Arkansas State at Utah State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Utah State Aggies

Friday, September 16th 2016 (9:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -8 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah State 34 - Arkansas State: 20

Red Wolves (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ ARST -3)
Projected Score: ARST: 24 - USU: 30 (54)
USU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ARST Travel: 1206 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aggies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Arkansas State vs Toledo	-2.5	64.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/10	Arkansas State at Auburn	+13.0	51.0	L 14 - 51	O	N
Fri 9/16	Arkansas State at Utah State	+8.0	56.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/24	Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas	-15.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern	+5.5	53.5	W 27 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-6.0	54.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-17.0	55.0	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Thu 11/3	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-2.0	48.0	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Arkansas State vs New Mexico State	-20.5	63.0	W 41 - 22	U	N
Thu 11/17	Arkansas State at Troy	+8.5	53.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-6.5	50.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/3	Arkansas State at Texas State	-21.5	54.0	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Arkansas State at UCF	-6.5	51.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Utah State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Utah State vs Weber State	-21.0
Sat 9/10	Utah State at USC	+14.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Fri 9/16	Utah State vs Arkansas State	-8.0	56.0	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Utah State vs Air Force	+3.0	53.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Utah State at Boise State	+19.5	60.5	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Utah State at Colorado State	-6.0	53.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Utah State vs Fresno State	-14.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Fri 10/28	Utah State vs San Diego State	+3.0	45.0	L 13 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Utah State at Wyoming	+4.0	55.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/12	Utah State vs New Mexico	-2.5	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Utah State at Nevada	-5.0	56.5	L 37 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Utah State at BYU	+17.0	51.5	L 10 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.16	45%	25.2	46%	2.79	231	42%	207	3.58	.13	38%	27.4	39%	36%	3.79	76.6	2	2.7
USU	.12	41%	30.9	41%	2.63	165	39%	206	3.39	.1	39%	28.7	39%	36%	3.65	58.9	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	13	25.2	21	45%	3.58	2	22	438	231	207	5	59%	40%	46%	42%	2%	.16
USU Defense	13	28.7	19.5	38.6%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	39%	36%	1%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	13	27.4	21.8	37.9%	3.79	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	39%	36%	3%	.13
USU Offense	13	30.9	38.3	40.8%	3.39	1.8	19	371	165	206	4.5	50%	49%	41%	39%	2%	.12

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	13	30:26	22.3	39%	50%	8.3	76.6	2	2.7	0	0	9	33.4
Utah State	13	28:45	19.4	35%	50%	6.4	58.9	1.8	1.7	0	0	4	31.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	13	59%	46%	46.8	231.3	5	35	.15	2.79	69%	0%	1.04
USU Defense	13	59%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.58	67%	0%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	13	42%	39%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.19	69%	0%	1.16
USU Offense	13	50%	41%	37	165.1	4.5	22	.1	2.63	70%	0%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	13	40%	42%	15.9	28.1	207.2	7.4	13	23	15	.19	1.6	31%	35%	.27	2%	1.7
USU Defense	13	39%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.2	1.7	34%	27%	.22	1%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	13	56%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	27	.17	1.8	37%	29%	.27	3%	2
USU Offense	13	49%	39%	17.6	31	205.5	6.6	11.7	21	10	.15	1.6	36%	30%	.26	2%	2.1

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #71
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #112
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Utah State: 0.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -1.2 Utah State: -4.4

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 0.3 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #86
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #96
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #59

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 30
Arkansas State 24

Projected Total Points: 54

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/16	Utah State	34	Arkansas State	20	Utah State -8	Utah State	56.0	Under
2014	09/20	Arkansas State	21	Utah State	14	Arkansas State -1.5	Arkansas State	0
2004	11/11	Arkansas State	16	Utah State	7
2003	10/25	Utah State	49	Arkansas State	0
2000	10/27	Utah State	44	Arkansas State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	3	1	0 Overs
Arkansas State	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 5	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) ARST at (#) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#86
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#76	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Utah State Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Utah State -8.0 (56.0)
Utah State won vs Arkansas State this year (34-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD