Louisiana Tech at North Texas - 2016 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (5:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -21 (63.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisiana Tech 45 - North Texas: 24 (Conference USA)

Bulldogs (9 - 5) (7 - 4 - 3)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 44 - 34 (39 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LT is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ LT -17.5)
Projected Score: LT: 37 - UNT: 29 (66)
LT Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
LT Travel: 265 miles

Mean Green (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisiana Tech at Arkansas	+20.5	52.5	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Louisiana Tech vs South Carolina State	-33.0
Sat 9/17	Louisiana Tech at Texas Tech	+12.0	82.5	L 45 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/24	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+4.0	69.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisiana Tech vs UTEP	-21.0	57.5	W 28 - 7	U	N
Thu 10/6	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	-1.0	69.0	W 55 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Louisiana Tech at Massachusetts	-16.0	64.0	W 56 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Louisiana Tech at Florida International	-16.0	65.5	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisiana Tech vs Rice	-23.0	68.0	W 61 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Louisiana Tech at North Texas	-21.0	63.5	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/12	Louisiana Tech vs UTSA	-19.0	63.0	W 63 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/25	Louisiana Tech at Southern Miss	-13.5	71.5	L 24 - 39	U	N
Sat 12/3	Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky	+7.5	78.5	L 44 - 58	O	N
Fri 12/23	Louisiana Tech vs Navy	+1.0	67.0	W 48 - 45	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

North Texas's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	North Texas vs SMU	+12.0	68.0	L 21 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Texas vs Bethune-Cookman	-13.0
Sat 9/17	North Texas at Florida	+35.0	52.5	L 0 - 32	U	Y
Sat 9/24	North Texas at Rice	+7.5	55.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	North Texas vs Middle Tennessee	+16.0	65.0	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/8	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	59.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	North Texas at Army	+17.5	48.0	W 35 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/29	North Texas at UTSA	+4.0	51.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/5	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	+21.0	63.5	L 24 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/12	North Texas at Western Kentucky	+30.0	66.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/19	North Texas vs Southern Miss	+5.5	58.5	W 29 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/26	North Texas at UTEP	-3.0	52.5	L 24 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/27	North Texas vs Army	+9.5	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	.36	53%	44.3	51%	3.12	151	53%	363	4.41	.25	48%	33.6	49%	47%	4.7	48.2	1.2	1.4
UNT	.1	41%	24.8	43%	2.59	134	38%	208	3.24	.13	42%	32.6	45%	36%	3.22	68.3	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	14	44.3	39	53.1%	4.41	1.2	26	515	151	363	5.1	38%	59%	51%	53%	15%	.36
UNT Defense	13	32.6	28.8	42.3%	3.22	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	45%	36%	15%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	14	33.6	36.4	48.3%	4.7	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	49%	47%	16%	.25
UNT Offense	13	24.8	27.7	41%	3.24	1.6	18	342	134	208	4.1	44%	55%	43%	38%	20%	.1

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	14	28:22	25.6	50%	60%	5.1	48.2	1.2	1.4	6.4	3.1	4	29.8
North Texas	13	27:30	18.5	35%	36%	7.5	68.3	1.6	1.7	5.7	2	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	14	38%	51%	29.8	151.4	5.1	30	.2	3.12	77%	7%	0.98
UNT Defense	13	58%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.03	74%	10%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	14	47%	49%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.99	75%	10%	0.91
UNT Offense	13	44%	43%	32.8	133.5	4.1	24	.12	2.59	70%	13%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	14	59%	53%	25.9	38.8	363.4	9.4	14.1	43	9	.49	1.5	28%	44%	.54	7%	1.9
UNT Defense	13	40%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.12	1.8	33%	34%	.22	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	14	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.35	1.6	28%	38%	.47	6%	1.9
UNT Offense	13	55%	38%	20.1	34.5	208.3	6	10.4	15	13	.09	1.4	32%	27%	.17	7%	2

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana Tech's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #60
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #16
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #111

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: North Texas: -4.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: 3.1 North Texas: -14.6

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -4.8 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #114
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #110
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 44.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 39
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Louisiana Tech's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 3
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 37
North Texas 29

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana Tech 39
North Texas 27

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana Tech 36
North Texas 31

Total Points: 67

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

North Texas's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Louisiana Tech	37	North Texas	40	Louisiana Tech -4.5	North Texas	66.5	Over
2022	10/15	North Texas	47	Louisiana Tech	27	North Texas -6.5	North Texas	68.0	Over
2021	09/25	Louisiana Tech	24	North Texas	17	Louisiana Tech -9.5	North Texas	65.0	Under
2020	12/03	North Texas	31	Louisiana Tech	42	Louisiana Tech -1	Louisiana Tech	64.5	Over
2019	11/09	Louisiana Tech	52	North Texas	17	Louisiana Tech -5.5	Louisiana Tech	71.5	Under
2018	09/29	North Texas	27	Louisiana Tech	29	North Texas -7	Louisiana Tech	62.5	Under
2017	11/04	Louisiana Tech	23	North Texas	24	Louisiana Tech -1.5	North Texas	67.0	Under
2016	11/05	North Texas	24	Louisiana Tech	45	Louisiana Tech -21	NA	63.5	Over
2015	11/07	Louisiana Tech	56	North Texas	13	Louisiana Tech -30	Louisiana Tech	62.0	Over
2014	09/11	North Texas	21	Louisiana Tech	42	North Texas -4	Louisiana Tech	0
2013	10/19	Louisiana Tech	13	North Texas	28	North Texas -7	North Texas	0
2006	11/04	North Texas	31	Louisiana Tech	34
2005	10/22	Louisiana Tech	40	North Texas	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	4	5	5 Overs
Louisiana Tech	9	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	3 - 7	3 - 5	0 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	7 - 3	2 - 0	5 - 3

(#) LT at (#) UNT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	UNT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#114
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#78	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

North Texas Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	UNT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#111
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

LT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Louisiana Tech 21.0 (63.5)
Louisiana Tech won at North Texas this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (40-37)
North Texas beat Louisiana Tech in 2022 (47-27)

LT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD