Central Arkansas at Arkansas State - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Central Arkansas Bears at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -15.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Central Arkansas 28 - Arkansas State: 23

 
Bears (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 61 (6 - 61 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ ARST -1)
ARST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Arkansas's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Central Arkansas at Arkansas State+15.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Arkansas's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Arkansas State vs Toledo-2.564.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/10 Arkansas State at Auburn+13.051.0L 14 - 51ON
Fri 9/16 Arkansas State at Utah State+8.056.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 9/24 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-15.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern+5.553.5W 27 - 26UY
Sat 10/15 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-6.054.5W 17 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-17.055.0W 51 - 10OY
Thu 11/3 Arkansas State at Georgia State-2.048.0W 31 - 16UY
Sat 11/12 Arkansas State vs New Mexico State-20.563.0W 41 - 22UN
Thu 11/17 Arkansas State at Troy+8.553.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 11/26 Arkansas State at Louisiana-6.550.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 12/3 Arkansas State at Texas State-21.554.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 12/17 Arkansas State at UCF-6.551.0W 31 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%60%000%000%610%0%0000
ARST.1645%25.246%2.7923142%2073.58.1338%27.439%36%3.7976.622.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARST Defense1327.427.237.9%3.792.7 - - - - - 42%56%39%36%3%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Defense161610%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARST Offense1325.22945%3.58222438231207559%40%46%42%2%.16

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Arkansas10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arkansas State1330:2622.339%50%8.376.622.700933.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ARST Defense1342%39% - - - - .082.1969%0%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARST Offense1359%46%46.8231.3535.152.7969%0%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARST Defense1356%36% - - - - - - 27.171.837%29%.273%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARST Offense1340%42%15.928.1207.27.4132315.191.631%35%.272%1.7

Central Arkansas's Power Ratings
Central Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #168
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Arkansas's 2016 Expected Record: -
Central Arkansas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Arkansas State: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Arkansas State: -1.2




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #71
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9  #112
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Central Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 61 PPG
Defense on Road: 61

Central Arkansas's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 44
Central Arkansas 17

Projected Total Points: 61
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Arkansas State34Central Arkansas31
202109/04Arkansas State40Central Arkansas21Arkansas State -13.5Arkansas State64.0Under
202010/10Arkansas State50Central Arkansas27Arkansas State -15.5Arkansas State56.0Over
201609/24Arkansas State23Central Arkansas28Arkansas State -15.5Central Arkansas0
201109/24Arkansas State53Central Arkansas24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State421 Overs
Central Arkansas111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#) UCA at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCAARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #71
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #168 #76
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Central Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Central Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCA OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffUCA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffUCA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffUCA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

UCA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Arkansas State -15.5 (0)
Central Arkansas won at Arkansas State this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Central Arkansas in 2024 (34-31)

  
UCA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD