Georgia Southern at New Mexico State

Georgia Southern at New Mexico State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -14 (64.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia Southern 22 - New Mexico State: 19 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (25 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4 (SP+ GASO -13.5)
Projected Score: GASO: 31 - NMSU: 31 (62)
GASO Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
GASO Travel: 1454 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Aggies (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 39 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia Southern vs Savannah State	-53.0
Sat 9/10	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	-11.5	57.5	W 24 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-27.0	57.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/24	Georgia Southern at Western Michigan	+4.0	55.5	L 31 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-5.5	53.5	L 26 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech	+8.0	48.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/22	Georgia Southern at New Mexico State	-14.0	64.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Thu 10/27	Georgia Southern vs App State	+4.0	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/5	Georgia Southern at Ole Miss	+20.5	63.0	L 27 - 37	O	Y
Thu 11/10	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	-10.5	45.0	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	-3.5	47.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Georgia Southern vs Troy	+9.0	53.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	New Mexico State at UTEP	+3.5	58.0	L 22 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/10	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+11.5	62.0	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico State at Kentucky	+21.5	65.5	L 42 - 62	O	Y
Sat 9/24	New Mexico State at Troy	+17.5	66.0	L 6 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/1	New Mexico State vs Louisiana	+8.0	67.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	New Mexico State at Idaho	+3.0	67.5	L 23 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/22	New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern	+14.0	64.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/29	New Mexico State at Texas A&M	+43.5	71.0	L 10 - 52	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	New Mexico State at Arkansas State	+20.5	63.0	L 22 - 41	U	Y
Sat 11/19	New Mexico State vs Texas State	-6.5	66.0	W 50 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	New Mexico State vs App State	+17.0	60.0	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 12/3	New Mexico State at South Alabama	+12.0	57.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.15	43%	26.6	41%	2.73	224	42%	156	3.71	.16	44%	26.5	42%	44%	3.2	64.3	1.5	1.6
NMSU	.11	41%	24.8	46%	3.28	171	34%	244	3.17	.21	46%	38.8	45%	44%	3.87	50	1.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	12	26.6	25.4	42.5%	3.71	1.5	21	380	224	156	4.4	67%	31%	41%	42%	17%	.15
NMSU Defense	12	38.8	26.2	45.5%	3.87	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	45%	44%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	12	26.5	29.4	43.8%	3.2	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	42%	44%	16%	.16
NMSU Offense	12	24.8	29	40.6%	3.17	1.8	22	415	171	244	4.5	46%	52%	46%	34%	19%	.11

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	12	32:39	20.7	44%	44%	7.6	64.3	1.5	1.6	5.6	1	0	28.3
New Mexico State	12	26:34	22.2	34%	54%	6.3	50	1.8	1.8	6.1	0.9	1	28.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	12	67%	41%	50.5	224.2	4.4	16	.1	2.73	71%	12%	0.98
NMSU Defense	12	57%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.08	74%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.7	72%	11%	1
NMSU Offense	12	46%	46%	37.8	170.9	4.5	13	.16	3.28	70%	11%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	12	31%	42%	12.3	22	155.7	7.1	12.7	13	9	.28	1.7	33%	38%	.36	5%	1.7
NMSU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.7	30%	38%	.33	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	12	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.6	31%	35%	.27	5%	1.6
NMSU Offense	12	52%	34%	21.1	38.3	243.8	6.4	11.6	22	15	.07	1.7	36%	34%	.32	8%	1.8

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #84
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: New Mexico State: -6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -3.9 New Mexico State: -17.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -6.1 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2016 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.2 #122
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #102
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #120

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

Georgia Southern's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 31
New Mexico State 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 34
New Mexico State 34

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Southern 29
New Mexico State 28

Total Points: 57

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 38.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.2

New Mexico State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	10/26	Georgia Southern	41	New Mexico State	7	Georgia Southern -13.5	Georgia Southern	53.5	Under
2018	10/20	New Mexico State	31	Georgia Southern	48	Georgia Southern -9.5	Georgia Southern	52.5	Over
2017	10/14	Georgia Southern	27	New Mexico State	35	New Mexico State -5.5	New Mexico State	59.0	Over
2016	10/22	New Mexico State	19	Georgia Southern	22	Georgia Southern -14	New Mexico State	64.0	Under
2015	10/17	Georgia Southern	56	New Mexico State	26	Georgia Southern -26	Georgia Southern	62.0	Over
2014	10/04	New Mexico State	28	Georgia Southern	36	Georgia Southern -16.5	New Mexico State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	1	3	3 Overs
Georgia Southern	5	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 4	4 - 2	2 - 0	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 2	2 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 2

(#) GASO at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#122
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#125
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	GASO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°

Rematch from Week 8
Georgia Southern 14.0 (64.0)
Georgia Southern won at New Mexico State this year (22-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD