%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1321.522.136.1%2.991.6 - - - - - 49%49%36%33%22%.02
AUB Offense1331.236.346.1%3.821.1224412711695.562%35%47%40%14%.19

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1329:0118.629%58%8.264.21.31.610.23.3329.3
Auburn1329:102242%48%4.736.51.11.36.41.9028.9
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1352%39%39.8137.23.519-.042.3167%13%0.88
AUB Defense1347%40% - - - - 2.7359%11%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1349%36% - - - - -.052.563%16%0.78
AUB Offense1362%47%49.6271.35.533.183.2273%10%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1346%38%17.830.9242.27.813.6219.281.836%30%.256%2
AUB Defense1350%41% - - - - - - 11.231.533%35%.318%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1349%33% - - - - - - 11.111.738%30%.266%1.8
AUB Offense1335%40%13.722.2169.57.612.4126.241.627%36%.394%1.9

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #71
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9  #112
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Auburn: 10.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -1.2   Auburn: 15.3




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 10.15 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2016 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3  #21
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #49
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.4  #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.1

Arkansas State's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 27
Auburn 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 34
Auburn 24

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 28
Arkansas State 21

Total Points: 49
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.6

Auburn's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10Auburn51Arkansas State14Auburn -13Auburn51.0Over
201309/07Auburn38Arkansas State9Auburn -7.5Auburn0
201009/04Auburn52Arkansas State26
200611/04Auburn27Arkansas State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn421 Overs
Arkansas State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) ARST at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #21
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #76 #7
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 95° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Auburn -13.0 (51.0)
Auburn won vs Arkansas State this year (51-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD