Michigan at Rutgers - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#20)Michigan Wolverines at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, October 8th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -26.5 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan 78 - Rutgers: 0 (Big Ten)

Wolverines (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 14 (38 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RUTG is playing their 6th straight game
MICH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -17 (SP+ MICH -39.5)
Projected Score: MICH: 29 - RUTG: 17 (46)
MICH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
MICH Travel: 496 miles

Scarlet Knights (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (19 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Michigan vs Hawai'i	-40.5	55.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Michigan vs UCF	-34.5	53.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Michigan vs Colorado	-20.0	55.5	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/24	Michigan vs Penn State	-15.5	56.0	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Michigan vs Wisconsin	-10.0	44.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/8	Michigan at Rutgers	-26.5	52.5	W 78 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Michigan vs Illinois	-28.0	51.5	W 41 - 8	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Michigan at Michigan State	-21.0	49.5	W 32 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/5	Michigan vs Maryland	-26.5	54.5	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Michigan at Iowa	-18.5	51.0	L 13 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Michigan vs Indiana	-28.0	50.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/26	Michigan at Ohio State	+7.0	44.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 12/30	Michigan vs Florida State	-6.5	51.0	L 32 - 33	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Rutgers's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Rutgers at Washington	+22.5	56.5	L 13 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/10	Rutgers vs Howard	-42.0
Sat 9/17	Rutgers vs New Mexico	-3.5	56.0	W 37 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Rutgers vs Iowa	+13.5	56.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Rutgers at Ohio State	+37.0	59.5	L 0 - 58	U	N
Sat 10/8	Rutgers vs Michigan	+26.5	52.5	L 0 - 78	O	N
Sat 10/15	Rutgers vs Illinois	+6.0	52.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/22	Rutgers at Minnesota	+21.0	45.0	L 32 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Rutgers vs Indiana	+13.0	58.5	L 27 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Rutgers at Michigan State	+15.5	53.5	L 0 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/19	Rutgers vs Penn State	+22.5	55.0	L 0 - 39	U	N
Sat 11/26	Rutgers at Maryland	+2.0	53.5	L 13 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	.16	45%	40.3	45%	2.81	213	43%	212	4.36	-	31%	14.1	34%	26%	2	45.6	0.9	1.5
RUTG	-.01	37%	15.7	41%	2.76	145	32%	138	1.93	.16	44%	37.5	46%	40%	3.45	43	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)		41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)		38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	13	40.3	37.5	45.1%	4.36	0.9	22	425	213	212	4.8	55%	43%	45%	43%	16%	.16
RUTG Defense	12	37.5	32.9	44.3%	3.45	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	46%	40%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	13	14.1	16.8	31.2%	2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	34%	26%	24%	0
RUTG Offense	12	15.7	18.6	37.2%	1.93	1.6	16	283	145	138	3.6	53%	46%	41%	32%	18%	-.01

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	13	33:02	21.8	43%	65%	4.8	45.6	0.9	1.5	9.2	3.5	5	34.8
Rutgers	12	27:10	15.5	31%	44%	5.3	43	1.6	0.9	5.4	1.8	3	28.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	13	55%	45%	44.2	212.9	4.8	41	.11	2.81	72%	10%	0.92
RUTG Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.04	75%	9%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	13	52%	34%	-	-	-	-	.03	1.95	65%	17%	1.14
RUTG Offense	12	53%	41%	40.8	144.9	3.6	8	.01	2.76	62%	14%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	13	43%	43%	17.5	28.5	212	7.5	12.1	20	7	.27	1.6	29%	35%	.33	5%	1.8
RUTG Defense	12	40%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.19	1.6	31%	34%	.34	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	13	47%	26%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	-.03	1.7	40%	24%	.1	8%	1.9
RUTG Offense	12	46%	32%	13.3	27.7	138.3	5	10.4	11	7	-.02	1.5	33%	27%	.07	5%	1.5

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.4 #6
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #35
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.1 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: Rutgers: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 24.4 Rutgers: -14.9

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
Rutgers's Offense Rating: NR
Rutgers's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Rutgers's 2016 Expected Record: -
Rutgers's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #122
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #79

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.5
Defense: 14.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.8

Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 29
Rutgers 17

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 22
Rutgers 18

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 37
Rutgers 16

Total Points: 53

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 15.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 37.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.9

Rutgers's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Michigan	31	Rutgers	7	Michigan -24	Push	44.5	Under
2022	11/05	Rutgers	17	Michigan	52	Michigan -26	Michigan	45.0	Over
2021	09/25	Michigan	20	Rutgers	13	Michigan -20	Rutgers	50.0	Under
2020	11/21	Rutgers	42	Michigan	48	Michigan -13.5	Rutgers	52.5	Over
2019	09/28	Michigan	52	Rutgers	0	Michigan -27.5	Michigan	50.0	Over
2018	11/10	Rutgers	7	Michigan	42	Michigan -36.5	Rutgers	45.0	Over
2017	10/28	Michigan	35	Rutgers	14	Michigan -22.5	Rutgers	43.5	Over
2016	10/08	Rutgers	0	Michigan	78	Michigan -26.5	Michigan	52.5	Over
2015	11/07	Michigan	49	Rutgers	16	Michigan -21.5	Michigan	49.0	Over
2014	10/04	Rutgers	26	Michigan	24	Rutgers -3.5	Michigan	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	1	4	7 Overs
Michigan	9	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 5	2 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 2	3 - 2

(#) MICH at (#) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MICH	RUTG
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#116
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#8	#49
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan Injury Report

Rutgers Injury Report

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in High Point Solutions Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64°

Rematch from Week 6
Michigan 26.5 (52.5)
Michigan won at Rutgers this year (78-0)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Rutgers in 2023 (31-7)
Michigan beat Rutgers in 2022 (52-17)

MICH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

RUTG's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD