UCF at Michigan - 2016 Matchup Preview
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UCF Knights at Michigan Wolverines

Michigan logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -34.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 51 - UCF: 14

 
Knights (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -16  (SP+ MICH -27)
Projected Score: UCF: 18 - MICH: 29 (47)
MICH Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
UCF Travel: 955 miles
Wolverines (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UCF vs South Carolina State-27.0
Sat 9/10 UCF at Michigan+34.553.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 9/17 UCF vs Maryland+9.056.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/24 UCF at Florida International-5.552.5W 53 - 14OY
Sat 10/1 UCF at East Carolina+5.561.0W 47 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 UCF vs Temple-1.051.5L 25 - 26UN
Sat 10/22 UCF at UConn-2.046.5W 24 - 16UY
Sat 10/29 UCF at Houston+12.559.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/5 UCF vs Tulane-16.547.0W 37 - 6UY
Sat 11/12 UCF vs Cincinnati-10.055.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Tulsa-1.564.0L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida+9.566.0L 31 - 48ON
Sat 12/17 UCF vs Arkansas State+6.551.0L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Michigan's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Michigan vs Hawai'i-40.555.0W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/10 Michigan vs UCF-34.553.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 9/17 Michigan vs Colorado-20.055.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 9/24 Michigan vs Penn State-15.556.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/1 Michigan vs Wisconsin-10.044.5W 14 - 7UN
Sat 10/8 Michigan at Rutgers-26.552.5W 78 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Michigan vs Illinois-28.051.5W 41 - 8UY
Sat 10/29 Michigan at Michigan State-21.049.5W 32 - 23ON
Sat 11/5 Michigan vs Maryland-26.554.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/12 Michigan at Iowa-18.551.0L 13 - 14UN
Sat 11/19 Michigan vs Indiana-28.050.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/26 Michigan at Ohio State+7.044.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 12/30 Michigan vs Florida State-6.551.0L 32 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF-.0436%24.334%2.358136%1872.32.2946%23.643%48%3.9145.12.81.1
MICH.2247%27.545%315846%2383.93.0335%20.436%31%2.559.81.20.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1224.312.836%2.322.816268811872.743%55%34%36%2%-.04
MICH Defense1320.413.334.9%2.50.9 - - - - - 49%49%36%31%3%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1223.634.646.3%3.911.1 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%2%.29
MICH Offense1327.529.246.8%3.931.2203961582384.249%49%45%46%2%.22

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1227:3515.829%33%5.345.12.81.100129.1
Michigan1333:2720.446%38%6.759.81.20.900232.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1243%34%29.781.32.74-.182.3565%0%0.65
MICH Defense1349%36% - - - - .12.6681%0%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1253%43% - - - - .182.8472%0%1.12
MICH Offense1349%45%37.8158.24.227.15379%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1255%36%17.635.4187.25.310.61323.071.536%29%.122%1.8
MICH Defense1349%31% - - - - - - 10-.031.638%27%.063%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 4.451.733%40%.582%1.9
MICH Offense1349%46%19.831.9237.77.5122110.331.630%41%.462%1.8

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2016 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2  #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #119
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #35

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Michigan: 14.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: -2.2   Michigan: 24.4




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 14.7 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.4  #6
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #35
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.1  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 29
UCF 18

Projected Total Points: 47
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10Michigan51UCF14Michigan -34.5Michigan53.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan111 Overs
UCF000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) UCF at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #6
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #69 #8
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Michigan -34.5 (53.5)
Michigan won vs UCF this year (51-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
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MICH's OC ()
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MICH's DC ()
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