Illinois at Rutgers - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#17)Illinois Fighting Illini at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Illinois -6 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Illinois 24 - Rutgers: 7 (Big Ten)

Fighting Illini (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (14 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RUTG 2nd straight Home Game
RUTG is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ ILL -8)
Projected Score: ILL: 28 - RUTG: 24 (52)
ILL Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ILL Travel: 725 miles, 1 hrs behind

Scarlet Knights (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (19 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ILL Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Illinois vs Murray State	-31.0
Sat 9/10	Illinois vs North Carolina	+7.0	59.5	L 23 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	Illinois vs Western Michigan	+1.5	56.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Illinois at Nebraska	+21.5	53.0	L 16 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Illinois vs Purdue	-9.0	49.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/15	Illinois at Rutgers	-6.0	52.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Illinois at Michigan	+28.0	51.5	L 8 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/29	Illinois vs Minnesota	+10.0	46.5	L 17 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Illinois vs Michigan State	+7.0	47.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Illinois at Wisconsin	+26.5	42.0	L 3 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/19	Illinois vs Iowa	+10.0	45.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/26	Illinois at Northwestern	+15.0	48.5	L 21 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Rutgers's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Rutgers at Washington	+22.5	56.5	L 13 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/10	Rutgers vs Howard	-42.0
Sat 9/17	Rutgers vs New Mexico	-3.5	56.0	W 37 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Rutgers vs Iowa	+13.5	56.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Rutgers at Ohio State	+37.0	59.5	L 0 - 58	U	N
Sat 10/8	Rutgers vs Michigan	+26.5	52.5	L 0 - 78	O	N
Sat 10/15	Rutgers vs Illinois	+6.0	52.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/22	Rutgers at Minnesota	+21.0	45.0	L 32 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Rutgers vs Indiana	+13.0	58.5	L 27 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Rutgers at Michigan State	+15.5	53.5	L 0 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/19	Rutgers vs Penn State	+22.5	55.0	L 0 - 39	U	N
Sat 11/26	Rutgers at Maryland	+2.0	53.5	L 13 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	.08	38%	19.7	37%	2.77	141	37%	175	2.88	.16	46%	31.9	46%	44%	3.38	53.3	1.7	1.5
RUTG	-.01	37%	15.7	41%	2.76	145	32%	138	1.93	.16	44%	37.5	46%	40%	3.45	43	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	12	19.7	14.4	37.9%	2.88	1.7	15	315	141	175	4.8	46%	52%	37%	37%	19%	.08
RUTG Defense	12	37.5	32.9	44.3%	3.45	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	46%	40%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	12	31.9	33.8	46.2%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	46%	44%	17%	.16
RUTG Offense	12	15.7	18.6	37.2%	1.93	1.6	16	283	145	138	3.6	53%	46%	41%	32%	18%	-.01

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	12	25:59	15	28%	44%	6.3	53.3	1.7	1.5	8.1	2.3	1	30.3
Rutgers	12	27:10	15.5	31%	44%	5.3	43	1.6	0.9	5.4	1.8	3	28.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	12	46%	37%	29.4	140.5	4.8	14	.07	2.77	55%	12%	1.17
RUTG Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.04	75%	9%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.01	70%	13%	0.91
RUTG Offense	12	53%	41%	40.8	144.9	3.6	8	.01	2.76	62%	14%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	12	52%	37%	15.3	29.8	174.6	5.9	11.5	13	9	.11	1.4	34%	28%	.2	7%	1.8
RUTG Defense	12	40%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.19	1.6	31%	34%	.34	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	12	39%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.5	32%	37%	.38	4%	1.6
RUTG Offense	12	46%	32%	13.3	27.7	138.3	5	10.4	11	7	-.02	1.5	33%	27%	.07	5%	1.5

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #94
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #104
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #77

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: Rutgers: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -6.7 Rutgers: -14.9

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
Rutgers's Offense Rating: NR
Rutgers's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Rutgers's 2016 Expected Record: -
Rutgers's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #122
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #79

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.8

Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 28
Rutgers 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Illinois 30
Rutgers 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 26
Rutgers 25

Total Points: 51

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 15.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 37.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.9

Rutgers's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Illinois	35	Rutgers	13	Illinois -13.5	Illinois	63.5	Under
2024	11/23	Rutgers	31	Illinois	38	Rutgers -2.0	Illinois	48.0	Over
2021	10/30	Illinois	14	Rutgers	20	Rutgers -1.5	Rutgers	41.5	Under
2020	11/14	Rutgers	20	Illinois	23	Rutgers -5.5	Illinois	51.5	Under
2019	11/02	Illinois	38	Rutgers	10	Illinois -18.5	Illinois	49.0	Under
2018	10/06	Rutgers	17	Illinois	38	Illinois -4.5	Illinois	50.0	Over
2017	10/14	Illinois	24	Rutgers	35	Illinois -1	Rutgers	47.0	Over
2016	10/15	Rutgers	7	Illinois	24	Illinois -6	Illinois	52.0	Under
2006	09/09	Rutgers	33	Illinois	0
2005	09/03	Illinois	33	Rutgers	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	3	2	3 Overs
Illinois	7	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	2 - 6	2 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 4	6 - 2	3 - 0	3 - 2

(#) ILL at (#) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ILL	RUTG
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#116
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#64	#49
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Illinois Injury Report

Rutgers Injury Report

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#77
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in High Point Solutions Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 62° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Illinois 6.0 (52.0)
Illinois won at Rutgers this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Rutgers last year (38-31)

ILL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

RUTG's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD