Western Michigan at Illinois - 2016 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo   Western Michigan Broncos at Illinois Fighting Illini  Illinois logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (4:00 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -1.5 (56.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 34 - Illinois: 10

 
Broncos (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ WMU -18)
Projected Score: WMU: 20 - ILL: 25 (45)
WMU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WMU Travel: 204 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Western Michigan at Northwestern+6.553.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 Western Michigan vs North Carolina Central-29.5
Sat 9/17 Western Michigan at Illinois-1.556.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/24 Western Michigan vs Georgia Southern-4.055.5W 49 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-4.060.5W 49 - 10UY
Sat 10/8 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois-19.068.5W 45 - 30ON
Sat 10/15 Western Michigan at Akron-10.567.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 10/22 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.562.0W 45 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Western Michigan at Ball State-16.064.5W 52 - 20OY
Tue 11/8 Western Michigan at Kent State-18.555.0W 37 - 21ON
Sat 11/19 Western Michigan vs Buffalo-34.055.5W 38 - 0UY
Fri 11/25 Western Michigan vs Toledo-9.571.5W 55 - 35OY
Fri 12/2 Western Michigan vs Ohio-17.058.0W 29 - 23UN
Mon 1/2 Western Michigan vs Wisconsin+6.554.0L 16 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Illinois's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Illinois vs Murray State-31.0
Sat 9/10 Illinois vs North Carolina+7.059.5L 23 - 48ON
Sat 9/17 Illinois vs Western Michigan+1.556.0L 10 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Illinois at Nebraska+21.553.0L 16 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Illinois vs Purdue-9.049.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/15 Illinois at Rutgers-6.052.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/22 Illinois at Michigan+28.051.5L 8 - 41UN
Sat 10/29 Illinois vs Minnesota+10.046.5L 17 - 40ON
Sat 11/5 Illinois vs Michigan State+7.047.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/12 Illinois at Wisconsin+26.542.0L 3 - 48ON
Sat 11/19 Illinois vs Iowa+10.045.5L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/26 Illinois at Northwestern+15.048.5L 21 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.2847%24.947%3.2120446%2873.62.2443%17.442%43%3.8355.51.31.4
ILL.0639%29.440%2.6312936%2433.08.0940%23.642%36%3.4549.11.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1324.918.347.3%3.621.324491204287549%48%47%46%1%.28
ILL Defense1223.614.440.5%3.451.8 - - - - - 53%46%42%36%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1317.421.742.9%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%48%42%43%2%.24
ILL Offense1229.431.338.7%3.081.420373129243437%61%40%36%1%.06

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1334:3123.846%64%6.255.51.31.400229.1
Illinois1229:4120.436%44%5.549.11.41.800330.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1349%47%40.5203.7528.193.2175%0%0.97
ILL Defense1253%42% - - - - .052.6676%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1350%42% - - - - .162.8266%0%1.21
ILL Offense1237%40%32.3129.34132.6362%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1348%46%2131.1287.19.213.7309.411.728%40%.591%2
ILL Defense1246%36% - - - - - - 13.131.632%32%.283%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1348%43% - - - - - - 10.331.634%36%.472%2
ILL Offense1261%36%23.843.3243.45.610.3168.111.535%26%.131%1.9

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5  #29
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #70

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Illinois: -0.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: 11.5   Illinois: -6.7




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -0.85 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7  #94
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #104
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #77

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 25
Western Michigan 20

Projected Total Points: 45
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Illinois38Western Michigan0Illinois -27.5Illinois50.5Under
201609/17Illinois10Western Michigan34Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan56.0Under
201209/01Illinois24Western Michigan7
201109/24Illinois23Western Michigan20
200811/08Western Michigan23Illinois17
200409/18Illinois30Western Michigan27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois410 Overs
Western Michigan212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 51 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) WMU at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWMUILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #94
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #64
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
WMU OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #77
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffWMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Western Michigan 1.5 (56.0)
Western Michigan won at Illinois this year (34-10)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Western Michigan last year (38-0)

  
WMU's OC ()
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WMU's DC ()
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ILL's OC ()
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ILL's DC ()
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