Central Arkansas at Arkansas State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Central Arkansas logo Central Arkansas Bears at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -15.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Central Arkansas 28 - Arkansas State: 23

 
Bears (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.9° (43% Hum)
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ ARST -1)
ARST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Arkansas's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Central Arkansas at Arkansas State+15.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Arkansas's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Arkansas State vs Toledo-2.564.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/10 Arkansas State at Auburn+13.051.0L 14 - 51ON
Fri 9/16 Arkansas State at Utah State+8.056.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 9/24 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-15.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern+5.553.5W 27 - 26UY
Sat 10/15 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-6.054.5W 17 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-17.055.0W 51 - 10OY
Thu 11/3 Arkansas State at Georgia State-2.048.0W 31 - 16UY
Sat 11/12 Arkansas State vs New Mexico State-20.563.0W 41 - 22UN
Thu 11/17 Arkansas State at Troy+8.553.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 11/26 Arkansas State at Louisiana-6.550.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 12/3 Arkansas State at Texas State-21.554.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 12/17 Arkansas State at UCF-6.551.0W 31 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%280%000%000%230%0%0000
ARST.0939%27.339%2.3113738%2423.04.0236%21.536%33%2.9964.21.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Offense128280%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARST Defense1321.520.736.1%2.991.6 - - - - - 49%49%36%33%22%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Defense123230%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARST Offense1327.328.239.2%3.041.3193791372423.552%46%39%38%19%.09

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Arkansas10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arkansas State1329:0118.629%58%8.264.21.31.610.23.3329.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ARST Defense1349%36% - - - - -.052.563%16%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARST Offense1352%39%39.8137.23.519-.042.3167%13%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARST Defense1349%33% - - - - - - 11.111.738%30%.266%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARST Offense1346%38%17.830.9242.27.813.6219.281.836%30%.256%2

Central Arkansas's Power Ratings
Central Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #168
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Arkansas's 2016 Expected Record: -
Central Arkansas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Arkansas State: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Arkansas State: -1.2




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #71
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9  #112
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Central Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Central Arkansas's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Central Arkansas 26
Arkansas State 26

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Central Arkansas 28
Arkansas State 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Central Arkansas 25
Arkansas State 25

Total Points: 50
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Arkansas State's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Arkansas State34Central Arkansas31
202109/04Arkansas State40Central Arkansas21Arkansas State -13.5Arkansas State64.0Under
202010/10Arkansas State50Central Arkansas27Arkansas State -15.5Arkansas State56.0Over
201609/24Arkansas State23Central Arkansas28Arkansas State -15.5Central Arkansas0
201109/24Arkansas State53Central Arkansas24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State421 Overs
Central Arkansas111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#) UCA at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCAARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #71
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #168 #76
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Central Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Central Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffUCA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffUCA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffUCA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

UCA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 92° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Arkansas State -15.5 (0)
Central Arkansas won at Arkansas State this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Central Arkansas last year (34-31)

  
UCA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Central Arkansas's Full Roster

UCA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD