UConn at East Carolina - 2016 Matchup Preview

UConn Huskies at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, October 29th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -7.5 (54.0) (0) Open: 0.0
East Carolina 41 - UConn: 3 (American Athletic)

Huskies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ ECU -3)
Projected Score: CONN: 27 - ECU: 32 (59)
ECU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 497 miles

Pirates (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	UConn vs Maine	-27.0
Sat 9/10	UConn at Navy	+7.5	43.5	L 24 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/17	UConn vs Virginia	-6.5	47.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/24	UConn vs Syracuse	-6.0	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Thu 9/29	UConn at Houston	+24.5	49.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	UConn vs Cincinnati	+2.5	49.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/15	UConn at South Florida	+17.0	53.5	L 27 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/22	UConn vs UCF	+2.0	46.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/29	UConn at East Carolina	+7.5	54.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
Fri 11/4	UConn vs Temple	+9.5	44.0	L 0 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	UConn at Boston College	+7.0	36.0	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/26	UConn vs Tulane	-2.0	36.5	L 13 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

East Carolina's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	East Carolina vs Western Carolina	-17.0
Sat 9/10	East Carolina vs NC State	+3.5	59.0	W 33 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	East Carolina at South Carolina	+6.0	51.5	L 15 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	East Carolina at Virginia Tech	+9.5	57.0	L 17 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/1	East Carolina vs UCF	-5.5	61.0	L 29 - 47	O	N
Sat 10/8	East Carolina at South Florida	+20.0	68.5	L 22 - 38	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+2.0	63.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/29	East Carolina vs UConn	-7.5	54.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/5	East Carolina at Tulsa	+10.0	76.5	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/12	East Carolina vs SMU	-5.0	63.0	L 31 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/19	East Carolina vs Navy	+8.0	64.0	L 31 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/26	East Carolina at Temple	+19.0	58.5	L 10 - 37	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	.05	40%	35.3	40%	2.57	125	39%	186	2.62	.09	41%	27	39%	40%	2.58	45.8	1.2	1.9
ECU	.17	44%	32.7	41%	2.47	133	46%	281	3.4	.16	43%	20.1	44%	40%	3.55	68.8	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	35.3	33.5	40.4%	2.62	1.2	17	310	125	186	3.4	53%	45%	40%	39%	2%	.05
ECU Defense	12	20.1	19.8	43.2%	3.55	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	40%	1%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	27	32.2	40.6%	2.58	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	40%	2%	.09
ECU Offense	12	32.7	36.2	44.2%	3.4	1.6	22	415	133	281	4	43%	56%	41%	46%	2%	.17

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	30:49	16.5	31%	30%	5.7	45.8	1.2	1.9	0	0	1	30.3
East Carolina	12	28:06	21.7	43%	65%	7.4	68.8	1.6	1.3	0	0	3	30.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	53%	40%	36.7	124.8	3.4	14	-.01	2.57	63%	0%	0.86
ECU Defense	12	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.11	80%	0%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.62	53%	0%	0.96
ECU Offense	12	43%	41%	33.7	133.3	4	19	.07	2.47	63%	0%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	45%	39%	15.5	26.3	185.5	7.1	12	10	10	.14	1.6	35%	32%	.2	2%	1.6
ECU Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.2	1.5	30%	32%	.27	1%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.16	1.5	32%	35%	.35	2%	1.8
ECU Offense	12	56%	46%	26.8	39.4	281.3	7.1	10.5	21	12	.26	1.4	32%	34%	.27	2%	1.8

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2016 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #106
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #117
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #82

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: East Carolina: -2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -11.6 East Carolina: -9.0

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -2 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0 #99
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #100

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 32
UConn 27

Projected Total Points: 59

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	11/23	UConn	24	East Carolina	31	East Carolina -15.5	UConn	64.0	Under
2018	11/17	East Carolina	55	UConn	21	East Carolina -17	East Carolina	71.5	Over
2017	09/24	UConn	38	East Carolina	41	Connecticut -5	East Carolina	63.5	Over
2016	10/29	East Carolina	41	UConn	3	East Carolina -7.5	East Carolina	54.0	Under
2015	10/30	UConn	31	East Carolina	13	East Carolina -7	UConn	51.0	Under
2014	10/23	East Carolina	31	UConn	21	East Carolina -24	UConn	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	5	3	2 Overs
UConn	1	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 2	4 - 2	2 - 2	2 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 4	2 - 4	0 - 2	2 - 2

(#) CONN at (#) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#99
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#87	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UConn Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	CONN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
East Carolina -7.5 (54.0)
East Carolina won vs UConn this year (41-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CONN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD