Georgia Southern at Georgia State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, November 19th 2016 (2:00 PM EST)
Georgia Southern -3.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia State 30 - Georgia Southern: 24 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 3rd straight Home Game
GAST is playing their 8th straight game
GASO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ GASO -8)
Projected Score: GASO: 29 - GAST: 27 (56)
GASO Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
GASO Travel: 178 miles

Panthers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia Southern vs Savannah State	-53.0
Sat 9/10	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	-11.5	57.5	W 24 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-27.0	57.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/24	Georgia Southern at Western Michigan	+4.0	55.5	L 31 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-5.5	53.5	L 26 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech	+8.0	48.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/22	Georgia Southern at New Mexico State	-14.0	64.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Thu 10/27	Georgia Southern vs App State	+4.0	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/5	Georgia Southern at Ole Miss	+20.5	63.0	L 27 - 37	O	Y
Thu 11/10	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	-10.5	45.0	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	-3.5	47.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Georgia Southern vs Troy	+9.0	53.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Georgia State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Georgia State vs Ball State	+5.5	56.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia State at Air Force	+22.5	52.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	Georgia State at Wisconsin	+30.0	51.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Georgia State at App State	+21.0	52.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia State vs Texas State	-8.5	58.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Georgia State at Troy	+16.5	54.0	L 21 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Georgia State vs UT Martin	-12.5
Sat 10/29	Georgia State at South Alabama	+3.5	47.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/3	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	+2.0	48.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	-12.5	51.5	L 23 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	+3.5	47.5	W 30 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3	Georgia State at Idaho	+7.0	53.5	L 12 - 37	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.27	45%	27.9	45%	3.03	363	38%	63	3.39	.17	42%	32.3	42%	41%	3.46	48.4	1.6	2.2
GAST	.2	42%	19.8	37%	2.33	97	45%	336	3.78	.13	45%	37.8	43%	44%	3.11	65.5	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	13	27.9	19.5	45%	3.39	1.6	19	426	363	63	6.5	81%	17%	45%	38%	2%	.27
GAST Defense	13	37.8	30.3	44.8%	3.11	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	44%	2%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	13	32.3	35.3	42.3%	3.46	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	42%	41%	3%	.17
GAST Offense	13	19.8	21.5	42.4%	3.78	1.8	20	433	97	336	3.1	40%	58%	37%	45%	2%	.2

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	13	33:58	19.2	41%	65%	5.2	48.4	1.6	2.2	0	0	2	37.4
Georgia State	13	29:01	20.1	44%	11%	7.1	65.5	1.8	1.7	0	0	2	25.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	13	81%	45%	56	363	6.5	41	.35	3.03	78%	0%	1.37
GAST Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	71%	0%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	3.05	52%	0%	0.87
GAST Offense	13	40%	37%	31.3	96.9	3.1	15	-.12	2.33	60%	0%	0.75

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	13	17%	38%	4.5	10.5	63.4	6	14	4	10	-.02	1.6	30%	34%	.29	2%	1.7
GAST Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.18	1.4	29%	30%	.12	2%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.27	1.7	29%	30%	.35	3%	1.9
GAST Offense	13	58%	45%	23.7	38.2	335.9	8.8	14.2	28	12	.42	1.8	32%	41%	.44	2%	1.8

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #84
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: Georgia State: -3.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -3.9 Georgia State: -12.1

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -3.55 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #108
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #122
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #49

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Georgia Southern's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 29
Georgia State 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Georgia Southern	41	Georgia State	24	Georgia Southern -6.5	Georgia Southern	58.5	Over
2024	09/28	Georgia State	21	Georgia Southern	38	Georgia State -3.5	Georgia Southern	57.5	Over
2023	10/26	Georgia Southern	44	Georgia State	27	Georgia State -1.0	Georgia Southern	63.0	Over
2022	10/08	Georgia State	41	Georgia Southern	33	Georgia State -2.5	Georgia State	67.5	Over
2021	10/30	Georgia Southern	14	Georgia State	21	Georgia State -6	Georgia State	55.0	Under
2020	11/28	Georgia State	30	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia State -2.5	Georgia State	51.5	Over
2019	11/30	Georgia Southern	38	Georgia State	10	Georgia Southern -6.5	Georgia Southern	56.0	Under
2018	11/24	Georgia State	14	Georgia Southern	35	Georgia Southern -10	Georgia Southern	60.0	Under
2017	11/04	Georgia Southern	17	Georgia State	21	Georgia State -5.5	Georgia Southern	50.5	Under
2016	11/19	Georgia State	30	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia Southern -3.5	Georgia State	47.5	Over
2015	12/05	Georgia Southern	7	Georgia State	34	Georgia Southern -22	Georgia State	57.0	Under
2014	10/25	Georgia State	31	Georgia Southern	69	Georgia Southern -15	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	6	5	6 Overs
Georgia Southern	6	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#) GASO at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#108
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	GASO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Georgia Southern 3.5 (47.5)
Georgia State won vs Georgia Southern this year (30-24)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State last year (41-24)
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State in 2024 (38-21)
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State in 2023 (44-27)

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD