Cincinnati at Purdue - 2016 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo   Cincinnati Bearcats at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -7 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 38 - Purdue: 20

 
Bearcats (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ CIN -7.5)
Projected Score: CIN: 31 - PUR: 25 (56)
CIN Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 156 miles
Boilermakers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Cincinnati vs UT Martin-24.0
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati at Purdue-7.057.5W 38 - 20OY
Thu 9/15 Cincinnati vs Houston+7.563.0L 16 - 40UN
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-19.555.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati vs South Florida+6.064.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati at UConn-2.549.5L 9 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-2.063.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at Temple+8.553.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs BYU+10.054.0L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/12 Cincinnati at UCF+10.055.0L 3 - 24UN
Fri 11/18 Cincinnati vs Memphis+7.561.5L 7 - 34UN
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati at Tulsa+18.563.0L 37 - 40OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Purdue's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Purdue vs Eastern Kentucky-15.0
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Cincinnati+7.057.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Nevada-5.059.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Maryland+9.055.0L 7 - 50ON
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Illinois+9.049.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Iowa+13.052.5L 35 - 49ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Nebraska+23.559.0L 14 - 27UY
Sat 10/29 Purdue vs Penn State+10.558.5L 24 - 62ON
Sat 11/5 Purdue at Minnesota+16.554.0L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/12 Purdue vs Northwestern+10.558.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Wisconsin+26.548.5L 20 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana+16.066.5L 24 - 26UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2349%30.347%2.8317849%3603.71.1743%25.644%40%3.4172.92.51.1
PUR.0840%18.843%2.7913137%2373.73.2146%31.844%46%3.8253.92.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1330.330.849.1%3.712.5285381783604.544%54%47%49%3%.23
PUR Defense1231.83046%3.821.8 - - - - - 53%46%44%46%2%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1325.635.342.9%3.411.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%40%2%.17
PUR Offense1218.820.940.4%3.732.2203691312373.844%55%43%37%3%.08

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1330:5228.551%64%872.92.51.100027.4
Purdue1227:4119.835%55%5.453.92.21.800028.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1344%47%39.4177.94.525.132.8377%0%0.88
PUR Defense1253%44% - - - - .122.6172%0%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1351%44% - - - - .143.1665%0%0.89
PUR Offense1244%43%34.8131.33.822.082.7977%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1354%49%26.242.1359.98.613.72922.321.631%39%.353%1.8
PUR Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 12.321.531%36%.332%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1347%40% - - - - - - 9.221.632%33%.282%1.7
PUR Offense1255%37%24.242237.35.79.81816.091.434%27%.213%2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2016 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.6  #82
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #98
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #53

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    Purdue: -3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -3.6   Purdue: -11.0




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -3 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2016 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0  #104
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #102

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 31
Purdue 25

Projected Total Points: 56
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10Purdue20Cincinnati38Cincinnati -7Cincinnati57.5Over
201308/31Cincinnati42Purdue7Cincinnati -14Cincinnati0
200109/02Cincinnati14Purdue19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue101 Overs
Cincinnati220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) CIN at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #104
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #58 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Cincinnati 7.0 (57.5)
Cincinnati won at Purdue this year (38-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD