Purdue at Minnesota - 2016 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Minnesota Golden Gophers  Minnesota logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -16.5 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Minnesota 44 - Purdue: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN is playing their 7th straight game
PUR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -14.5  (SP+ MINN -24)
Projected Score: PUR: 18 - MINN: 30 (48)
MINN Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
PUR Travel: 448 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Purdue vs Eastern Kentucky-15.0
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Cincinnati+7.057.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Nevada-5.059.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Maryland+9.055.0L 7 - 50ON
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Illinois+9.049.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Iowa+13.052.5L 35 - 49ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Nebraska+23.559.0L 14 - 27UY
Sat 10/29 Purdue vs Penn State+10.558.5L 24 - 62ON
Sat 11/5 Purdue at Minnesota+16.554.0L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/12 Purdue vs Northwestern+10.558.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Wisconsin+26.548.5L 20 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana+16.066.5L 24 - 26UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Minnesota's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Minnesota vs Oregon State-7.556.0W 30 - 23UN
Sat 9/10 Minnesota vs Indiana State-44.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Minnesota vs Colorado State-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Minnesota at Penn State+4.054.5L 26 - 29OY
Sat 10/8 Minnesota vs Iowa+1.550.0L 7 - 14UN
Sat 10/15 Minnesota at Maryland+3.047.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 Minnesota vs Rutgers-21.045.0W 34 - 32ON
Sat 10/29 Minnesota at Illinois-10.046.5W 40 - 17OY
Sat 11/5 Minnesota vs Purdue-16.554.0W 44 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Minnesota at Nebraska+8.048.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/19 Minnesota vs Northwestern-2.046.0W 29 - 12UY
Sat 11/26 Minnesota at Wisconsin+14.042.5L 17 - 31OY
Tue 12/27 Minnesota vs Washington State+5.561.0W 17 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.0840%18.843%2.7913137%2373.73.2146%31.844%46%3.8253.92.21.8
MINN.1241%2338%2.8614443%2153.3.1243%22.945%39%3.445.51.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1218.815.840.4%3.732.2203691312373.844%55%43%37%3%.08
MINN Defense1322.91343.3%3.41.4 - - - - - 54%44%45%39%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1231.834.446%3.821.8 - - - - - 53%46%44%46%2%.21
MINN Offense132330.141.1%3.31.7183591442154.249%49%38%43%3%.12

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1227:4119.835%55%5.453.92.21.800028.8
Minnesota1329:0017.639%35%5.645.51.71.400228.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1244%43%34.8131.33.822.082.7977%0%0.91
MINN Defense1354%45% - - - - .13.174%0%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1253%44% - - - - .122.6172%0%1.09
MINN Offense1349%38%34.3144.14.217-.012.8667%0%0.8

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1255%37%24.242237.35.79.81816.091.434%27%.213%2
MINN Defense1344%39% - - - - - - 10.161.531%34%.32%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 12.321.531%36%.332%1.8
MINN Offense1349%43%19.332.8214.86.511.11511.251.534%35%.233%1.5

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2016 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0  #104
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #102

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Minnesota: 8.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -11.0   Minnesota: 12.6




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 8.8 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2016 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.6  #24
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 30
Purdue 18

Projected Total Points: 48
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Minnesota27Purdue20Minnesota -7.5Purdue49.5Under
202311/11Purdue49Minnesota30Minnesota -1.5Purdue48.5Over
202210/01Minnesota10Purdue20Minnesota -9.0Purdue53.0Under
202110/02Purdue13Minnesota20Purdue -2Minnesota46.0Under
202011/20Minnesota34Purdue31Purdue -2.5Minnesota60.5Over
201909/28Purdue31Minnesota38Purdue -2Minnesota57.0Over
201811/10Minnesota41Purdue10Purdue -10.5Minnesota58.0Under
201710/07Purdue31Minnesota17Purdue -3.5Purdue45.5Over
201611/05Minnesota44Purdue31Minnesota -16.5Purdue54.0Over
201510/10Purdue13Minnesota41Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Over
201410/18Minnesota39Purdue38Minnesota -14.5Purdue0
201210/27Minnesota44Purdue28
201110/08Purdue45Minnesota17
201010/16Purdue28Minnesota17
200910/10Minnesota35Purdue20
200810/25Purdue6Minnesota17
200709/22Minnesota31Purdue45
200609/23Purdue27Minnesota21
200509/24Minnesota42Purdue35
200209/28Purdue28Minnesota15
200109/29Minnesota28Purdue35
200009/22Purdue38Minnesota24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota1256 Overs
Purdue1064 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 74 - 71 - 63 - 1
Road Teams7 - 157 - 41 - 36 - 1

(#) PUR at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #24
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #68 #59
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Minnesota -16.5 (54.0)
Minnesota won vs Purdue this year (44-31)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Purdue last year (27-20)
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2023 (49-30)

  
PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD