Georgia Southern at Ole Miss - 2016 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at Ole Miss Rebels(#7)

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -20.5 (63.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 37 - Georgia Southern: 27

Eagles (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (25 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
GASO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ MISS -16)
Projected Score: GASO: 29 - MISS: 32 (61)
MISS Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
GASO Travel: 467 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (37 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia Southern vs Savannah State	-53.0
Sat 9/10	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	-11.5	57.5	W 24 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-27.0	57.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/24	Georgia Southern at Western Michigan	+4.0	55.5	L 31 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-5.5	53.5	L 26 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech	+8.0	48.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/22	Georgia Southern at New Mexico State	-14.0	64.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Thu 10/27	Georgia Southern vs App State	+4.0	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/5	Georgia Southern at Ole Miss	+20.5	63.0	L 27 - 37	O	Y
Thu 11/10	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	-10.5	45.0	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	-3.5	47.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Georgia Southern vs Troy	+9.0	53.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Ole Miss vs Florida State	+5.0	57.5	L 34 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Wofford	-44.5
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+9.5	53.0	L 43 - 48	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Georgia	-6.0	61.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Memphis	-15.5	71.5	W 48 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-6.5	65.0	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+4.5	59.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss vs Auburn	+2.0	65.5	L 29 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	63.0	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	+11.0	62.0	W 29 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-8.0	67.5	L 20 - 55	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.15	43%	26.6	41%	2.73	224	42%	156	3.71	.16	44%	26.5	42%	44%	3.2	64.3	1.5	1.6
MISS	.2	46%	32.6	43%	2.93	149	45%	315	3.65	.24	44%	34	44%	42%	3.83	43.3	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	12	26.6	25.4	42.5%	3.71	1.5	21	380	224	156	4.4	67%	31%	41%	42%	17%	.15
MISS Defense	12	34	32.1	44.4%	3.83	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	40%	44%	42%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	12	26.5	29.4	43.8%	3.2	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	42%	44%	16%	.16
MISS Offense	12	32.6	37.1	45.7%	3.65	1.6	25	464	149	315	4.3	43%	55%	43%	45%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	12	32:39	20.7	44%	44%	7.6	64.3	1.5	1.6	5.6	1	0	28.3
Ole Miss	12	25:56	24.8	40%	38%	4.9	43.3	1.6	1.3	5.7	1.7	2	30.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	12	67%	41%	50.5	224.2	4.4	16	.1	2.73	71%	12%	0.98
MISS Defense	12	57%	44%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.09	62%	10%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.7	72%	11%	1
MISS Offense	12	43%	43%	35.2	149.4	4.3	17	.11	2.93	65%	7%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	12	31%	42%	12.3	22	155.7	7.1	12.7	13	9	.28	1.7	33%	38%	.36	5%	1.7
MISS Defense	12	40%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.27	1.7	31%	38%	.41	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	12	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.6	31%	35%	.27	5%	1.6
MISS Offense	12	55%	45%	24.1	40.3	314.9	7.8	13.1	27	14	.31	1.6	31%	40%	.38	9%	1.7

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #84
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: Ole Miss: 8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -3.9 Ole Miss: 12.4

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 8.7 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

Georgia Southern's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 32
Georgia Southern 29

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 32
Georgia Southern 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 32
Georgia Southern 29

Total Points: 61

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.1
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.1

Ole Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Ole Miss	52	Georgia Southern	13	Ole Miss -35	Ole Miss	68.5	Under
2016	11/05	Ole Miss	37	Georgia Southern	27	Ole Miss -20.5	Georgia Southern	63.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	2	1	1 Overs
Georgia Southern	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) GASO at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#25
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	GASO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57°

Rematch from Week 10
Ole Miss -20.5 (63.0)
Ole Miss won vs Georgia Southern this year (37-27)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Georgia Southern last year (52-13)

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD