Purdue at Maryland - 2016 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Maryland -9 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Maryland 50 - Purdue: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 38 (22 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MD coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ MD -10)

Projected Score: PUR: 21 - MD: 31 (52)
MD Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
PUR Travel: 539 miles
Terrapins (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Purdue vs Eastern Kentucky-15.0
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Cincinnati+7.057.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Nevada-5.059.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Maryland+9.055.0L 7 - 50ON
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Illinois+9.049.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Iowa+13.052.5L 35 - 49ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Nebraska+23.559.0L 14 - 27UY
Sat 10/29 Purdue vs Penn State+10.558.5L 24 - 62ON
Sat 11/5 Purdue at Minnesota+16.554.0L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/12 Purdue vs Northwestern+10.558.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Wisconsin+26.548.5L 20 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana+16.066.5L 24 - 26UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Maryland's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Maryland vs Howard-51.0
Fri 9/9 Maryland at Florida International-7.056.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 Maryland at UCF-9.056.0W 30 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Maryland vs Purdue-9.055.0W 50 - 7OY
Sat 10/8 Maryland at Penn State+3.056.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/15 Maryland vs Minnesota-3.047.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Maryland vs Michigan State+2.549.0W 28 - 17UY
Sat 10/29 Maryland at Indiana+5.055.5L 36 - 42ON
Sat 11/5 Maryland at Michigan+26.554.5L 3 - 59ON
Sat 11/12 Maryland vs Ohio State+28.058.5L 3 - 62ON
Sat 11/19 Maryland at Nebraska+14.550.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/26 Maryland vs Rutgers-2.053.5W 31 - 13UY
Mon 12/26 Maryland vs Boston College+1.044.0L 30 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1141%24.643%2.919639%2952.93.2646%38.345%44%4.3937.32.81.3
MD.1640%25.844%2.9220035%1783.1646%29.548%42%3.5761.11.50.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1224.62241.3%2.932.821391962953.238%61%43%39%16%.11
MD Defense1329.523.845.8%3.570.9 - - - - - 58%41%48%42%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1238.335.645.7%4.391.3 - - - - - 58%40%45%44%13%.26
MD Offense1325.82940.3%31.5183782001784.953%46%44%35%21%.16

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1229:1921.245%45%4.337.32.81.35.71.8128.6
Maryland1327:4618.234%38%6.861.11.50.96.72.8329.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1238%43%30.196.23.212.082.9165%9%0.93
MD Defense1358%48% - - - - .133.1170%11%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1258%45% - - - - .23.0674%9%1.12
MD Offense1353%44%41199.54.926.212.9259%15%1.3

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1261%39%2646.4294.96.411.32525.141.634%33%.397%2.1
MD Defense1341%42% - - - - - - 5.211.628%32%.295%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1240%44% - - - - - - 12.371.731%36%.414%1.9
MD Offense1346%35%15.126.3178.26.811.8159.121.636%32%.317%1.8

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2016 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0  #104
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6  #102

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Maryland: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -11.0   Maryland: -0.6




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Maryland's 2016 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #67
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #69
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #63

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Purdue's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Maryland 31
Purdue 21


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Maryland 31
Purdue 17

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Maryland 32
Purdue 25

Total Points: 57
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

Maryland's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08Maryland29Purdue31Maryland -3Purdue59.5Over
201910/12Purdue40Maryland14Maryland -4Purdue52.0Over
201610/01Maryland50Purdue7Maryland -9Maryland55.0Over
200612/29Maryland24Purdue7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland213 Overs
Purdue220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#) PUR at (#) MD
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURMD
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #67
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #68 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffMD Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #63
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMD Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMD Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Maryland on Offense
CategoryCatMD OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Maryland Run Game
CategoryCat
MD OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Maryland Pass Game
CategoryCatMD OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.079
Rematch from Week 5
Maryland -9.0 (55.0)
Maryland won vs Purdue this year (50-7)

Previous Matchups
Purdue beat Maryland in 2022 (31-29)

  
PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MD's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MD's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD