App State at Georgia Southern - 2016 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Georgia Southern Eagles

Thursday, October 27th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -4 (46.5) (0) Open: 0.0
App State 34 - Georgia Southern: 10 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (10 - 3) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (30 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ APP -13)
Projected Score: APP: 26 - GASO: 18 (44)
APP Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 263 miles

Eagles (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (28 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	App State at Tennessee	+23.0	58.0	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/10	App State vs Old Dominion	-21.0	54.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	App State vs Miami	+4.0	50.5	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/24	App State at Akron	-7.0	56.0	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/1	App State vs Georgia State	-21.0	52.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12	App State at Louisiana	-10.5	50.0	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/22	App State vs Idaho	-22.0	53.0	W 37 - 19	O	N
Thu 10/27	App State at Georgia Southern	-4.0	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	App State vs Texas State	-30.0	53.0	W 35 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/12	App State at Troy	+1.5	49.0	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/19	App State vs UL Monroe	-27.5	52.0	W 42 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/26	App State at New Mexico State	-17.0	60.0	W 37 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/17	App State vs Toledo	+2.5	60.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia Southern vs Savannah State	-53.0
Sat 9/10	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	-11.5	57.5	W 24 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-27.0	57.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/24	Georgia Southern at Western Michigan	+4.0	55.5	L 31 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-5.5	53.5	L 26 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech	+8.0	48.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/22	Georgia Southern at New Mexico State	-14.0	64.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Thu 10/27	Georgia Southern vs App State	+4.0	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/5	Georgia Southern at Ole Miss	+20.5	63.0	L 27 - 37	O	Y
Thu 11/10	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	-10.5	45.0	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	-3.5	47.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Georgia Southern vs Troy	+9.0	53.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.21	46%	29.2	47%	3.13	251	44%	179	3.58	.06	38%	17.8	38%	36%	2.84	57.7	1	1.6
GASO	.15	43%	26.6	41%	2.73	224	42%	156	3.71	.16	44%	26.5	42%	44%	3.2	64.3	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	13	29.2	29.5	46.4%	3.58	1	22	430	251	179	5.6	60%	38%	47%	44%	14%	.21
GASO Defense	12	26.5	22.4	43.8%	3.2	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	42%	44%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	13	17.8	17.2	38.2%	2.84	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	38%	36%	17%	.06
GASO Offense	12	26.6	28.2	42.5%	3.71	1.5	21	380	224	156	4.4	67%	31%	41%	42%	17%	.15

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	13	33:35	22.2	34%	55%	6.1	57.7	1	1.6	6.1	2.5	3	30.5
Georgia Southern	12	32:39	20.7	44%	44%	7.6	64.3	1.5	1.6	5.6	1	0	28.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	13	60%	47%	44.5	250.9	5.6	29	.22	3.13	71%	10%	1.1
GASO Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.7	72%	11%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	13	44%	38%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.05	62%	10%	0.91
GASO Offense	12	67%	41%	50.5	224.2	4.4	16	.1	2.73	71%	12%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	13	38%	44%	15.6	25.7	179	7	11.5	16	8	.23	1.5	30%	30%	.27	4%	1.9
GASO Defense	12	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.6	31%	35%	.27	5%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	13	54%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.03	1.4	35%	28%	.13	6%	1.6
GASO Offense	12	31%	42%	12.3	22	155.7	7.1	12.7	13	9	.28	1.7	33%	38%	.36	5%	1.7

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2016 Expected Record: -
App State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #43
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #61
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #23

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: Georgia Southern: 0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 9.2 Georgia Southern: -3.9

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: 0.55 NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Southern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #84
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

App State Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.5
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

App State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
App State 26
Georgia Southern 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 24
Georgia Southern 15

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
App State 27
Georgia Southern 22

Total Points: 49

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.4

Georgia Southern's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/06	App State	23	Georgia Southern	25	App State -4.5	Georgia Southern	62.5	Under
2025	12/29	App State	10	Georgia Southern	29	Georgia Southern -10	Georgia Southern	58.5	Under
2024	11/30	Georgia Southern	29	App State	20	Georgia Southern -2.5	Georgia Southern	60.5	Under
2023	11/25	App State	55	Georgia Southern	27	Appalachian State -7.5	App State	62.5	Over
2022	11/26	Georgia Southern	51	App State	48	Appalachian State -6.5	Georgia Southern	66.0	Over
2021	11/27	App State	27	Georgia Southern	3	Appalachian State -24.5	Georgia Southern	55.0	Under
2020	12/12	Georgia Southern	26	App State	34	Appalachian State -9	Georgia Southern	45.0	Over
2019	10/31	App State	21	Georgia Southern	24	Appalachian State -15	Georgia Southern	44.5	Over
2018	10/25	Georgia Southern	34	App State	14	Appalachian State -11	Georgia Southern	47.5	Over
2017	11/09	App State	27	Georgia Southern	6	Appalachian State -17.5	App State	51.5	Under
2016	10/27	Georgia Southern	10	App State	34	Appalachian State -4	App State	46.5	Under
2015	10/22	App State	31	Georgia Southern	13	Appalachian State -6	App State	60.0	Under
2014	09/25	Georgia Southern	34	App State	14	Georgia Southern -17	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	7	9	5 Overs
App State	6	4	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	8 - 5	5 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 8	5 - 8	2 - 3	3 - 5

(#) APP at (#) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#84
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#119	#86
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70°

Rematch from Week 9
App State 4.0 (46.5)
App State won at Georgia Southern this year (34-10)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat App State last year (29-20)
App State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (55-27)
Georgia Southern beat App State in 2022 (51-48)

APP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD