Utah State at Boise State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at Boise State Broncos

Saturday, October 1st 2016 (10:15 PM EDT)
Boise State -19.5 (60.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boise State 21 - Utah State: 10 (Mountain West)

Aggies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ BSU -16)
Projected Score: USU: 26 - BSU: 34 (60)
BSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
USU Travel: 257 miles

Broncos (10 - 3) (3 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Utah State vs Weber State	-21.0
Sat 9/10	Utah State at USC	+14.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Fri 9/16	Utah State vs Arkansas State	-8.0	56.0	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Utah State vs Air Force	+3.0	53.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Utah State at Boise State	+19.5	60.5	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Utah State at Colorado State	-6.0	53.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Utah State vs Fresno State	-14.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Fri 10/28	Utah State vs San Diego State	+3.0	45.0	L 13 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Utah State at Wyoming	+4.0	55.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/12	Utah State vs New Mexico	-2.5	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Utah State at Nevada	-5.0	56.5	L 37 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Utah State at BYU	+17.0	51.5	L 10 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Boise State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boise State at Louisiana	-18.0	64.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Boise State vs Washington State	-12.0	74.5	W 31 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Boise State at Oregon State	-14.0	60.0	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/1	Boise State vs Utah State	-19.5	60.5	W 21 - 10	U	N
Fri 10/7	Boise State at New Mexico	-16.5	61.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Boise State vs Colorado State	-25.5	59.5	W 28 - 23	U	N
Thu 10/20	Boise State vs BYU	-9.5	58.0	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Boise State at Wyoming	-12.5	62.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
Fri 11/4	Boise State vs San José State	-26.5	58.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Boise State at Hawai'i	-16.5	62.5	W 52 - 16	O	Y
Fri 11/18	Boise State vs UNLV	-26.5	63.0	W 42 - 25	O	N
Fri 11/25	Boise State at Air Force	-9.0	63.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Tue 12/27	Boise State vs Baylor	-10.0	71.0	L 12 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.12	41%	30.9	41%	2.63	165	39%	206	3.39	.1	39%	28.7	39%	36%	3.65	58.9	1.8	1.7
BSU	.18	47%	29.9	46%	2.8	191	45%	310	3.79	.07	34%	24.1	32%	34%	2.59	53.2	1.7	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	30.9	25.2	40.8%	3.39	1.8	19	371	165	206	4.5	50%	49%	41%	39%	2%	.12
BSU Defense	13	24.1	22.3	33.8%	2.59	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	32%	34%	2%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	28.7	37	38.6%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	39%	36%	1%	.1
BSU Offense	13	29.9	41.3	46.6%	3.79	1.7	26	502	191	310	4.5	44%	53%	46%	45%	2%	.18

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	28:45	19.4	35%	50%	6.4	58.9	1.8	1.7	0	0	4	31.7
Boise State	13	31:52	26.5	41%	63%	6.3	53.2	1.7	2.4	0	0	2	32.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	50%	41%	37	165.1	4.5	22	.1	2.63	70%	0%	1.08
BSU Defense	13	48%	32%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.29	58%	0%	1.19

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	59%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.58	67%	0%	0.97
BSU Offense	13	44%	46%	42.5	191.4	4.5	36	.15	2.8	75%	0%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	49%	39%	17.6	31	205.5	6.6	11.7	21	10	.15	1.6	36%	30%	.26	2%	2.1
BSU Defense	13	51%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.14	1.8	38%	26%	.25	2%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	39%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.2	1.7	34%	27%	.22	1%	1.9
BSU Offense	13	53%	45%	25.7	40.5	310.2	7.7	12.1	24	12	.23	1.5	31%	38%	.28	2%	1.7

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #86
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #96
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #59

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: Boise State: 8.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -4.4 Boise State: 11.5

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 8.25 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #29
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #28
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #42

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 34
Utah State 26

Projected Total Points: 60

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Utah State	24	Boise State	25	Boise State -1.5	Utah State	54.5	Under
2024	10/05	Boise State	62	Utah State	30	Boise State -28	Boise State	66.5	Over
2023	11/18	Utah State	10	Boise State	45	Boise State -5.5	Boise State	62.5	Under
2022	11/25	Boise State	42	Utah State	23	Boise State -17	Boise State	51.5	Over
2021	09/25	Utah State	3	Boise State	27	Boise State -9.5	Boise State	69.5	Under
2020	10/24	Boise State	42	Utah State	13	Boise State -17	Boise State	51.0	Over
2019	11/23	Utah State	21	Boise State	56	Boise State -9.5	Boise State	53.0	Over
2018	11/24	Boise State	33	Utah State	24	Boise State -2.5	Boise State	65.0	Under
2017	10/28	Utah State	14	Boise State	41	Boise State -13	Boise State	51.5	Over
2016	10/01	Boise State	21	Utah State	10	Boise State -19.5	Utah State	60.5	Under
2015	10/16	Utah State	52	Boise State	26	Boise State -8.5	Utah State	50.5	Over
2014	11/29	Boise State	50	Utah State	19	Boise State -9	Boise State	0
2013	10/12	Utah State	23	Boise State	34	Boise State -7.5	Boise State	0
2010	12/04	Boise State	50	Utah State	14
2009	11/20	Utah State	21	Boise State	52
2008	11/08	Boise State	49	Utah State	14
2007	11/10	Utah State	0	Boise State	52
2006	11/18	Boise State	49	Utah State	10
2005	10/22	Utah State	21	Boise State	45
2002	09/28	Boise State	63	Utah State	38
2000	11/10	Boise State	66	Utah State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	20	10	6 Overs
Utah State	1	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	7 - 6	5 - 1	2 - 5
Road Teams	9 - 12	6 - 7	5 - 2	1 - 5

(#) USU at (#) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	BSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#29
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#111	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#42
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Boise State -19.5 (60.5)
Boise State won vs Utah State this year (21-10)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Utah State last year (25-24)
Boise State beat Utah State in 2024 (62-30)
Boise State beat Utah State in 2023 (45-10)

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD