Illinois at Michigan - 2016 Matchup Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan Wolverines

Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -28 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan 41 - Illinois: 8 (Big Ten)

Fighting Illini (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (14 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
ILL 2nd straight Road Game
MICH coming off BYE
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -18 (SP+ MICH -31)
Projected Score: ILL: 16 - MICH: 35 (51)
MICH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
ILL Travel: 277 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wolverines (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 14 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ILL Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Illinois vs Murray State	-31.0
Sat 9/10	Illinois vs North Carolina	+7.0	59.5	L 23 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	Illinois vs Western Michigan	+1.5	56.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Illinois at Nebraska	+21.5	53.0	L 16 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Illinois vs Purdue	-9.0	49.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/15	Illinois at Rutgers	-6.0	52.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Illinois at Michigan	+28.0	51.5	L 8 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/29	Illinois vs Minnesota	+10.0	46.5	L 17 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Illinois vs Michigan State	+7.0	47.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Illinois at Wisconsin	+26.5	42.0	L 3 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/19	Illinois vs Iowa	+10.0	45.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/26	Illinois at Northwestern	+15.0	48.5	L 21 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Michigan's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Michigan vs Hawai'i	-40.5	55.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Michigan vs UCF	-34.5	53.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Michigan vs Colorado	-20.0	55.5	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/24	Michigan vs Penn State	-15.5	56.0	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Michigan vs Wisconsin	-10.0	44.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/8	Michigan at Rutgers	-26.5	52.5	W 78 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Michigan vs Illinois	-28.0	51.5	W 41 - 8	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Michigan at Michigan State	-21.0	49.5	W 32 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/5	Michigan vs Maryland	-26.5	54.5	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Michigan at Iowa	-18.5	51.0	L 13 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Michigan vs Indiana	-28.0	50.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/26	Michigan at Ohio State	+7.0	44.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 12/30	Michigan vs Florida State	-6.5	51.0	L 32 - 33	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	.08	38%	19.7	37%	2.77	141	37%	175	2.88	.16	46%	31.9	46%	44%	3.38	53.3	1.7	1.5
MICH	.16	45%	40.3	45%	2.81	213	43%	212	4.36	-	31%	14.1	34%	26%	2	45.6	0.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)		41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)		38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	12	19.7	14.4	37.9%	2.88	1.7	15	315	141	175	4.8	46%	52%	37%	37%	19%	.08
MICH Defense	13	14.1	10.4	31.2%	2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	34%	26%	24%	-

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	12	31.9	33.8	46.2%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	46%	44%	17%	.16
MICH Offense	13	40.3	42.8	45.1%	4.36	0.9	22	425	213	212	4.8	55%	43%	45%	43%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	12	25:59	15	28%	44%	6.3	53.3	1.7	1.5	8.1	2.3	1	30.3
Michigan	13	33:02	21.8	43%	65%	4.8	45.6	0.9	1.5	9.2	3.5	5	34.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	12	46%	37%	29.4	140.5	4.8	14	.07	2.77	55%	12%	1.17
MICH Defense	13	52%	34%	-	-	-	-	.03	1.95	65%	17%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.01	70%	13%	0.91
MICH Offense	13	55%	45%	44.2	212.9	4.8	41	.11	2.81	72%	10%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	12	52%	37%	15.3	29.8	174.6	5.9	11.5	13	9	.11	1.4	34%	28%	.2	7%	1.8
MICH Defense	13	47%	26%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	-.03	1.7	40%	24%	.1	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	12	39%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.5	32%	37%	.38	4%	1.6
MICH Offense	13	43%	43%	17.5	28.5	212	7.5	12.1	20	7	.27	1.6	29%	35%	.33	5%	1.8

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #94
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #104
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #77

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: Michigan: 14.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -6.7 Michigan: 24.4

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 14.7 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.4 #6
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #35
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.1 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.8

Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 35
Illinois 16

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 32
Illinois 17

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 37
Illinois 15

Total Points: 52

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.8
Defense: 14.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.4

Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Illinois	21	Michigan	7	Michigan -6	Illinois	44.0	Under
2022	11/19	Michigan	19	Illinois	17	Michigan -17	Illinois	41.5	Under
2019	10/12	Illinois	25	Michigan	42	Michigan -24.5	Illinois	49.0	Over
2016	10/22	Michigan	41	Illinois	8	Michigan -28	Michigan	51.5	Under
2012	10/13	Michigan	45	Illinois	0
2011	11/12	Illinois	14	Michigan	31
2010	11/06	Michigan	67	Illinois	65
2009	10/31	Illinois	38	Michigan	13
2008	10/04	Michigan	20	Illinois	45
2007	10/20	Illinois	17	Michigan	27
2004	10/16	Illinois	19	Michigan	30
2003	10/18	Michigan	56	Illinois	14
2002	09/28	Illinois	28	Michigan	45
2001	09/29	Michigan	45	Illinois	20
2000	09/22	Illinois	31	Michigan	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	12	1	1 Overs
Illinois	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 8	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1

(#) ILL at (#) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ILL	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#6
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#64	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Illinois Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	ILL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#77
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 50° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Michigan -28.0 (51.5)
Michigan won vs Illinois this year (41-8)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Michigan last year (21-7)
Michigan beat Illinois in 2022 (19-17)

ILL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MICH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD