Murray State at Illinois - 2016 Matchup Preview
Murray State logo Murray State Racers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, September 3rd 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Illinois -31 (0)  Open: 0.0
Illinois 52 - Murray State: 3

 
Racers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 52 (3 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -1  (SP+ ILL -7)
ILL Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
Fighting Illini (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (23 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Murray State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Murray State at Illinois+31.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule
Illinois's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Illinois vs Murray State-31.0
Sat 9/10 Illinois vs North Carolina+7.059.5L 23 - 48ON
Sat 9/17 Illinois vs Western Michigan+1.556.0L 10 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Illinois at Nebraska+21.553.0L 16 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Illinois vs Purdue-9.049.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/15 Illinois at Rutgers-6.052.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/22 Illinois at Michigan+28.051.5L 8 - 41UN
Sat 10/29 Illinois vs Minnesota+10.046.5L 17 - 40ON
Sat 11/5 Illinois vs Michigan State+7.047.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/12 Illinois at Wisconsin+26.542.0L 3 - 48ON
Sat 11/19 Illinois vs Iowa+10.045.5L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/26 Illinois at Northwestern+15.048.5L 21 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MURR0%30%000%000%520%0%0000
ILL.0838%19.737%2.7714137%1752.88.1646%31.946%44%3.3853.31.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MURR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MURR Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ILL Defense1231.930.646.2%3.381.5 - - - - - 59%39%46%44%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MURR Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ILL Offense1219.723.437.9%2.881.7153151411754.846%52%37%37%19%.08

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Murray State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Illinois1225:591528%44%6.353.31.71.58.12.3130.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MURR Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ILL Defense1259%46% - - - - .133.0170%13%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MURR Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ILL Offense1246%37%29.4140.54.814.072.7755%12%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MURR Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ILL Defense1239%44% - - - - - - 7.231.532%37%.384%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MURR Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ILL Offense1252%37%15.329.8174.65.911.5139.111.434%28%.27%1.8

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #167
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Murray State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State:    Illinois: -0.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State:    Illinois: -6.7




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -0.85 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7  #94
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #104
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #77

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Murray State Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Murray State's 2016 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 35
Murray State 20

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Illinois 34
Murray State 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 37
Murray State 17

Total Points: 54
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.6

Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/03Illinois52Murray State3Illinois -31Illinois0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois110 Overs
Murray State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) MURR at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMURRILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #94
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #167 #64
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Murray State on Offense
CategoryCat
MURR OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #77
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Murray State Run Game
CategoryCat
MURR OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Murray State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MURR OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffMURR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffMURR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffMURR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

MURR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Illinois -31.0 (0)
Illinois won vs Murray State this year (52-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MURR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Murray State's Full Roster

MURR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD